| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mansfield Summit |
40% (-4) | W 20-15 | 1576 | −9.0 | −12.0 | +0.35 | — |
| 2 | @Garland Lakeview Centennial (2-4) 1348 |
67% (+7) | W 38-6 | 2131 | +7.7 | −17.6 | +0.20 | — |
| 3 | @Arlington (4-2) 1558 |
68% (+7) | L 47-52 | 1481 | +17.9 | +18.7 | — | −0.76 |
| 4 | @Mansfield (2-4) 1536 |
57% (+3) | W 23-20 | 1761 | −5.4 | −15.8 | +0.26 | — |
| 5 | #7Duncanville (3-3) 2485 |
4% (-31) | L 0-42 | 1437 | −4.9 | −2.4 | — | −0.07 |
| 7 | @Crowley (2-4) 1433 |
75% (+10) | W 29-28 | 1748 | +5.7 | −4.2 | +0.15 | — |
| 8 | #4Waxahachie (5-1) 2612 |
2% (-36) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | @Mansfield Lake Ridge (4-2) 1880 |
33% (-7) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | Dallas Skyline (1-5) 1070 |
94% (+26) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | < 2% (-47) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#83
was #83
Record
4-2
2-1 district
Elo
1711
#83 of 249
OVR Grade
79.8
#83 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
76.4
#108 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
79.7
#76 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1689
#94 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 11-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance
Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Red Oak’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.