District 4-6A

District Standings

Rk			Team (Enroll Rk)	OVR/Elo	Overall	District	PPG	PAPG	ProjRec	PO%	Bracket
1		14	Southlake Carroll (6) Dragons	89.6 2362	4-2	3-0	34.5	26.5	6.8-0.2	> 98%	D2
2		66	Keller (3) Indians	81.2 1806	6-0	3-0	51.5	34.3	5.4-1.6	> 98%	D1
3		78	Keller Central (8) Chargers	80.1 1731	4-2	1-2	36.2	24.3	3.9-3.1	79.4%	D2
4		93	Byron Nelson (2) Bobcats	78.9 1653	3-3	1-2	33.8	43.5	3.4-3.6	53.8%	D1
5		114	Northwest Eaton (1) Eagles	77.1 1535	2-4	1-2	22.3	31.5	3.3-3.7	34.5%	—
6		122	Keller Timber Creek (4) Falcons	76.8 1510	3-3	2-1	24.0	37.3	3.1-3.9	29.7%	—
7		154	Fort Worth Boswell (7) Pioneers	74.3 1350	3-3	1-2	37.7	29.8	1.7-5.3	3.2%	—
8		184	Justin Northwest (5) Texans	71.3 1148	0-6	0-3	22.2	34.2	0.4-6.6	< 2%	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 \| @TexasTNG \| texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

District Schedule & Results

Date	Matchup	TNG Pick	Game Score
9/18	Northwest Eaton (2-4) 153734 @Byron Nelson (3-3) 184252	Byron Nelson 78% (+12)	79.7
9/17	#13Southlake Carroll (4-2) 234935 @Keller Central (4-2) 162217	Southlake Carroll 95% (+29)	78.8
9/18	Keller (6-0) 169255 @Keller Timber Creek (3-3) 139646	Keller 78% (+12)	77.5
9/17	Fort Worth Boswell (3-3) 144631 @Justin Northwest (0-6) 121128	Fort Worth Boswell 73% (+9)	75.0
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 \| @TexasTNG \| texastng.com

Date	Matchup	TNG Pick	Game Score
9/24	Byron Nelson (3-3) 188234 @Keller Central (4-2) 161547	Byron Nelson 75% (+11)	81.0
9/25	Keller (6-0) 172454 @Fort Worth Boswell (3-3) 147053	Keller 74% (+10)	78.9
9/25	Northwest Eaton (2-4) 14976 @#14Southlake Carroll (4-2) 235649	Southlake Carroll 97% (+34)	76.1
9/25	Keller Timber Creek (3-3) 136429 @Justin Northwest (0-6) 118724	Keller Timber Creek 68% (+7)	74.9
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 \| @TexasTNG \| texastng.com

Date	Matchup	TNG Pick	Game Score
10/8	Byron Nelson (3-3) 172342 @Keller (6-0) 173549	Keller 51% (+0)	83.6
10/8	Keller Central (4-2) 177427 @Northwest Eaton (2-4) 149228	Keller Central 76% (+11)	79.1
10/8	Keller Timber Creek (3-3) 140135 @Fort Worth Boswell (3-3) 145921	Fort Worth Boswell 56% (+2)	78.6
10/9	Justin Northwest (0-6) 11497 @#14Southlake Carroll (4-2) 236144	Southlake Carroll > 98% (+48)	68.0
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 \| @TexasTNG \| texastng.com

Date	Matchup	TNG Pick	Game Score
10/16	Keller (6-0) 1806 @#14Southlake Carroll (4-2) 2362	Southlake Carroll 91% (+22)	82.6
10/16	Keller Central (4-2) 1731 @Keller Timber Creek (3-3) 1510	Keller Central 72% (+9)	79.6
10/15	Fort Worth Boswell (3-3) 1350 @Northwest Eaton (2-4) 1535	Northwest Eaton 68% (+7)	77.3
10/16	Justin Northwest (0-6) 1148 @Byron Nelson (3-3) 1653	Byron Nelson 89% (+20)	72.7
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 \| @TexasTNG \| texastng.com

