| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frisco Lonestar |
18% (-15) | L 26-41 | 1705 | +9.6 | +1.4 | — | −0.30 |
| 2 | Richardson Berkner (2-4) 1624 |
67% (+7) | L 30-37 | 1556 | +7.4 | +5.2 | — | −0.82 |
| 3 | @Wylie East (4-2) 1720 |
35% (-6) | W 42-21 | 2402 | +17.1 | −18.9 | +0.35 | — |
| 4 | @Forney (2-4) 1531 |
77% (+12) | L 27-30 | 1559 | +1.5 | −0.9 | — | −0.86 |
| 5 | #8Longview (5-1) 2462 |
3% (-33) | L 7-42 | 1762 | −4.4 | −14.9 | — | −0.08 |
| 7 | #44Rockwall-Heath (4-2) 1987 |
20% (-14) | L 14-42 | 1212 | −14.5 | −3.0 | — | −0.40 |
| 8 | @Mesquite Horn (0-6) 1116 |
87% (+18) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | #37North Forney (1-4) 2041 |
12% (-19) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | 12% (-19) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 11 | Tyler Legacy (2-4) 1413 |
66% (+6) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#104
was #95
Record
1-5
0-3 district
Elo
1569
#104 of 249
OVR Grade
77.6
#104 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
77
#102 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
79.4
#79 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1699
#92 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 10-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance
Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Royse City’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2022
7-5
Rating 574 (70th)
#2 · 2025
5-5
Rating 566 (67th)
#3 · 2023
3-7
Rating 485 (38th)
#4 · 2024
2-8
Rating 442 (25th)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.