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CLASS 6A · District 11-6A

Mansfield Lake Ridge Eagles

Enrollment: 2,678 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 5

Rank

#56

was #58

Record

4-2

2-1 district

Elo

1880

#56 of 249

OVR Grade

82.3

#56 of 249 in 6A

OFF Grade

84.1

#43 of 249 in 6A

DEF Grade

72.3

#154 of 249 in 6A

Perf

1744

#87 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk	Opponent (Rec) Elo	Proj WP%	Result	Perf	AOS	ADS	WQ	LQ
1	@#31Prosper Walnut Grove (5-1) 2078	46% (-2)	L 28-49	1687	+8.5	+1.0	—	−0.46
2	San Angelo Central (4-2) 1566	64% (+5)	W 47-28	2014	+18.6	−2.0	+0.28	—
3	@Richardson Lake Highlands (4-2) 1695	73% (+10)	W 44-38	1807	+18.7	+6.5	+0.25	—
4	@#4Waxahachie (5-1) 2612	3% (-33)	L 27-63	1652	+13.4	+7.4	—	−0.03
5	Mansfield (2-4) 1536	77% (+12)	W 49-45	1786	+20.6	+9.2	+0.23	—
7	Dallas Skyline (1-5) 1070	97% (+32)	W 37-18	1518	−2.1	−2.9	+0.04	—
8	@#1North Crowley (6-0) 2885	< 2% (-40)	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	Red Oak (4-2) 1711	67% (+7)	—	—	—	—	—	—
10	@#7Duncanville (3-3) 2485	7% (-24)	—	—	—	—	—	—
11	Crowley (2-4) 1433	87% (+18)	—	—	—	—	—	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 11-6A

Rk			Team (Enroll Rk)	OVR/Elo	Overall	District	PPG	PAPG	ProjRec	PO%	Bracket
1		1	North Crowley (4) Panthers	97.5 2885	6-0	3-0	38.5	15.2	7-0	> 98%	D2
2		4	Waxahachie (3) Indians	93.4 2612	5-1	2-1	47.3	25.2	5.6-1.4	> 98%	D1
3		7	Duncanville (1) Panthers	91.5 2485	3-3	2-1	29.7	18.0	5.3-1.7	> 98%	D1
4		56	Mansfield Lake Ridge (5) Eagles	82.3 1880	4-2	2-1	38.7	40.2	3.6-3.4	67.8%	D2
5		83	Red Oak (8) Hawks	79.8 1711	4-2	2-1	26.2	27.2	3.3-3.7	32%	—
6		135	Crowley (7) Eagles	75.6 1433	2-4	1-2	27.8	27.5	1.5-5.5	< 2%	—
7		113	Mansfield (6) Tigers	77.1 1536	2-4	0-3	31.2	35.2	1.5-5.5	< 2%	—
8		197	Dallas Skyline (2) Raiders	70.1 1070	1-5	0-3	18.8	42.2	0.2-6.8	< 2%	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Mansfield Lake Ridge’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2018

9-3

Rating 615 (81st)

#2 · 2025

9-3

Rating 596 (76th)

#3 · 2022

4-6

Rating 584 (73rd)

#4 · 2019

5-5

Rating 569 (68th)

#5 · 2021

3-7

Rating 551 (62nd)

Team Performance History

Year	Record	Final Elo	PPG	PAPG	Margin	Elo SOS	AOS	ADS	DOM	Perf	RQ	WQ	LQ	All-Time Rating (%ile)
2025	9-3	1760	41.6	34.7	+6.9	1592	+13.3	+1.6	+11.7	1793	+1.04	+1.90	−0.85	596(76th)
2024	1-9	814	17.6	43.5	−25.9	1586	−11.3	+12.7	−24.0	900	−6.49	+0.07	−6.57	382(12th)
2023	0-10	1052	13.4	46.2	−32.8	1903	−7.1	+9.9	−17.0	1075	−5.68	0.00	−5.68	448(27th)
2022	4-6	1688	32.1	35.8	−3.7	1837	+12.2	+1.5	+10.7	1767	−1.28	+0.79	−2.06	584(73rd)
2021	3-7	1547	27.5	43.5	−16.0	1924	+8.6	+5.2	+3.4	1584	−1.47	+0.53	−2.00	551(62nd)
2020	0-9	1312	12.7	38.0	−25.3	2073	−5.1	−1.0	−4.2	1395	−3.83	0.00	−3.83	503(45th)
2019	5-5	1781	33.9	37.0	−3.1	1727	+9.9	+2.3	+7.6	1690	−0.95	+1.53	−2.48	569(68th)
2018	9-3	1965	35.7	29.6	+6.1	1733	+13.7	−2.4	+16.2	1904	+2.16	+3.62	−1.46	615(81st)
2017	0-1	1447	21.0	37.0	−16.0	2061	+2.8	−1.1	+3.9	1599	−0.20	0.00	−0.20	—
2016	0-1	1451	35.0	55.0	−20.0	2217	+20.6	+13.2	+7.4	1685	−0.18	0.00	−0.18	—
2015	1-0	1455	30.0	13.0	+17.0	1603	+1.6	−18.6	+20.2	2004	+0.41	+0.41	0.00	—
2014	0-1	1195	21.0	38.0	−17.0	1662	−2.7	+4.7	−7.4	1316	−0.36	0.00	−0.36	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).

Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.

AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.

ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.

DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.

Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.

RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.

WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.

LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.

All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.