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CLASS 6A · District 14-6A

Spring Westfield Mustangs

Enrollment: 2,145 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 8
Rank
#49
was #52
Record
4-2
3-0 district
Elo
1956
#49 of 249
OVR Grade
83.5
#49 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
74.9
#124 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
93.1
#9 of 249 in 6A
Perf
2030
#49 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
Houston Heights (2-4) 1367
84% (+16) W 16-10 1556 −10.5 −12.7 +0.20 —
2
@Richmond Randle
18% (-15) L 0-3 2240 −11.7 −41.3 — −0.13
3
#40Willis (4-2) 2033
19% (-14) L 7-12 1878 −11.7 −26.8 — −0.15
5 92% (+23) W 47-0 2352 +17.9 −16.2 +0.10 —
6
@Spring (2-4) 1061
98% (+36) W 42-6 2006 +7.0 −13.3 +0.03 —
7
Aldine Nimitz (3-3) 1518
82% (+15) W 37-6 2151 +8.6 −17.4 +0.23 —
8
@Aldine Davis (5-1) 1655
78% (+12) — — — — — —
9
@Aldine (0-6) 143
> 98% (+72) — — — — — —
10
Spring Dekaney (3-3) 1327
93% (+25) — — — — — —
11 > 98% (+41) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 14-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 49
Mustangs
83.5
1956
4-2 3-0 24.8 6.2 6.7-0.3 > 98% D2
2 92
Falcons
78.9
1655
5-1 3-0 34.7 19.5 5.6-1.4 > 98% D1
3 119
Cougars
76.9
1518
3-3 2-1 23.8 27.0 4.9-2.1 96.9% D1
4 159
Wildcats
74
1327
3-3 1-2 18.5 20.3 3.4-3.6 62.9% D2
5 164
Eagles
73.5
1292
3-3 1-2 17.5 25.2 2.9-4.1 28.1% —
6 200
Lions
70
1061
2-4 1-2 19.8 34.0 2.8-4.2 10% —
7 210
Generals
68.2
943
4-2 1-2 30.5 25.8 1.6-5.3 2.6% —
8 249
Mustangs
56.1
143
0-6 0-3 1.2 47.3 0-7 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Spring Westfield’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2005
11-1
Rating 751 (97th)
#2 · 2017
11-1
Rating 744 (97th)
#3 · 2006
13-1
Rating 741 (97th)
#4 · 2021
12-1
Rating 739 (97th)
#5 · 2022
12-2
Rating 739 (97th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo
PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS
AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 6-5 1702 25.5 16.8 +8.6 1511 −2.6 −10.1 +7.4 1686 −1.64 +0.42 −2.06 572(69th)
2024 8-3 2037 30.5 14.6 +15.9 1505 +4.6 −12.0 +16.6 1915 +0.58 +1.58 −1.00 638(86th)
2023 11-3 2336 45.4 23.9 +21.5 1573 +17.6 −7.5 +25.0 2126 +2.18 +2.50 −0.33 703(94th)
2022 12-2 2371 49.4 16.4 +32.9 1636 +23.3 −13.6 +36.9 2422 +3.53 +3.57 −0.04 739(97th)
2021 12-1 2420 46.4 11.8 +34.6 1586 +18.5 −18.1 +36.6 2416 +3.50 +3.56 −0.06 739(97th)
2020 8-2 2303 35.0 15.5 +19.5 1572 +8.8 −13.9 +22.8 2070 +1.25 +1.79 −0.54 680(91st)
2019 13-2 2385 36.7 11.5 +25.2 1659 +11.3 −19.7 +31.0 2276 +3.91 +4.01 −0.10 737(97th)
2018 12-2 2388 30.5 12.5 +18.0 1664 +5.2 −19.3 +24.5 2112 +3.79 +3.89 −0.10 708(95th)
2017 11-1 2408 37.7 8.4 +29.2 1619 +14.4 −18.8 +33.2 2331 +3.79 +3.98 −0.19 744(97th)
2016 10-4 2326 36.1 13.2 +22.9 1666 +13.2 −15.2 +28.4 2211 +2.16 +2.70 −0.54 716(95th)
2015 10-2 2398 36.1 18.5 +17.6 1928 +17.4 −17.8 +35.2 2380 +4.38 +4.55 −0.16 737(97th)
2014 13-2 2422 36.1 22.1 +13.9 1929 +15.9 −15.2 +31.2 2279 +5.50 +5.72 −0.23 737(97th)
2013 13-1 2474 38.9 18.1 +20.9 1789 +15.9 −15.7 +31.7 2292 +4.83 +4.84 −0.01 737(97th)
2012 12-1 2330 40.3 18.2 +22.1 1697 +13.3 −16.5 +29.8 2245 +4.00 +4.06 −0.07 707(95th)
2011 10-4 2048 31.5 25.9 +5.6 1835 +10.8 −7.4 +18.3 1957 +3.37 +5.68 −2.32 660(89th)
2010 6-4 1732 23.6 23.7 −0.1 1756 +2.5 −7.6 +10.1 1753 −0.12 +1.57 −1.69 581(72nd)
2009 8-4 1764 35.1 26.0 +9.1 1746 +11.8 −5.7 +17.6 1939 +0.12 +2.62 −2.50 617(82nd)
2008 5-4 1906 26.8 21.1 +5.7 1635 +4.8 −6.1 +10.9 1772 −0.66 +1.26 −1.92 595(76th)
2007 10-3 2268 33.2 15.8 +17.3 1720 +13.1 −13.2 +26.2 2156 +2.32 +3.63 −1.31 695(94th)
2006 13-1 2370 33.6 9.9 +23.8 1735 +12.3 −19.6 +32.0 2299 +4.65 +4.74 −0.09 741(97th)
2005 11-1 2340 39.2 10.9 +28.3 1685 +19.7 −16.1 +35.9 2397 +3.72 +4.07 −0.35 751(97th)
2004 13-2 2246 35.6 17.0 +18.6 1702 +15.5 −12.5 +28.0 2201 +3.41 +4.08 −0.66 715(95th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.