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CLASS 6A · District 2-6A

Midland Lee Rebels

Enrollment: 3,681 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 3

Rank

#90

was #77

Record

4-3

0-1 district

Elo

1669

#90 of 249

OVR Grade

79.2

#90 of 249 in 6A

OFF Grade

77.5

#96 of 249 in 6A

DEF Grade

72.4

#152 of 249 in 6A

Perf

1512

#122 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk	Opponent (Rec) Elo	Proj WP%	Result	Perf	AOS	ADS	WQ	LQ
1	@Plano (2-4) 1451	73% (+10)	W 41-33	1617	+13.5	+8.8	+0.17	—
2	El Paso Franklin (3-3) 1129	93% (+24)	W 48-17	1893	+13.2	−2.5	+0.05	—
3	@El Paso Eastlake (4-2) 1323	82% (+15)	L 48-51	1061	+4.7	+22.3	—	−0.87
4	Liberty Hill	50% (0)	W 28-21	1771	+1.9	−8.9	+0.32	—
5	@#15Austin Westlake (5-1) 2332	11% (-20)	L 6-49	1380	−4.6	+0.2	—	−0.16
6	Somerset Academy (NV)	98% (+37)	W 61-6	—	—	—	+0.01	—
7	#32Odessa Permian (7-0) 2062	22% (-12)	L 10-42	1350	−7.6	−1.6	—	−0.33
8	@San Angelo Central (4-2) 1566	61% (+4)	—	—	—	—	—	—
10	Odessa (2-5) 906	96% (+31)	—	—	—	—	—	—
11	@Midland (4-3) 1670	50% (0)	—	—	—	—	—	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 2-6A

Rk			Team (Enroll Rk)	OVR/Elo	Overall	District	PPG	PAPG	ProjRec	PO%	Bracket
1		32	Odessa Permian (1) Panthers	85.1 2062	7-0	1-0	39.6	19.3	3.7-0.3	> 98%	D1
2		89	Midland (4) Bulldogs	79.2 1670	4-3	1-0	29.9	18.4	2.3-1.7	> 98%	D2
3		90	Midland Lee (3) Rebels	79.2 1669	4-3	0-1	34.6	31.3	2.1-1.9	> 98%	D1
4		105	San Angelo Central (5) Bobcats	77.6 1566	4-2	0-0	33.2	25.8	1.8-2.2	96.5%	D2
5		215	Odessa (2) Bronchos	67.6 906	2-5	0-1	21.7	29.4	0.1-3.9	5.5%	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Midland Lee’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2019

11-2

Rating 692 (93rd)

#2 · 2021

10-2

Rating 681 (92nd)

#3 · 2004

8-3

Rating 673 (91st)

#4 · 2018

9-3

Rating 651 (88th)

#5 · 2020

9-2

Rating 651 (88th)

Team Performance History

Year	Record	Final Elo	PPG	PAPG	Margin	Elo SOS	AOS	ADS	DOM	Perf	RQ	WQ	LQ	All-Time Rating (%ile)
2025	6-6	1871	35.5	41.6	−6.1	1805	+11.5	+4.9	+6.6	1664	−0.29	+0.94	−1.23	598(77th)
2024	6-6	1874	37.8	38.7	−0.9	1762	+13.4	+0.1	+13.3	1832	−1.09	+1.25	−2.34	617(82nd)
2023	10-3	1996	47.2	33.9	+13.2	1589	+17.6	−0.1	+17.7	1943	+1.81	+3.01	−1.20	639(86th)
2022	7-5	1871	42.3	30.7	+11.7	1665	+15.3	−3.3	+18.5	1964	−0.65	+1.75	−2.40	623(83rd)
2021	10-2	2201	44.9	24.9	+20.0	1728	+20.1	−10.4	+30.5	2262	+2.92	+3.10	−0.18	681(92nd)
2020	9-2	2054	48.7	28.6	+20.1	1596	+20.1	−3.4	+23.5	2087	+1.18	+1.88	−0.70	651(88th)
2019	11-2	2167	53.7	26.5	+27.2	1699	+27.3	−7.2	+34.5	2362	+2.81	+3.45	−0.64	692(93rd)
2018	9-3	1910	42.0	21.9	+20.1	1630	+15.4	−10.1	+25.5	2138	+1.27	+3.09	−1.82	651(88th)
2017	10-3	1890	42.8	28.0	+14.8	1597	+13.9	−3.4	+17.3	1932	+1.73	+2.40	−0.68	622(83rd)
2016	3-7	1332	31.0	42.0	−11.0	1660	+3.0	+6.3	−3.3	1417	−3.68	+0.74	−4.42	491(41st)
2015	4-6	1464	24.7	30.3	−5.6	1775	−0.1	−5.8	+5.8	1644	−1.75	+1.11	−2.87	539(58th)
2014	1-9	1240	22.3	40.4	−18.1	1773	−1.0	+6.4	−7.5	1313	−5.34	+0.17	−5.51	475(35th)
2013	9-3	1806	36.2	31.3	+4.8	1663	+7.9	−5.1	+13.1	1826	+0.90	+1.63	−0.72	598(77th)
2012	6-4	1603	32.0	22.5	+9.5	1523	+5.5	−4.0	+9.5	1739	−1.16	+1.21	−2.37	561(66th)
2011	6-4	1711	31.4	19.3	+12.1	1568	+4.5	−9.6	+14.1	1853	−1.11	+1.06	−2.17	588(74th)
2010	6-4	1632	31.2	31.7	−0.5	1679	+7.0	+1.1	+6.0	1649	−0.38	+1.43	−1.81	554(63rd)
2009	6-5	1645	28.5	28.1	+0.4	1485	+2.5	+3.3	−0.8	1480	−1.77	+1.38	−3.15	533(56th)
2008	7-4	1754	28.6	19.3	+9.4	1508	+0.2	−10.1	+10.3	1757	−1.01	+1.38	−2.40	580(72nd)
2007	6-6	1688	28.2	22.5	+5.8	1586	+6.1	−3.9	+10.0	1751	−1.90	+0.95	−2.84	586(74th)
2006	5-7	1517	22.9	29.6	−6.7	1601	−1.4	0.0	−1.4	1464	−3.44	+0.80	−4.25	533(56th)
2005	4-7	1678	24.5	28.7	−4.3	1826	+4.3	−5.5	+9.8	1746	−2.28	+0.94	−3.22	585(73rd)
2004	8-3	2008	41.6	22.0	+19.6	1736	+19.5	−10.0	+29.4	2235	+0.83	+1.85	−1.02	673(91st)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).

Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.

AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.

ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.

DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.

Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.

RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.

WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.

LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.

All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.