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CLASS 6A · District 15-6A

Tomball Memorial Wildcats

Enrollment: 2,949 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 7
Rank
#149
was #147
Record
1-5
0-4 district
Elo
1362
#149 of 249
OVR Grade
74.5
#149 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
71.4
#160 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
68.4
#184 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1179
#175 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
@Cy-Fair (4-2) 1782
30% (-8) L 0-36 1000 −24.5 −4.5 — −0.64
2 68% (+7) W 42-36 1474 +11.4 +12.4 +0.08 —
3
@Klein Collins (5-2) 1934
12% (-19) L 17-66 867 −2.6 +22.7 — −0.40
4
#27Klein (7-0) 2118
9% (-22) L 7-34 1429 −4.3 −1.5 — −0.36
5
@Klein Oak (2-4) 1730
20% (-13) L 7-45 1032 −11.9 +6.8 — −0.59
7
Magnolia (3-4) 1857
13% (-18) L 21-45 1269 +1.5 +10.7 — −0.52
8
@Klein Forest (1-6) 1176
69% (+7) — — — — — —
9
Klein Cain (4-2) 1818
13% (-18) — — — — — —
10
#35Tomball (5-1) 2056
5% (-28) — — — — — —
11
Magnolia West (2-4) 1221
64% (+6) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 15-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 27
Bearkats
85.9
2118
7-0 5-0 35.3 9.3 7.2-0.8 > 98% D1
2 52
Tigers
83.2
1934
5-2 4-1 40.1 24.4 6-2 97.3% D1
3 35
Cougars
85
2056
5-1 3-1 38.8 15.8 5.9-2.1 85.4% D2
4 59
Bulldogs
82
1857
3-4 3-2 28.6 24.7 4.8-3.2 61.9% D2
5 64
Hurricanes
81.4
1818
4-2 2-2 39.7 30.5 4.8-3.1 44.2% —
6 79
Panthers
80.1
1730
2-4 2-2 34.0 23.3 3.8-4.2 11.1% —
7 149
Wildcats
74.5
1362
1-5 0-4 15.7 43.7 1.5-6.5 < 2% —
8 181
Golden Eagles
71.7
1176
1-6 1-4 13.0 45.1 1.4-6.6 < 2% —
9 172
Mustangs
72.4
1221
2-4 0-4 23.8 39.0 0.5-7.5 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Tomball Memorial’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2020
11-1
Rating 661 (89th)
#2 · 2023
10-2
Rating 641 (86th)
#3 · 2019
10-2
Rating 626 (84th)
#4 · 2018
8-3
Rating 579 (71st)
#5 · 2022
6-5
Rating 547 (61st)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo
PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS
AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 4-6 1550 37.9 44.0 −6.1 1663 +10.0 +8.9 +1.1 1527 −1.88 +0.76 −2.64 532(56th)
2024 4-6 1566 35.2 38.6 −3.4 1628 +8.6 +7.4 +1.2 1530 −2.62 +0.72 −3.33 534(57th)
2023 10-2 1944 40.3 20.4 +19.9 1546 +13.5 −8.7 +22.1 2054 +1.89 +2.31 −0.42 641(86th)
2022 6-5 1552 38.7 35.8 +2.9 1582 +11.9 +5.1 +6.8 1670 −1.73 +0.92 −2.65 547(61st)
2021 2-8 1397 33.3 47.6 −14.3 1785 +10.5 +12.9 −2.3 1442 −3.97 +0.13 −4.10 505(46th)
2020 11-1 2169 51.3 32.6 +18.8 1663 +24.9 −2.0 +26.9 2172 +3.38 +3.48 −0.10 661(89th)
2019 10-2 2002 43.3 25.2 +18.2 1499 +15.4 −3.6 +19.1 1976 +1.60 +2.53 −0.93 626(84th)
2018 8-3 1652 39.2 24.8 +14.4 1509 +11.7 −2.5 +14.2 1855 +0.16 +1.11 −0.95 579(71st)
2016 1-0 1287 33.0 0.0 +33.0 810 −12.0 −15.1 +3.2 1579 +0.04 +0.04 0.00 —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.