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CLASS 6A · District 2-6A

Midland Bulldogs

Enrollment: 3,549 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 4

Rank

#89

was #89

Record

4-3

1-0 district

Elo

1670

#89 of 249

OVR Grade

79.2

#89 of 249 in 6A

OFF Grade

77.6

#95 of 249 in 6A

DEF Grade

83

#48 of 249 in 6A

Perf

1828

#71 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk	Opponent (Rec) Elo	Proj WP%	Result	Perf	AOS	ADS	WQ	LQ
1	El Paso Pebble Hills (6-1) 1710	35% (-6)	L 17-31	1351	−8.6	−2.7	—	−0.80
2	@Keller (6-0) 1806	23% (-12)	L 24-55	1070	−9.0	+8.2	—	−0.73
3	Amarillo	15% (-17)	L 14-17	1617	−10.2	−14.8	—	−0.67
4	@Bastrop	16% (-16)	W 49-0	2597	+18.4	−25.4	+0.31	—
5	@Harlingen (4-2) 1428	50% (+0)	W 44-7	2387	+16.8	−18.6	+0.21	—
6	Red Bluff (CA)	31% (-8)	W 14-6	—	—	—	+0.50	—
7	@Odessa (2-5) 906	96% (+30)	W 47-13	1943	+14.5	−3.3	+0.02	—
9	#32Odessa Permian (7-0) 2062	16% (-16)	—	—	—	—	—	—
10	@San Angelo Central (4-2) 1566	61% (+4)	—	—	—	—	—	—
11	Midland Lee (4-3) 1669	50% (+0)	—	—	—	—	—	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 2-6A

Rk			Team (Enroll Rk)	OVR/Elo	Overall	District	PPG	PAPG	ProjRec	PO%	Bracket
1		32	Odessa Permian (1) Panthers	85.1 2062	7-0	1-0	39.6	19.3	3.7-0.3	> 98%	D1
2		89	Midland (4) Bulldogs	79.2 1670	4-3	1-0	29.9	18.4	2.3-1.7	> 98%	D2
3		90	Midland Lee (3) Rebels	79.2 1669	4-3	0-1	34.6	31.3	2.1-1.9	> 98%	D1
4		105	San Angelo Central (5) Bobcats	77.6 1566	4-2	0-0	33.2	25.8	1.8-2.2	96.5%	D2
5		215	Odessa (2) Bronchos	67.6 906	2-5	0-1	21.7	29.4	0.1-3.9	5.5%	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Midland’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2005

10-3

Rating 667 (90th)

#2 · 2010

11-2

Rating 651 (88th)

#3 · 2016

9-3

Rating 615 (81st)

#4 · 2004

10-3

Rating 596 (76th)

#5 · 2024

8-4

Rating 583 (73rd)

Team Performance History

Year	Record	Final Elo	PPG	PAPG	Margin	Elo SOS	AOS	ADS	DOM	Perf	RQ	WQ	LQ	All-Time Rating (%ile)
2025	2-8	1261	28.6	33.4	−4.8	1597	−4.5	0.0	−4.6	1386	−4.44	+0.02	−4.47	486(39th)
2024	8-4	1671	39.5	29.3	+10.2	1474	+5.8	−4.1	+9.9	1747	−1.23	+0.69	−1.92	583(73rd)
2023	9-3	1606	36.8	23.8	+13.1	1374	+2.8	−5.7	+8.5	1714	−0.11	+1.10	−1.21	566(67th)
2022	5-5	1370	30.5	28.3	+2.2	1408	−2.6	−2.1	−0.5	1489	−2.70	+0.46	−3.16	507(47th)
2021	2-8	1190	28.8	37.0	−8.2	1591	+1.2	+5.5	−4.3	1392	−5.11	+0.28	−5.40	474(34th)
2020	1-8	1107	22.9	45.9	−23.0	1592	−5.5	+14.5	−19.9	1002	−5.26	+0.04	−5.30	410(17th)
2019	2-8	1218	13.5	42.9	−29.4	1651	−13.1	+8.8	−22.0	951	−4.44	+0.17	−4.61	419(19th)
2018	4-7	1443	31.7	38.6	−6.9	1597	+5.3	+5.5	−0.3	1493	−4.01	+0.59	−4.61	512(49th)
2017	3-8	1455	26.2	37.0	−10.8	1670	−2.5	+2.0	−4.5	1386	−3.99	+0.48	−4.47	499(44th)
2016	9-3	1878	43.1	31.6	+11.5	1662	+13.4	−3.0	+16.3	1908	+1.32	+2.04	−0.72	615(81st)
2015	4-7	1622	21.0	37.5	−16.5	1685	−3.7	+3.3	−7.0	1325	−2.38	+0.92	−3.30	505(46th)
2014	5-6	1620	28.5	25.0	+3.5	1736	+4.8	−7.6	+12.4	1810	−1.32	+1.49	−2.81	572(69th)
2013	5-5	1480	33.1	38.4	−5.3	1544	+2.2	+5.3	−3.1	1422	−2.42	+0.80	−3.22	507(47th)
2012	5-5	1645	27.2	25.6	+1.6	1580	+2.0	−2.9	+5.0	1624	−1.64	+0.38	−2.02	550(62nd)
2011	6-5	1740	31.5	24.4	+7.1	1621	+5.7	−4.8	+10.5	1763	−1.68	+1.06	−2.75	579(71st)
2010	11-2	2107	36.5	23.0	+13.5	1646	+10.9	−8.7	+19.6	1990	+3.39	+3.54	−0.15	651(88th)
2009	5-5	1621	30.7	25.2	+5.5	1457	+3.8	+0.9	+2.9	1572	−2.35	+0.40	−2.75	542(59th)
2008	8-4	1725	35.2	30.9	+4.2	1562	+8.2	+1.1	+7.0	1676	+0.27	+1.55	−1.28	575(70th)
2007	4-6	1502	18.8	24.6	−5.8	1600	−3.2	−3.5	+0.3	1507	−2.51	+0.93	−3.44	525(54th)
2006	6-6	1485	26.5	25.9	+0.6	1530	+1.2	−1.2	+2.4	1560	−3.40	+1.12	−4.52	532(56th)
2005	10-3	2023	31.7	13.5	+18.2	1573	+9.0	−11.8	+20.8	2020	+1.28	+2.54	−1.26	667(90th)
2004	10-3	1750	31.9	24.5	+7.5	1526	+7.3	−3.2	+10.4	1761	+0.32	+1.39	−1.07	596(76th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).

Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.

AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.

ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.

DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.

Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.

RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.

WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.

LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.

All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.