| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arlington (4-2) 1558 |
93% (+24) | L 22-38 | 1206 | −7.1 | +4.7 | — | −0.83 |
| 2 | 18% (-15) | W 7-49 (F) | 1482 | −1.9 | −1.2 | +0.81 | — | |
| 3 | 31% (-7) | W 46-44 | 1962 | +17.5 | −1.0 | +0.62 | — | |
| 4 | Northwest Eaton (2-4) 1535 |
78% (+12) | W 52-34 | 1996 | +25.8 | +5.9 | +0.21 | — |
| 5 | @Keller Central (4-2) 1731 |
75% (+11) | L 34-47 | 1449 | +9.7 | +11.7 | — | −0.73 |
| 7 | @Keller (6-0) 1806 |
49% (0) | L 42-49 | 1670 | +9.0 | +2.2 | — | −0.62 |
| 8 | Justin Northwest (0-6) 1148 |
89% (+20) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | #14Southlake Carroll (4-2) 2362 |
5% (-28) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | @Fort Worth Boswell (3-3) 1350 |
78% (+12) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | @Keller Timber Creek (3-3) 1510 |
64% (+6) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#93
was #74
Record
3-3
1-2 district
Elo
1653
#93 of 249
OVR Grade
78.9
#93 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
81.2
#66 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
71.8
#159 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1628
#101 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 4-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance
Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Byron Nelson’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2023
13-1
Rating 704 (94th)
#2 · 2022
11-2
Rating 703 (94th)
#3 · 2024
8-3
Rating 662 (89th)
#4 · 2025
10-3
Rating 661 (89th)
#5 · 2021
9-4
Rating 612 (80th)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.