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CLASS 6A · District 4-6A

Keller Indians

Enrollment: 2,915 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 3
Rank
#66
was #72
Record
6-0
3-0 district
Elo
1806
#66 of 249
OVR Grade
81.2
#66 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
89.7
#14 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
70.3
#172 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1883
#63 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
@Burleson
 88% (+19) W 55-14 2100 +18.5 −5.5 +0.04 —
2
Midland (4-3) 1670
 77% (+12) W 55-24 2537 +33.4 −8.0 +0.10 —
3
McKinney Boyd (2-4) 1298
 79% (+12) W 41-27 1729 +14.5 +5.4 +0.11 —
4
@Keller Timber Creek (3-3) 1510
 78% (+12) W 55-46 1589 +22.2 +18.6 +0.13 —
5
@Fort Worth Boswell (3-3) 1350
 74% (+10) W 54-53 1553 +22.0 +19.8 +0.17 —
7
Byron Nelson (3-3) 1653
 51% (+0) W 49-42 1789 +14.7 +3.2 +0.37 —
8
@#14Southlake Carroll (4-2) 2362
 9% (-22) — — — — — —
9
@Justin Northwest (0-6) 1148
 94% (+26) — — — — — —
10
Keller Central (4-2) 1731
 58% (+3) — — — — — —
11
Northwest Eaton (2-4) 1535
 76% (+11) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 4-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 14
Dragons
89.6
2362
 4-2 3-0 34.5 26.5 6.8-0.2 > 98% D2
2 66
Indians
81.2
1806
 6-0 3-0 51.5 34.3 5.4-1.6 > 98% D1
3 78
Chargers
80.1
1731
 4-2 1-2 36.2 24.3 3.9-3.1 79.4% D2
4 93
Bobcats
78.9
1653
 3-3 1-2 33.8 43.5 3.4-3.6 53.8% D1
5 114
Eagles
77.1
1535
 2-4 1-2 22.3 31.5 3.3-3.7 34.5% —
6 122
Falcons
76.8
1510
 3-3 2-1 24.0 37.3 3.1-3.9 29.7% —
7 154
Pioneers
74.3
1350
 3-3 1-2 37.7 29.8 1.7-5.3 3.2% —
8 184
Texans
71.3
1148
 0-6 0-3 22.2 34.2 0.4-6.6 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Keller’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2018
8-3
Rating 607 (79th)
#2 · 2004
8-3
Rating 606 (79th)
#3 · 2022
10-3
Rating 604 (78th)
#4 · 2024
5-5
Rating 586 (74th)
#5 · 2019
7-4
Rating 583 (73rd)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 5-6 1634 33.0 38.7 −5.7 1774 +9.7 +4.2 +5.5 1637 −1.35 +0.86 −2.21 558(65th)
2024 5-5 1822 22.9 22.8 +0.1 1731 −2.1 −11.7 +9.6 1741 −0.80 +0.90 −1.70 586(74th)
2023 7-4 1702 31.1 27.5 +3.5 1531 +1.5 −4.8 +6.3 1658 −0.70 +0.61 −1.31 567(68th)
2022 10-3 1917 31.5 23.4 +8.1 1614 +3.7 −9.6 +13.2 1831 +1.58 +1.97 −0.39 604(78th)
2021 6-5 1591 31.0 24.6 +6.4 1666 +5.1 −8.6 +13.7 1842 −1.19 +1.11 −2.30 570(69th)
2020 3-6 1565 27.3 26.6 +0.8 1601 +0.6 −3.4 +4.0 1601 −3.80 +0.32 −4.12 531(56th)
2019 7-4 1858 23.8 20.2 +3.6 1620 +0.8 −9.4 +10.2 1754 −0.56 +1.22 −1.78 583(73rd)
2018 8-3 1827 35.3 21.3 +14.0 1598 +11.7 −6.1 +17.8 1945 +0.82 +2.03 −1.21 607(79th)
2017 5-6 1498 26.2 30.1 −3.9 1530 −0.1 +1.0 −1.1 1472 −2.84 +0.94 −3.79 514(49th)
2016 1-9 1062 20.3 36.1 −15.8 1536 −8.9 +4.7 −13.6 1160 −6.86 +0.04 −6.90 434(23rd)
2015 6-4 1654 34.3 32.9 +1.4 1696 +8.5 +0.1 +8.4 1710 −0.69 +1.26 −1.95 559(65th)
2014 4-6 1653 29.5 27.8 +1.7 1677 +2.8 −7.6 +10.5 1761 −2.02 +0.98 −3.00 567(68th)
2013 4-5 1468 22.2 25.2 −3.0 1654 −1.3 −4.8 +3.5 1588 −1.83 +1.08 −2.92 528(55th)
2012 3-7 1343 18.5 26.1 −7.6 1553 −6.3 −1.7 −4.5 1387 −4.05 +0.27 −4.32 490(41st)
2011 2-8 1143 23.5 28.6 −5.1 1709 +0.6 −0.9 +1.5 1538 −4.41 +0.06 −4.47 496(42nd)
2010 3-7 1204 22.2 32.0 −9.8 1593 −4.0 +2.9 −6.9 1327 −4.01 +0.11 −4.12 473(34th)
2009 6-5 1559 30.0 28.7 +1.3 1551 +3.4 +0.4 +3.0 1576 −2.07 +0.44 −2.51 537(58th)
2008 7-3 1577 28.2 22.0 +6.2 1543 +2.1 −5.1 +7.2 1680 −0.19 +0.88 −1.07 553(63rd)
2007 4-7 1249 21.6 28.3 −6.6 1652 −1.9 +0.8 −2.7 1432 −3.23 +0.47 −3.71 492(41st)
2006 3-7 1433 30.7 37.0 −6.3 1673 +7.1 +5.6 +1.5 1538 −3.61 +0.86 −4.47 523(53rd)
2005 3-7 1273 20.7 33.0 −12.3 1635 −5.7 +1.3 −7.0 1326 −4.20 +0.21 −4.41 482(37th)
2004 8-3 1739 35.3 22.2 +13.1 1607 +9.0 −7.9 +16.9 1922 −0.02 +1.25 −1.27 606(79th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.