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CLASS 6A · District 6-6A

McKinney Lions

Enrollment: 2,549 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 5
Rank
#130
was #133
Record
1-5
0-3 district
Elo
1457
#130 of 249
OVR Grade
76
#130 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
77.3
#99 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
73.1
#143 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1527
#117 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
@McKinney North
 69% (+8) L 24-31 1384 −2.8 +1.8 — −0.91
2
Forney (2-4) 1531
 20% (-13) W 23-14 1859 −2.5 −16.9 +0.36 —
3
@Little Elm (3-3) 1426
 57% (+3) L 28-31 1572 +3.7 +0.9 — −0.84
4
@#31Prosper Walnut Grove (5-1) 2078
 7% (-25) L 35-63 1512 +15.5 +15.0 — −0.25
5
#11Prosper (5-1) 2389
 2% (-37) L 26-63 1499 +4.8 +4.9 — −0.10
7
@#2Allen (6-0) 2857
 < 2% (-56) L 3-70 1338 +1.2 +7.7 — −0.01
8
@Princeton (2-4) 1089
 82% (+15) — — — — — —
9
Prosper Rock Hill (3-3) 1541
 41% (-3) — — — — — —
10
@Dallas Jesuit (4-2) 1660
 30% (-8) — — — — — —
11
McKinney Boyd (2-4) 1298
 66% (+6) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 6-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 2
Eagles
97.1
2857
 6-0 3-0 53.0 13.2 7-0 > 98% D1
2 11
Eagles
90
2389
 5-1 2-1 50.3 34.8 5.7-1.3 > 98% D1
3 91
Rangers
79
1660
 4-2 3-0 35.5 32.3 4.4-2.6 85.5% D2
4 31
Wildcats
85.3
2078
 5-1 2-1 46.2 24.2 4.2-2.8 > 98% D2
5 111
Blue Hawks
77.2
1541
 3-3 1-2 19.5 31.2 2.9-4.2 10.2% —
6 130
Lions
76
1457
 1-5 0-3 23.2 45.3 2.2-4.8 5.3% —
7 163
Broncos
73.6
1298
 2-4 1-2 21.7 24.5 1.4-5.6 < 2% —
8 194
Panthers
70.4
1089
 2-4 0-3 19.3 32.7 0.3-6.7 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how McKinney’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2022
8-5
Rating 680 (92nd)
#2 · 2023
9-3
Rating 647 (87th)
#3 · 2021
3-6
Rating 586 (74th)
#4 · 2017
7-4
Rating 572 (70th)
#5 · 2019
7-5
Rating 566 (67th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 3-7 1297 16.0 30.0 −14.0 1644 −8.7 −1.5 −7.1 1321 −3.54 +0.31 −3.85 481(37th)
2024 6-5 1622 26.8 23.5 +3.4 1581 −0.3 −7.6 +7.2 1681 −1.44 +0.59 −2.04 558(65th)
2023 9-3 2020 30.9 19.1 +11.8 1686 +5.8 −13.8 +19.6 1991 +1.91 +2.85 −0.94 647(87th)
2022 8-5 2086 38.5 26.9 +11.5 1844 +15.5 −9.9 +25.3 2134 +1.75 +2.31 −0.56 680(92nd)
2021 3-6 1642 23.1 30.1 −7.0 1924 +1.4 −9.8 +11.3 1782 −1.29 +0.51 −1.80 586(74th)
2020 5-5 1674 22.9 27.0 −4.1 1788 −1.7 −8.9 +7.2 1679 −0.61 +0.76 −1.38 558(65th)
2019 7-5 1734 30.2 28.5 +1.7 1668 +5.8 −2.4 +8.2 1706 −0.34 +1.36 −1.70 566(67th)
2018 4-7 1521 21.1 29.0 −7.9 1643 −5.4 −4.0 −1.4 1466 −3.63 +0.72 −4.35 515(50th)
2017 7-4 1677 30.3 30.2 +0.1 1766 +6.6 −3.6 +10.2 1754 +0.42 +1.64 −1.22 572(70th)
2016 4-6 1269 26.5 39.9 −13.4 1661 +0.3 +6.8 −6.6 1336 −2.27 +0.94 −3.20 475(35th)
2015 0-1 1334 28.0 45.0 −17.0 1174 −18.8 +17.2 −36.0 599 −0.88 0.00 −0.88 —
2014 1-0 1450 26.0 21.0 +5.0 1380 −12.7 −2.7 −9.9 1252 +0.10 +0.10 0.00 —
2013 3-6 1393 19.2 29.4 −10.2 1723 −3.4 −1.4 −2.0 1450 −2.17 +0.08 −2.25 504(46th)
2012 5-5 1474 32.7 36.4 −3.7 1574 +5.5 +6.3 −0.8 1480 −1.62 +0.90 −2.52 515(50th)
2011 0-1 1043 28.0 38.0 −10.0 1890 +9.2 +4.5 +4.7 1617 −0.52 0.00 −0.52 —
2010 0-1 1023 33.0 57.0 −24.0 1949 +13.9 +22.0 −8.1 1298 −0.81 0.00 −0.81 —
2009 0-2 1024 38.5 67.0 −28.5 1421 +6.8 +36.1 −29.3 767 −1.79 0.00 −1.79 —
2008 0-2 1191 35.0 44.5 −9.5 1175 +3.8 +18.4 −14.6 1134 −1.80 0.00 −1.80 —
2007 2-0 1342 27.0 14.0 +13.0 911 −7.4 −2.0 −5.4 1364 +0.06 +0.06 0.00 —
2006 1-1 1270 22.5 21.0 +1.5 1008 −16.3 +4.6 −20.9 978 −0.88 +0.03 −0.91 —
2005 0-1 1280 9.0 23.0 −14.0 1191 −24.0 −2.4 −21.6 959 −0.98 0.00 −0.98 —
2004 1-0 1515 8.0 5.0 +3.0 944 −26.0 −15.3 −10.7 1233 +0.05 +0.05 0.00 —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.