| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amarillo Tascosa |
55% (+2) | W 38-7 | 2369 | +11.9 | −22.9 | +0.35 | — |
| 2 | @Killeen Harker Heights (4-2) 1909 |
36% (-5) | W 45-38 | 1921 | +13.7 | −3.2 | +0.64 | — |
| 3 | @Abilene |
81% (+14) | W 41-29 | 1879 | +14.6 | −0.6 | +0.27 | — |
| 4 | El Paso Pebble Hills (6-1) 1710 |
83% (+15) | W 38-24 | 2051 | +12.4 | −9.7 | +0.27 | — |
| 5 | Chandler Compass (AZ) |
85% (+17) | W 45-14 | — | — | — | +0.26 | — |
| 6 | Camden High (NJ) |
51% (+1) | W 28-13 | — | — | — | +0.65 | — |
| 7 | @Midland Lee (4-3) 1669 |
78% (+12) | W 42-10 | 2346 | +11.1 | −22.8 | +0.36 | — |
| 8 | Odessa (2-5) 906 |
> 98% (+46) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | @Midland (4-3) 1670 |
84% (+16) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | San Angelo Central (4-2) 1566 |
89% (+20) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#32
was #44
Record
7-0
1-0 district
Elo
2062
#32 of 249
OVR Grade
85.1
#32 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
83.9
#45 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
85.1
#36 of 249 in 6A
Perf
2113
#37 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 2-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance
Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Odessa Permian’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2015
10-2
Rating 713 (95th)
#2 · 2007
12-1
Rating 709 (95th)
#3 · 2008
12-1
Rating 687 (92nd)
#4 · 2018
8-4
Rating 656 (89th)
#5 · 2017
9-2
Rating 651 (88th)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.