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CLASS 6A · District 2-6A

Odessa Bronchos

Enrollment: 4,273 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 2
Rank
#215
was #215
Record
2-5
0-1 district
Elo
906
#215 of 249
OVR Grade
67.6
#215 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
67
#206 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
71.3
#167 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1107
#185 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
MX Academy (Mex)
 92% (+23) W 51-14 — — — +0.00 —
2
El Paso Coronado (4-3) 1079
 54% (+2) W 19-11 1166 −18.1 −4.8 +0.01 —
3
@#18San Antonio Johnson (5-0) 2290
 < 2% (-53) L 0-37 1346 −14.2 −8.0 — −0.14
4
@Abilene Cooper
 8% (-23) L 14-34 1055 −12.9 +4.9 — −0.78
5
San Benito (4-2) 1282
 29% (-9) L 28-32 1058 −2.8 +14.8 — −0.95
6
Chandler Compass (AZ)
 5% (-27) L 27-31 — — — — −0.74
7
Midland (4-3) 1670
 4% (-30) L 13-47 912 −8.6 +15.0 — −0.69
8
@#32Odessa Permian (7-0) 2062
 < 2% (-46) — — — — — —
9
San Angelo Central (4-2) 1566
 6% (-26) — — — — — —
10
@Midland Lee (4-3) 1669
 4% (-31) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 2-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 32
Panthers
85.1
2062
 7-0 1-0 39.6 19.3 3.7-0.3 > 98% D1
2 89
Bulldogs
79.2
1670
 4-3 1-0 29.9 18.4 2.3-1.7 > 98% D2
3 90
Rebels
79.2
1669
 4-3 0-1 34.6 31.3 2.1-1.9 > 98% D1
4 105
Bobcats
77.6
1566
 4-2 0-0 33.2 25.8 1.8-2.2 96.5% D2
5 215
Bronchos
67.6
906
 2-5 0-1 21.7 29.4 0.1-3.9 5.5% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Odessa’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2008
9-3
Rating 600 (77th)
#2 · 2009
9-3
Rating 582 (73rd)
#3 · 2010
5-6
Rating 562 (66th)
#4 · 2013
6-6
Rating 531 (56th)
#5 · 2005
7-3
Rating 528 (55th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 0-10 803 18.6 46.7 −28.1 1517 −12.2 +16.8 −29.1 773 −8.15 0.00 −8.15 364(9th)
2024 2-7 1040 30.3 52.3 −22.0 1442 −4.1 +19.9 −24.1 898 −5.04 +0.23 −5.26 402(15th)
2023 5-5 1288 36.9 43.8 −6.9 1467 +5.8 +13.1 −7.4 1316 −2.37 +0.65 −3.03 483(38th)
2022 3-7 1208 31.2 42.6 −11.4 1552 +2.2 +11.1 −8.9 1277 −4.07 +0.40 −4.47 464(31st)
2021 3-7 1265 31.7 39.5 −7.8 1573 +4.1 +9.0 −4.9 1378 −4.02 +0.71 −4.73 478(36th)
2020 0-7 914 7.4 38.7 −31.3 1645 −21.9 +4.6 −26.4 839 −4.71 0.00 −4.71 —
2019 2-8 1061 19.1 40.2 −21.1 1631 −10.8 +9.9 −20.6 984 −5.38 +0.28 −5.66 409(17th)
2018 5-5 1385 31.3 24.3 +7.0 1523 −0.7 −3.8 +3.1 1578 −2.33 +0.66 −2.99 518(51st)
2017 3-7 1270 21.2 27.2 −6.0 1597 −7.2 −4.2 −3.0 1425 −3.16 +0.74 −3.90 487(39th)
2016 0-10 936 9.3 49.4 −40.1 1735 −16.7 +12.3 −29.0 775 −6.01 0.00 −6.01 372(10th)
2015 2-8 1291 23.1 39.4 −16.3 1695 −0.5 +6.3 −6.8 1330 −4.25 +0.54 −4.78 476(35th)
2014 4-6 1541 21.1 25.9 −4.8 1634 −5.6 −6.5 +0.9 1523 −3.04 +0.88 −3.92 525(54th)
2013 6-6 1619 28.5 34.9 −6.4 1574 −2.1 +1.1 −3.2 1421 −2.41 +0.96 −3.37 531(56th)
2012 1-9 1099 9.1 40.0 −30.9 1586 −15.9 +11.7 −27.6 810 −5.94 +0.05 −5.98 391(13th)
2011 2-8 1445 18.8 33.8 −15.0 1705 −4.2 +2.7 −6.9 1328 −4.30 +0.86 −5.16 494(42nd)
2010 5-6 1773 28.2 33.0 −4.8 1725 +4.4 0.0 +4.4 1610 −1.29 +0.95 −2.24 562(66th)
2009 9-3 1787 32.6 20.1 +12.5 1467 +5.2 −5.2 +10.5 1762 −0.09 +1.86 −1.95 582(73rd)
2008 9-3 1818 37.5 26.0 +11.5 1483 +8.8 −2.5 +11.3 1782 +0.59 +2.05 −1.46 600(77th)
2007 2-8 1057 16.4 25.5 −9.1 1583 −7.3 −1.9 −5.4 1365 −5.34 +0.33 −5.67 467(32nd)
2006 2-8 1209 23.5 29.3 −5.8 1434 −4.6 +3.7 −8.3 1292 −6.29 +0.17 −6.46 471(34th)
2005 7-3 1558 23.2 20.3 +2.9 1442 −4.7 −3.8 −0.9 1478 −0.39 +0.72 −1.12 528(55th)
2004 4-6 1224 19.3 38.0 −18.7 1499 −6.1 +8.1 −14.2 1146 −3.81 +0.40 −4.22 455(29th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.