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CLASS 6A · District 8-6A

South Grand Prairie Warriors

Enrollment: 3,358 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 2
Rank
#79
was #73
Record
4-2
2-1 district
Elo
1730
#79 of 249
OVR Grade
80.1
#79 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
73.3
#141 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
77.6
#99 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1517
#120 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
Keller Timber Creek (3-3) 1510
 80% (+14) L 25-27 1314 −7.8 −0.4 — −0.83
2
@Arlington Bowie (3-3) 1586
 66% (+6) W 36-31 1542 +7.9 +6.3 +0.25 —
3
Plano East (4-2) 1678
 60% (+4) W 14-13 1779 −6.8 −18.0 +0.33 —
5
Irving MacArthur (3-3) 1027
 96% (+31) W 35-20 1399 −3.1 +0.9 +0.03 —
6
Euless Trinity (4-2) 1869
 52% (+1) L 17-24 1639 −2.3 −7.8 — −0.57
7
@Irving (0-6) 436
 > 98% (+52) W 54-6 1431 −2.1 +0.6 +0.00 —
8
@Fort Worth Haltom (3-3) 1404
 80% (+13) — — — — — —
9
Hurst Bell (3-3) 1286
 87% (+18) — — — — — —
10
@Irving Nimitz (1-5) 325
 > 98% (+56) — — — — — —
11
@Grand Prairie (3-3) 962
 96% (+31) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 8-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 58
Trojans
82.2
1869
 4-2 3-0 30.5 19.3 6.8-0.2 > 98% D1
2 79
Warriors
80.1
1730
 4-2 2-1 30.2 20.2 5.6-1.4 > 98% D1
3 144
Buffaloes
75.2
1404
 3-3 3-0 31.3 19.7 5.2-1.9 > 98% D2
4 166
Blue Raiders
73.4
1286
 3-3 2-1 28.5 15.0 3.9-3.1 84% D2
5 204
Cardinals
69.5
1027
 3-3 1-2 28.2 29.3 2.9-4.1 16.7% —
6 209
Gophers
68.5
962
 3-3 1-2 14.8 27.3 2.4-4.6 < 2% —
7 246
Tigers
60.5
436
 0-6 0-3 8.2 54.7 0.8-6.2 < 2% —
8 247
Vikings
58.9
325
 1-5 0-3 21.0 33.0 0.4-6.6 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how South Grand Prairie’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2005
10-2
Rating 665 (90th)
#2 · 2015
7-5
Rating 657 (89th)
#3 · 2020
6-3
Rating 654 (88th)
#4 · 2014
5-6
Rating 630 (84th)
#5 · 2006
10-2
Rating 627 (84th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 8-2 1718 46.8 16.8 +30.0 1283 +11.2 −9.1 +20.3 2007 −0.39 +0.87 −1.26 616(81st)
2024 6-5 1426 34.9 31.4 +3.5 1303 +0.8 +5.8 −5.0 1375 −3.15 +0.35 −3.50 501(44th)
2023 3-8 1306 28.2 34.5 −6.4 1566 −1.8 +3.7 −5.4 1364 −4.98 +0.16 −5.14 491(41st)
2022 6-6 1850 33.9 23.8 +10.2 1708 +9.9 −8.7 +18.6 1966 −1.31 +1.19 −2.50 614(81st)
2021 7-4 1887 29.1 24.6 +4.5 1683 +2.9 −8.5 +11.5 1786 −0.15 +1.47 −1.62 589(75th)
2020 6-3 2019 23.2 18.1 +5.1 1888 +1.6 −18.4 +20.0 2000 +1.95 +2.56 −0.61 654(88th)
2019 5-6 1754 23.1 26.5 −3.4 1829 +1.5 −9.6 +11.1 1778 −0.80 +1.14 −1.95 588(74th)
2018 5-6 1808 19.2 23.4 −4.2 1843 −0.5 −9.8 +9.3 1732 −0.89 +1.28 −2.17 588(74th)
2017 7-5 1901 22.5 18.5 +4.0 1839 +2.6 −14.5 +17.1 1928 +0.69 +1.68 −0.98 623(83rd)
2016 6-5 1777 26.5 22.1 +4.5 1775 +1.9 −14.1 +16.0 1899 −0.37 +1.31 −1.68 602(78th)
2015 7-5 1993 29.6 28.0 +1.6 1965 +9.7 −9.2 +18.9 1972 +1.80 +2.62 −0.83 657(89th)
2014 5-6 1802 31.6 31.5 +0.2 2029 +10.4 −8.7 +19.1 1976 +0.25 +1.37 −1.12 630(84th)
2013 4-6 1708 21.9 25.5 −3.6 1896 +0.5 −11.2 +11.8 1794 −1.12 +0.98 −2.10 594(76th)
2012 5-5 1734 28.8 28.5 +0.3 1799 +5.4 −8.0 +13.4 1836 −0.09 +1.73 −1.82 593(76th)
2011 4-6 1442 26.0 30.7 −4.7 1616 −0.9 −1.5 +0.5 1513 −3.17 +0.37 −3.54 519(52nd)
2010 6-5 1520 30.2 23.3 +6.9 1561 +2.6 −7.7 +10.3 1756 −1.88 +0.70 −2.58 559(65th)
2009 4-6 1296 26.1 32.2 −6.1 1509 −0.3 +5.7 −6.0 1351 −3.72 +0.67 −4.39 483(38th)
2008 7-4 1697 19.1 17.1 +2.0 1593 −4.4 −10.8 +6.4 1659 −0.63 +1.17 −1.80 567(68th)
2007 3-7 1735 17.1 18.3 −1.2 1648 −3.5 −8.8 +5.3 1633 −3.71 +0.56 −4.28 565(67th)
2006 10-2 2004 32.8 21.6 +11.3 1645 +10.2 −7.1 +17.3 1933 +1.95 +2.41 −0.47 627(84th)
2005 10-2 2129 30.7 17.3 +13.3 1734 +10.2 −13.3 +23.4 2086 +3.55 +3.99 −0.43 665(90th)
2004 6-4 1674 28.2 20.6 +7.6 1638 +5.5 −9.0 +14.5 1863 −1.05 +1.28 −2.33 592(75th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.