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CLASS 6A · District 10-6A

Rockwall-Heath Hawks

Enrollment: 3,079 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 1
Rank
#44
was #47
Record
4-2
3-0 district
Elo
1987
#44 of 249
OVR Grade
84
#44 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
85.5
#34 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
76.3
#108 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1909
#59 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
@#19Denton Guyer (4-2) 2248
11% (-20) L 20-45 1654 +8.4 +2.2 — −0.08
2
Highland Park
37% (-5) W 49-46 2047 +30.4 +8.6 +0.69 —
3
Byron Nelson (3-3) 1653
69% (+7) L 44-46 1564 +9.7 +7.2 — −0.57
4
@Tyler Legacy (2-4) 1413
91% (+22) W 63-35 2072 +16.5 −6.4 +0.11 —
5
Forney (2-4) 1531
86% (+17) W 35-28 1809 +9.5 −2.9 +0.18 —
7
@Royse City (1-5) 1569
80% (+14) W 42-14 2311 +14.7 −17.8 +0.27 —
8
@#8Longview (5-1) 2462
12% (-19) — — — — — —
9
Mesquite Horn (0-6) 1116
97% (+35) — — — — — —
10
@#37North Forney (1-4) 2041
44% (-2) — — — — — —
11
#38Rockwall (4-2) 2040
44% (-2) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 10-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 8
Lobos
91.1
2462
5-1 3-0 48.2 21.0 6.8-0.2 > 98% D2
2 38
Yellowjackets
84.8
2040
4-2 2-1 50.2 45.2 5.3-1.7 > 98% D1
3 44
Hawks
84
1987
4-2 3-0 42.2 35.7 5-2 > 98% D1
4 37
Falcons
84.8
2041
1-4 1-2 38.0 40.6 4.3-2.7 91.3% D2
5 115
Jackrabbits
77.1
1531
2-4 2-1 29.8 26.7 2.9-4.1 8.5% —
6 104
Bulldogs
77.6
1569
1-5 0-3 24.3 35.5 1.8-5.2 < 2% —
7 143
Red Raiders
75.3
1413
2-4 1-2 43.7 52.2 1.8-5.2 < 2% —
8 189
Jaguars
70.8
1116
0-6 0-3 30.7 62.0 0.2-6.8 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Rockwall-Heath’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2020
10-3
Rating 725 (96th)
#2 · 2021
11-2
Rating 690 (93rd)
#3 · 2025
8-4
Rating 682 (92nd)
#4 · 2023
9-3
Rating 635 (85th)
#5 · 2013
6-4
Rating 610 (80th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo
PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS
AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 8-4 2086 37.8 33.7 +4.2 1948 +15.6 −6.3 +22.0 2049 +3.33 +3.87 −0.53 682(92nd)
2024 4-6 1617 32.1 31.1 +1.0 1753 +7.7 −3.6 +11.4 1784 −2.12 +0.98 −3.10 575(70th)
2023 9-3 1995 29.1 23.2 +5.8 1700 +3.4 −12.0 +15.4 1886 +1.35 +1.82 −0.47 635(85th)
2022 7-5 1841 31.7 29.2 +2.4 1771 +7.9 −5.9 +13.8 1845 +0.04 +1.80 −1.76 606(79th)
2021 11-2 2231 50.5 28.5 +22.0 1745 +26.0 −5.6 +31.5 2289 +3.25 +3.65 −0.41 690(93rd)
2020 10-3 2304 48.6 29.7 +18.9 1858 +26.1 −7.5 +33.5 2339 +3.39 +3.69 −0.29 725(96th)
2019 5-5 1674 34.7 35.2 −0.5 1758 +11.0 +1.8 +9.1 1728 −1.25 +0.93 −2.18 567(68th)
2018 3-7 1453 17.2 28.8 −11.6 1722 −8.6 −5.2 −3.4 1415 −3.65 +0.41 −4.05 503(45th)
2017 6-5 1698 29.9 28.0 +1.9 1735 +4.6 −6.1 +10.7 1768 −0.29 +1.61 −1.90 573(70th)
2016 5-5 1643 32.4 27.8 +4.6 1656 +2.2 −8.5 +10.7 1767 −1.51 +1.47 −2.98 567(68th)
2015 1-1 1773 27.0 10.0 +17.0 1403 −3.9 −18.1 +14.2 1854 −0.65 +0.08 −0.72 —
2013 6-4 1888 24.6 16.8 +7.8 1672 −2.0 −16.9 +14.9 1872 −0.04 +1.58 −1.63 610(80th)
2012 6-5 1651 28.4 24.1 +4.3 1599 +2.3 −6.4 +8.7 1717 −1.34 +1.16 −2.50 562(66th)
2011 1-0 1459 20.0 14.0 +6.0 1098 −15.1 +2.1 −17.1 1072 +0.04 +0.04 0.00 —
2010 1-0 1432 35.0 28.0 +7.0 1173 +4.1 +5.4 −1.3 1469 +0.26 +0.26 0.00 —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.