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CLASS 6A · District 6-6A

McKinney Boyd Broncos

Enrollment: 2,599 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 4
Rank
#163
was #172
Record
2-4
1-2 district
Elo
1298
#163 of 249
OVR Grade
73.6
#163 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
69.6
#179 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
78.9
#85 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1423
#137 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
Flower Mound (5-1) 1720
 37% (-5) L 24-28 1710 +5.7 −2.7 — −0.85
2
@Richardson Pearce (0-6) 1004
 62% (+5) W 29-7 1518 −7.2 −8.0 +0.05 —
3
@Keller (6-0) 1806
 21% (-12) L 27-41 1495 −6.0 −5.8 — −0.69
4
Prosper Rock Hill (3-3) 1541
 32% (-7) L 0-27 809 −26.2 +1.5 — −0.82
5
@Dallas Jesuit (4-2) 1660
 20% (-13) L 28-35 1530 −0.6 −1.8 — −0.76
7
Princeton (2-4) 1089
 55% (+2) W 22-9 1475 −11.4 −10.4 +0.06 —
8
#31Prosper Walnut Grove (5-1) 2078
 4% (-31) — — — — — —
9
@#11Prosper (5-1) 2389
 < 2% (-44) — — — — — —
10
#2Allen (6-0) 2857
 < 2% (-62) — — — — — —
11
@McKinney (1-5) 1457
 34% (-6) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 6-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 2
Eagles
97.1
2857
 6-0 3-0 53.0 13.2 7-0 > 98% D1
2 11
Eagles
90
2389
 5-1 2-1 50.3 34.8 5.7-1.3 > 98% D1
3 91
Rangers
79
1660
 4-2 3-0 35.5 32.3 4.4-2.6 85.5% D2
4 31
Wildcats
85.3
2078
 5-1 2-1 46.2 24.2 4.2-2.8 > 98% D2
5 111
Blue Hawks
77.2
1541
 3-3 1-2 19.5 31.2 2.9-4.2 10.2% —
6 130
Lions
76
1457
 1-5 0-3 23.2 45.3 2.2-4.8 5.3% —
7 163
Broncos
73.6
1298
 2-4 1-2 21.7 24.5 1.4-5.6 < 2% —
8 194
Panthers
70.4
1089
 2-4 0-3 19.3 32.7 0.3-6.7 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how McKinney Boyd’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2014
8-4
Rating 683 (92nd)
#2 · 2013
7-5
Rating 655 (88th)
#3 · 2021
8-3
Rating 649 (87th)
#4 · 2012
6-5
Rating 624 (83rd)
#5 · 2010
9-3
Rating 620 (82nd)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 1-9 1059 20.8 33.6 −12.8 1655 −4.8 +3.4 −8.2 1295 −5.76 +0.02 −5.79 456(29th)
2024 3-7 1267 28.2 34.3 −6.1 1539 +0.2 +4.3 −4.0 1399 −3.60 +0.10 −3.70 489(40th)
2023 1-9 1125 16.1 46.2 −30.1 1679 −9.6 +12.5 −22.1 948 −4.73 +0.04 −4.77 420(19th)
2022 2-8 1491 21.4 39.5 −18.1 1928 +0.6 −0.2 +0.8 1521 −3.04 +0.22 −3.27 542(59th)
2021 8-3 2020 29.1 22.9 +6.2 1899 +6.2 −14.4 +20.6 2015 +2.20 +2.62 −0.42 649(87th)
2020 4-7 1640 18.2 23.1 −4.9 1867 −5.7 −15.0 +9.3 1732 −2.18 +0.75 −2.93 570(69th)
2019 3-7 1519 18.8 22.0 −3.2 1751 −4.8 −11.7 +6.9 1671 −3.57 +0.55 −4.12 545(60th)
2018 2-8 1368 25.6 38.4 −12.8 1712 +1.2 +5.6 −4.4 1391 −4.25 +0.44 −4.70 491(41st)
2017 5-5 1652 18.4 25.4 −7.0 1835 −4.6 −11.0 +6.4 1660 −0.48 +1.28 −1.76 565(67th)
2016 2-8 1487 17.2 40.2 −23.0 1800 −6.2 +3.5 −9.7 1257 −3.81 +0.27 −4.08 492(41st)
2015 5-5 1843 27.2 31.0 −3.8 1857 +6.9 −4.2 +11.1 1778 +0.17 +2.30 −2.13 599(77th)
2014 8-4 2153 31.2 24.4 +6.8 1937 +9.6 −14.5 +24.0 2100 +2.62 +3.27 −0.65 683(92nd)
2013 7-5 2005 30.3 24.4 +5.9 1887 +10.5 −11.9 +22.4 2059 +1.13 +2.45 −1.32 655(88th)
2012 6-5 1797 27.8 25.0 +2.8 1889 +6.1 −12.1 +18.3 1956 −0.08 +1.95 −2.03 624(83rd)
2011 8-3 1890 32.8 18.6 +14.2 1507 +4.7 −9.9 +14.6 1865 −0.15 +1.05 −1.20 607(79th)
2010 9-3 1949 34.3 19.2 +15.1 1508 +8.0 −8.0 +16.0 1899 +0.66 +1.93 −1.27 620(82nd)
2009 4-6 1483 35.6 39.9 −4.3 1684 +10.5 +8.3 +2.1 1554 −1.38 +0.95 −2.33 527(54th)
2008 2-7 1228 20.8 38.1 −17.3 1888 −1.1 +2.4 −3.5 1413 −2.95 +0.24 −3.19 503(45th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.