| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #40Willis (4-2) 2033 |
22% (-12) | L 0-38 | 1053 | −18.7 | −0.8 | — | −0.21 |
| 2 | @College Station |
31% (-8) | L 27-30 | 1959 | +9.7 | −8.7 | — | −0.34 |
| 3 | @Magnolia West (2-4) 1221 |
88% (+19) | W 55-7 | 2268 | +15.6 | −15.1 | +0.09 | — |
| 4 | Klein Collins (5-2) 1934 |
33% (-7) | L 35-42 | 1917 | +15.4 | −1.3 | — | −0.37 |
| 5 | 27% (-10) | L 21-28 | 1929 | +9.7 | −7.5 | — | −0.34 | |
| 6 | Klein Oak (2-4) 1730 |
42% (-3) | W 17-7 | 2232 | −1.9 | −31.2 | +0.45 | — |
| 7 | @Tomball Memorial (1-5) 1362 |
87% (+18) | W 45-21 | 1749 | +8.7 | −1.3 | +0.13 | — |
| 9 | Klein Forest (1-6) 1176 |
95% (+27) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | @Klein Cain (4-2) 1818 |
54% (+2) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | #35Tomball (5-1) 2056 |
30% (-8) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#59
was #61
Record
3-4
3-2 district
Elo
1857
#59 of 249
OVR Grade
82
#59 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
78.9
#86 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
83
#49 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1873
#65 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 15-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance
Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Magnolia’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2025
9-2
Rating 674 (91st)
#2 · 2024
5-5
Rating 588 (75th)
#3 · 2007
2-8
Rating 448 (27th)
#4 · 2006
2-8
Rating 442 (25th)
#5 · 2005
2-8
Rating 439 (24th)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.