| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castroville Medina Valley |
10% (-21) | L 21-59 | 759 | −2.8 | +26.8 | — | −0.70 |
| 2 | @Schertz Clemens (4-2) 1479 |
16% (-16) | L 27-28 | 1435 | −4.3 | −1.7 | — | −0.81 |
| 3 | Kerrville Tivy |
29% (-9) | L 41-77 | 485 | +10.7 | +51.3 | — | −0.90 |
| 5 | San Antonio Clark (1-5) 1197 |
29% (-9) | W 33-28 | 1347 | +1.6 | +7.7 | +0.07 | — |
| 6 | @San Antonio Reagan (3-2-1) 1744 |
9% (-22) | L 7-45 | 606 | −15.7 | +20.1 | — | −0.67 |
| 7 | San Antonio Brandeis (3-3) 1461 |
20% (-13) | L 29-33 | 1290 | +1.3 | +9.7 | — | −0.85 |
| 8 | San Antonio Madison (4-2) 1423 |
20% (-13) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | @San Antonio Lee (3-3) 836 |
75% (+10) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | #18San Antonio Johnson (5-0) 2290 |
< 2% (-48) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | @San Antonio Roosevelt (3-3) 1374 |
24% (-11) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#192
was #191
Record
1-5
1-2 district
Elo
1096
#192 of 249
OVR Grade
70.5
#192 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
73.9
#136 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
58.9
#228 of 249 in 6A
Perf
987
#201 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 28-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance


Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how San Antonio Churchill’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2016
11-3
Rating 620 (82nd)
#2 · 2006
8-3
Rating 603 (78th)
#3 · 2014
8-3
Rating 598 (77th)
#4 · 2010
7-4
Rating 585 (74th)
#5 · 2011
6-6
Rating 582 (72nd)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.






