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CLASS 6A · District 29-6A

San Antonio Stevens Falcons

Enrollment: 2,410 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 8

Rank

#222

was #232

Record

2-5

1-4 district

Elo

800

#222 of 249

OVR Grade

66

#222 of 249 in 6A

OFF Grade

59.5

#241 of 249 in 6A

DEF Grade

59.9

#225 of 249 in 6A

Perf

504

#236 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk	Opponent (Rec) Elo	Proj WP%	Result	Perf	AOS	ADS	WQ	LQ
1	@San Antonio Veterans Memorial	53% (+1)	L 14-57	-34	−23.2	+38.2	—	−0.98
2	@Del Rio (0-6) 547	57% (+3)	W 35-32	541	−8.8	+29.6	+0.01	—
3	San Antonio Harlan (5-1) 1927	< 2% (-43)	L 0-58	540	−17.9	+20.5	—	−0.45
4	@San Antonio Taft (4-3) 1192	13% (-18)	L 7-35	416	−28.0	+15.4	—	−0.92
5	San Antonio Sotomayor (5-2) 1586	5% (-28)	L 7-27	1016	−15.8	+3.5	—	−0.82
6	@San Antonio O'Connor (3-3) 1131	20% (-13)	L 0-44	127	−31.1	+23.8	—	−0.96
7	San Antonio Holmes (1-5) 523	66% (+6)	W 13-0	920	−29.6	−6.4	+0.00	—
8	@#41San Antonio Brennan (5-1) 2028	< 2% (-49)	—	—	—	—	—	—
10	San Antonio Warren (4-3) 1317	10% (-21)	—	—	—	—	—	—
11	@San Antonio Marshall (1-5) 693	61% (+4)	—	—	—	—	—	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 29-6A

Rk			Team (Enroll Rk)	OVR/Elo	Overall	District	PPG	PAPG	ProjRec	PO%	Bracket
1		41	San Antonio Brennan (2) Bears	84.6 2028	5-1	4-0	50.5	7.0	7.6-0.4	> 98%	D1
2		53	San Antonio Harlan (1) Hawks	83 1927	5-1	4-0	41.5	13.8	7.2-0.8	> 98%	D1
3		102	San Antonio Sotomayor (3) Wildcats	77.9 1586	5-2	4-1	26.7	17.1	5.9-2.1	> 98%	D2
4		162	San Antonio Warren (6) Warriors	73.8 1317	4-3	3-2	29.4	30.4	4.9-3.1	97.9%	D2
5		178	San Antonio Taft (4) Raiders	72 1192	4-3	2-3	24.9	29.4	3.7-4.3	2.1%	—
6		185	San Antonio O'Connor (7) Panthers	71 1131	3-3	2-2	26.2	24.0	3.5-4.5	< 2%	—
7		222	San Antonio Stevens (8) Falcons	66 800	2-5	1-4	10.9	36.1	1.7-6.3	< 2%	—
8		232	San Antonio Marshall (5) Rams	64.4 693	1-5	0-4	12.8	45.2	1.2-6.8	< 2%	—
9		241	San Antonio Holmes (9) Huskies	61.9 523	1-5	0-4	13.7	33.7	0.4-7.6	< 2%	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how San Antonio Stevens’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2010

11-4

Rating 610 (80th)

#2 · 2015

9-3

Rating 583 (73rd)

#3 · 2014

8-4

Rating 579 (71st)

#4 · 2020

7-5

Rating 572 (69th)

#5 · 2008

7-5

Rating 547 (61st)

Team Performance History

Year	Record	Final Elo	PPG	PAPG	Margin	Elo SOS	AOS	ADS	DOM	Perf	RQ	WQ	LQ	All-Time Rating (%ile)
2025	3-7	943	21.1	32.6	−11.5	1212	−13.6	+8.9	−22.5	937	−5.18	+0.12	−5.30	398(15th)
2024	2-8	773	21.0	36.4	−15.4	1290	−11.2	+13.3	−24.6	886	−6.63	+0.04	−6.66	376(11th)
2023	1-9	680	9.9	31.3	−21.4	1309	−20.0	+8.7	−28.7	782	−7.74	+0.01	−7.74	357(8th)
2022	4-6	1147	30.0	32.4	−2.4	1337	+0.8	+8.4	−7.6	1311	−3.99	+0.13	−4.12	463(31st)
2021	1-9	1020	18.1	38.4	−20.3	1534	−8.8	+8.9	−17.6	1059	−6.74	+0.10	−6.84	414(18th)
2020	7-5	1838	26.3	25.8	+0.6	1566	+2.1	−3.4	+5.5	1638	−0.99	+1.98	−2.97	572(69th)
2019	5-6	1461	21.1	22.6	−1.5	1556	−3.0	−2.4	−0.6	1484	−2.25	+0.44	−2.69	512(49th)
2018	4-6	1334	15.3	22.5	−7.2	1530	−10.8	−4.8	−6.0	1349	−2.89	+0.45	−3.34	483(38th)
2017	3-7	1218	20.2	29.7	−9.5	1447	−9.7	+2.1	−11.8	1205	−4.67	+0.15	−4.82	453(29th)
2016	4-6	1464	33.5	29.0	+4.5	1516	+5.1	+1.1	+4.0	1599	−3.41	+0.60	−4.01	527(54th)
2015	9-3	1735	33.9	23.7	+10.2	1492	+4.5	−5.5	+10.0	1750	−0.25	+0.85	−1.11	583(73rd)
2014	8-4	1742	33.6	25.7	+7.9	1487	+6.3	−2.0	+8.3	1708	−0.76	+0.94	−1.71	579(71st)
2013	5-5	1349	33.4	25.0	+8.4	1347	+1.1	+0.3	+0.8	1519	−2.56	+0.26	−2.82	509(48th)
2012	1-9	965	16.8	32.8	−16.0	1508	−11.9	+3.9	−15.8	1106	−7.10	+0.04	−7.14	419(19th)
2011	6-5	1497	22.8	21.4	+1.5	1379	−3.6	−1.4	−2.3	1444	−2.52	+0.75	−3.27	514(50th)
2010	11-4	1920	32.3	27.6	+4.7	1582	+7.4	−0.6	+8.0	1701	+0.57	+2.40	−1.83	610(80th)
2009	7-3	1564	33.0	24.4	+8.6	1404	+5.7	+1.2	+4.5	1612	−0.77	+0.87	−1.64	543(59th)
2008	7-5	1507	27.2	22.6	+4.7	1503	0.0	−3.7	+3.8	1594	−1.96	+1.11	−3.08	547(61st)
2007	4-6	1240	17.5	18.9	−1.4	1340	−9.1	−1.5	−7.6	1309	−4.06	+0.45	−4.51	476(35th)
2006	0-10	805	10.2	35.8	−25.6	1471	−15.6	+10.1	−25.7	856	−7.85	0.00	−7.85	376(11th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).

Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.

AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.

ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.

DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.

Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.

RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.

WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.

LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.

All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.