| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Jenks (OK) |
91% (+22) | W 34-33 | — | — | — | +0.55 | — |
| 2 | 31% (-8) | L 10-40 | 2059 | +9.1 | −13.2 | — | −0.04 | |
| 3 | #2Allen (6-0) 2857 |
14% (-17) | L 35-56 | 2488 | +33.2 | −6.3 | — | −0.02 |
| 4 | @Keller Central (4-2) 1731 |
95% (+29) | W 35-17 | 2224 | +10.7 | −18.3 | +0.28 | — |
| 5 | Northwest Eaton (2-4) 1535 |
97% (+34) | W 49-6 | 2621 | +22.8 | −22.1 | +0.19 | — |
| 7 | Justin Northwest (0-6) 1148 |
> 98% (+48) | W 44-7 | 2190 | +11.2 | −16.4 | +0.05 | — |
| 8 | Keller (6-0) 1806 |
91% (+22) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | @Byron Nelson (3-3) 1653 |
95% (+28) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | Keller Timber Creek (3-3) 1510 |
97% (+34) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | @Fort Worth Boswell (3-3) 1350 |
> 98% (+41) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#14
was #14
Record
4-2
3-0 district
Elo
2362
#14 of 249
OVR Grade
89.6
#14 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
87.2
#25 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
88
#26 of 249 in 6A
Perf
2316
#25 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 4-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance
Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Southlake Carroll’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2006
16-0
Rating 900 (100th)
#2 · 2005
16-0
Rating 895 (100th)
#3 · 2021
14-1
Rating 851 (99th)
#4 · 2004
16-0
Rating 843 (99th)
#5 · 2025
14-1
Rating 823 (99th)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.