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CLASS 6A · District 15-6A

Tomball Cougars

Enrollment: 3,013 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 6
Rank
#35
was #57
Record
5-1
3-1 district
Elo
2056
#35 of 249
OVR Grade
85
#35 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
81.3
#64 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
86
#33 of 249 in 6A
Perf
2049
#45 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
Houston Stratford (2-4) 1345
 90% (+21) W 38-0 2258 +8.6 −21.7 +0.14 —
2
@Katy Cinco Ranch (3-3) 1510
 73% (+9) W 35-7 2268 +10.6 −20.2 +0.37 —
3
Klein Forest (1-6) 1176
 97% (+33) W 49-19 1694 +9.0 +1.3 +0.06 —
4
@Klein Cain (4-2) 1818
 72% (+9) L 38-55 1438 +11.6 +14.1 — −0.55
6
Magnolia West (2-4) 1221
 93% (+25) W 37-0 1993 −2.4 −22.1 +0.07 —
7
@Klein Collins (5-2) 1934
 27% (-10) W 36-14 2642 +16.4 −29.3 +0.75 —
8
#27Klein (7-0) 2118
 44% (-2) — — — — — —
9
@Klein Oak (2-4) 1730
 80% (+13) — — — — — —
10
@Tomball Memorial (1-5) 1362
 95% (+28) — — — — — —
11
@Magnolia (3-4) 1857
 70% (+8) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 15-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 27
Bearkats
85.9
2118
 7-0 5-0 35.3 9.3 7.2-0.8 > 98% D1
2 52
Tigers
83.2
1934
 5-2 4-1 40.1 24.4 6-2 97.3% D1
3 35
Cougars
85
2056
 5-1 3-1 38.8 15.8 5.9-2.1 85.4% D2
4 59
Bulldogs
82
1857
 3-4 3-2 28.6 24.7 4.8-3.2 61.9% D2
5 64
Hurricanes
81.4
1818
 4-2 2-2 39.7 30.5 4.8-3.1 44.2% —
6 79
Panthers
80.1
1730
 2-4 2-2 34.0 23.3 3.8-4.2 11.1% —
7 149
Wildcats
74.5
1362
 1-5 0-4 15.7 43.7 1.5-6.5 < 2% —
8 181
Golden Eagles
71.7
1176
 1-6 1-4 13.0 45.1 1.4-6.6 < 2% —
9 172
Mustangs
72.4
1221
 2-4 0-4 23.8 39.0 0.5-7.5 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Tomball’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2021
11-4
Rating 687 (92nd)
#2 · 2025
9-3
Rating 656 (88th)
#3 · 2024
10-2
Rating 626 (83rd)
#4 · 2010
10-3
Rating 623 (83rd)
#5 · 2023
8-5
Rating 614 (81st)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 9-3 2063 40.0 27.2 +12.8 1745 +12.4 −9.9 +22.3 2057 +2.18 +2.84 −0.66 656(88th)
2024 10-2 1983 32.6 24.5 +8.1 1687 +6.3 −10.6 +17.0 1924 +2.62 +3.00 −0.37 626(83rd)
2023 8-5 1813 26.0 19.5 +6.5 1691 +2.5 −12.6 +15.0 1876 −0.10 +2.29 −2.38 614(81st)
2022 8-5 1882 26.5 28.0 −1.5 1733 +3.1 −5.7 +8.8 1719 +0.47 +2.47 −2.00 595(76th)
2021 11-4 2241 36.5 25.0 +11.5 1750 +12.4 −11.4 +23.8 2095 +2.54 +4.00 −1.46 687(92nd)
2020 7-3 1610 31.7 29.1 +2.6 1556 +4.2 −2.8 +6.9 1673 +0.73 +1.61 −0.88 545(60th)
2019 0-1 1168 14.0 48.0 −34.0 2002 −9.7 +5.7 −15.5 1113 −0.70 0.00 −0.70 —
2018 0-1 1179 18.0 41.0 −23.0 1652 −6.7 +3.3 −10.0 1249 −0.94 0.00 −0.94 —
2017 1-0 1319 49.0 14.0 +35.0 938 +16.7 −0.7 +17.4 1936 +0.04 +0.04 0.00 —
2015 1-0 1195 42.0 35.0 +7.0 648 +4.0 +19.4 −15.3 1117 +0.01 +0.01 0.00 —
2014 1-0 1164 35.0 7.0 +28.0 894 −0.2 −6.0 +5.8 1646 +0.02 +0.02 0.00 —
2013 1-2 1074 13.3 35.7 −22.3 1427 −12.2 +12.3 −24.5 887 −1.60 +0.02 −1.62 —
2012 0-3 1058 19.7 42.7 −23.0 1316 −13.8 +12.3 −26.2 846 −2.67 0.00 −2.67 —
2011 1-8 1289 22.7 35.0 −12.3 1837 +0.2 −0.4 +0.6 1515 −4.89 +0.58 −5.47 516(51st)
2010 10-3 1909 29.0 17.8 +11.2 1591 +4.3 −11.4 +15.6 1890 +1.83 +2.75 −0.92 623(83rd)
2009 2-8 1221 20.4 31.5 −11.1 1706 −3.1 −0.3 −2.8 1429 −4.29 +0.42 −4.71 487(39th)
2008 2-7 1126 22.4 33.9 −11.4 1634 +0.6 +7.1 −6.5 1338 −3.55 +0.57 −4.12 468(32nd)
2007 1-9 1089 8.9 29.0 −20.1 1643 −11.8 +2.1 −13.9 1152 −5.35 +0.05 −5.40 441(25th)
2006 2-8 1176 13.1 31.5 −18.4 1581 −10.8 +4.2 −15.0 1126 −5.15 +0.10 −5.26 446(26th)
2005 5-5 1445 21.5 21.6 −0.1 1415 −2.4 −0.8 −1.6 1460 −2.79 +0.95 −3.74 515(50th)
2004 5-5 1328 23.2 20.4 +2.8 1458 −2.3 −2.0 −0.3 1492 −3.44 +0.51 −3.95 511(48th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.