| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Laredo Martin |
53% (+1) | W 28-21 | 708 | −19.3 | +12.3 | +0.01 | — |
| 2 | @San Antonio MacArthur |
65% (+6) | L 21-27 | 449 | −25.0 | +17.0 | — | −1.00 |
| 3 | San Antonio Sotomayor (5-2) 1586 |
2% (-37) | L 6-35 | 791 | −16.8 | +11.5 | — | −0.80 |
| 4 | @San Antonio O'Connor (3-3) 1131 |
11% (-20) | L 20-36 | 827 | −11.1 | +15.8 | — | −0.96 |
| 6 | #41San Antonio Brennan (5-1) 2028 |
< 2% (-58) | L 7-70 | 798 | −4.1 | +23.9 | — | −0.32 |
| 7 | @San Antonio Stevens (2-5) 800 |
34% (-6) | L 0-13 | 238 | −43.1 | +7.3 | — | −0.99 |
| 8 | San Antonio Warren (4-3) 1317 |
3% (-32) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | @San Antonio Marshall (1-5) 693 |
33% (-7) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | San Antonio Harlan (5-1) 1927 |
< 2% (-56) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | @San Antonio Taft (4-3) 1192 |
6% (-27) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#241
was #240
Record
1-5
0-4 district
Elo
523
#241 of 249
OVR Grade
61.9
#241 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
61
#232 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
62.5
#219 of 249 in 6A
Perf
635
#229 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 29-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance


Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how San Antonio Holmes’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2021
5-5
Rating 491 (41st)
#2 · 2012
4-6
Rating 458 (30th)
#3 · 2010
3-7
Rating 451 (28th)
#4 · 2011
4-6
Rating 448 (27th)
#5 · 2016
5-5
Rating 417 (19th)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.