Date	Matchup	TNG Pick	Game Score
10/22	Northwest Eaton (2-4) 1535 @Keller Timber Creek (3-3) 1510	Northwest Eaton 53% (+1)	80.3
10/23	#14Southlake Carroll (4-2) 2362 @Byron Nelson (3-3) 1653	Southlake Carroll 95% (+28)	79.4
10/23	Fort Worth Boswell (3-3) 1350 @Keller Central (4-2) 1731	Keller Central 83% (+15)	76.4
10/22	Keller (6-0) 1806 @Justin Northwest (0-6) 1148	Keller 94% (+26)	71.8
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 \| @TexasTNG \| texastng.com

Date	Matchup	TNG Pick	Game Score
10/30	Keller Central (4-2) 1731 @Keller (6-0) 1806	Keller 58% (+3)	83.5
10/30	Byron Nelson (3-3) 1653 @Fort Worth Boswell (3-3) 1350	Byron Nelson 78% (+12)	76.8
10/30	Keller Timber Creek (3-3) 1510 @#14Southlake Carroll (4-2) 2362	Southlake Carroll 97% (+34)	76.3
10/30	Justin Northwest (0-6) 1148 @Northwest Eaton (2-4) 1535	Northwest Eaton 83% (+15)	73.3
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 \| @TexasTNG \| texastng.com

Date	Matchup	TNG Pick	Game Score
11/5	Byron Nelson (3-3) 1653 @Keller Timber Creek (3-3) 1510	Byron Nelson 64% (+6)	79.9
11/6	Northwest Eaton (2-4) 1535 @Keller (6-0) 1806	Keller 76% (+11)	79.8
11/5	#14Southlake Carroll (4-2) 2362 @Fort Worth Boswell (3-3) 1350	Southlake Carroll > 98% (+41)	72.7
11/6	Keller Central (4-2) 1731 @Justin Northwest (0-6) 1148	Keller Central 92% (+23)	72.2
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 \| @TexasTNG \| texastng.com

Head-to-Head Results Matrix


Southlake Carroll	X	91% Wk 8	W 35-17 Wk 4	95% Wk 9	W 49-6 Wk 5	97% Wk 10	> 98% Wk 11	W 44-7 Wk 7
Keller	9% Wk 8	X	58% Wk 10	W 49-42 Wk 7	76% Wk 11	W 55-46 Wk 4	W 54-53 Wk 5	94% Wk 9
Keller Central	L 17-35 Wk 4	42% Wk 10	X	W 47-34 Wk 5	L 27-28 Wk 7	72% Wk 8	83% Wk 9	92% Wk 11
Byron Nelson	5% Wk 9	L 42-49 Wk 7	L 34-47 Wk 5	X	W 52-34 Wk 4	64% Wk 11	78% Wk 10	89% Wk 8
Northwest Eaton	L 6-49 Wk 5	24% Wk 11	W 28-27 Wk 7	L 34-52 Wk 4	X	53% Wk 9	68% Wk 8	84% Wk 10
Keller Timber Creek	3% Wk 10	L 46-55 Wk 4	28% Wk 8	36% Wk 11	47% Wk 9	X	W 35-21 Wk 7	W 29-24 Wk 5
Fort Worth Boswell	< 2% Wk 11	L 53-54 Wk 5	17% Wk 9	22% Wk 10	32% Wk 8	L 21-35 Wk 7	X	W 31-28 Wk 4
Justin Northwest	L 7-44 Wk 7	6% Wk 9	8% Wk 11	11% Wk 8	16% Wk 10	L 24-29 Wk 5	L 28-31 Wk 4	X
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 \| @TexasTNG \| texastng.com

District Win Projections

	Projected District Win Total
	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
Southlake Carroll	—	—	—	—	—	< 2%	16%	84%
Keller	—	—	—	< 2%	11%	43%	41%	4%
Keller Central	—	—	5%	25%	47%	23%	—	—
Byron Nelson	—	< 2%	11%	41%	45%	2%	—	—
Northwest Eaton	—	< 2%	16%	41%	33%	8%	—	—
Keller Timber Creek	—	—	23%	45%	27%	6%	—	—
Fort Worth Boswell	—	44%	42%	13%	< 2%	—	—	—
Justin Northwest	64%	30%	5%	—	—	—	—	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 \| @TexasTNG \| texastng.com
Calculated from 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo