| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arlington Bowie (3-3) 1586 |
27% (-10) | W 19-13 | 1567 | −9.1 | −11.7 | +0.34 | — |
| 2 | @Plano East (4-2) 1678 |
51% (+0) | L 15-48 | 929 | −5.8 | +17.0 | — | −0.77 |
| 3 | @Northwest Eaton (2-4) 1535 |
35% (-6) | W 21-19 | 1596 | −5.2 | −9.1 | +0.25 | — |
| 4 | @McKinney Boyd (2-4) 1298 |
68% (+7) | W 27-0 | 2054 | +0.5 | −21.6 | +0.09 | — |
| 5 | #31Prosper Walnut Grove (5-1) 2078 |
9% (-22) | L 23-44 | 1687 | +3.5 | −4.0 | — | −0.24 |
| 7 | 3% (-33) | L 12-63 | 1149 | −9.2 | +4.9 | — | −0.10 | |
| 8 | #2Allen (6-0) 2857 |
< 2% (-53) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | @McKinney (1-5) 1457 |
59% (+3) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | @Princeton (2-4) 1089 |
87% (+18) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | Dallas Jesuit (4-2) 1660 |
38% (-5) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#111
was #109
Record
3-3
1-2 district
Elo
1541
#111 of 249
OVR Grade
77.2
#111 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
72
#155 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
78.5
#91 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1497
#127 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 6-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance
Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Prosper Rock Hill’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2023
3-7
Rating 533 (56th)
#2 · 2024
6-5
Rating 528 (55th)
#3 · 2025
5-5
Rating 526 (54th)
#4 · 2022
3-7
Rating 514 (50th)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.