← Back
CLASS 6A · District 32-6A

Los Fresnos Falcons

Enrollment: 3,272 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 1
Rank
#150
was #145
Record
3-3
0-1 district
Elo
1360
#150 of 249
OVR Grade
74.5
#150 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
76.8
#103 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
68.7
#180 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1379
#145 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
Laredo Alexander (4-2) 1319
81% (+14) W 46-39 1467 +12.6 +14.0 +0.05 —
2
McAllen Rowe
90% (+21) W 28-24 1060 −10.8 +6.8 +0.02 —
3
@McAllen Memorial
79% (+13) W 54-20 1993 +18.9 −0.9 +0.06 —
4
@Mission Veterans Memorial
82% (+15) L 31-35 1202 −1.0 +11.0 — −0.94
5
Edinburg Vela (5-1) 1690
33% (-7) L 42-49 1507 +14.4 +14.1 — −0.73
7
@PSJA North (5-1) 1798
18% (-14) L 3-41 1044 −18.8 −0.5 — −0.60
8
San Benito (4-2) 1282
58% (+3) — — — — — —
9
@PSJA (2-4) 934
86% (+17) — — — — — —
10 43% (-3) — — — — — —
11
@Harlingen (4-2) 1428
43% (-3) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 32-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 67
Raiders
81.1
1798
5-1 1-0 45.5 19.7 4.5-0.5 > 98% D2
2 138
Cardinals
75.5
1428
4-2 1-0 31.3 20.7 2.9-2.1 85.9% D2
3 167
Greyhounds
73.3
1282
4-2 1-0 20.3 25.7 2.7-2.3 76.9% D1
4 150
Falcons
74.5
1360
3-3 0-1 34.0 34.7 2.3-2.7 67.2% D1
5 136
Chargers
75.6
1432
4-2 0-1 28.3 29.3 2.1-2.9 66.3% —
6 211
Bears
68.1
934
2-4 0-1 18.2 23.5 0.5-4.5 3.7% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Los Fresnos’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2008
12-1
Rating 626 (84th)
#2 · 2025
11-1
Rating 571 (69th)
#3 · 2017
9-4
Rating 569 (68th)
#4 · 2021
7-4
Rating 560 (66th)
#5 · 2015
9-2
Rating 552 (63rd)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo
PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS
AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 11-1 1758 38.0 17.8 +20.2 1081 +2.6 −0.5 +3.1 1577 +0.10 +0.74 −0.64 571(69th)
2024 10-2 1564 38.3 19.9 +18.4 1108 +5.1 +1.5 +3.6 1589 −0.95 +0.61 −1.56 542(59th)
2023 6-5 1222 31.5 22.9 +8.5 1183 −1.4 +2.9 −4.2 1394 −3.45 +0.14 −3.59 488(39th)
2022 7-5 1491 25.2 22.0 +3.2 1358 −3.7 −1.1 −2.6 1436 −2.28 +0.49 −2.77 515(50th)
2021 7-4 1703 28.6 22.4 +6.3 1429 +1.7 −2.9 +4.7 1617 −0.56 +1.26 −1.82 560(66th)
2020 2-4 1123 17.2 26.0 −8.8 1312 −14.6 +1.8 −16.3 1092 −3.11 +0.08 −3.19 —
2019 3-8 1287 21.9 28.5 −6.6 1526 −7.2 −1.1 −6.1 1347 −5.12 +0.31 −5.43 478(36th)
2018 3-7 1226 16.9 25.4 −8.5 1491 −10.2 −1.9 −8.2 1295 −4.27 +0.33 −4.59 466(32nd)
2017 9-4 1781 27.2 18.3 +8.9 1463 −1.0 −8.1 +7.1 1678 −0.79 +1.44 −2.23 569(68th)
2016 8-5 1586 25.8 26.2 −0.4 1427 −1.4 +1.7 −3.1 1424 −2.08 +0.73 −2.81 516(51st)
2015 9-2 1536 33.9 15.5 +18.4 1209 +0.9 −6.1 +7.0 1674 −0.91 +0.56 −1.46 552(63rd)
2014 9-4 1473 30.7 18.8 +11.9 1185 −1.7 −0.7 −1.1 1473 −2.09 +0.55 −2.63 516(51st)
2013 8-4 1373 36.8 21.0 +15.8 1099 +2.1 +2.3 −0.2 1495 −2.69 +0.42 −3.11 509(48th)
2012 7-4 1237 33.9 16.1 +17.8 1007 −1.1 +2.1 −3.1 1422 −3.18 +0.41 −3.60 493(42nd)
2011 8-3 1369 34.6 26.2 +8.5 1116 −1.0 +6.6 −7.6 1311 −1.68 +0.29 −1.97 485(39th)
2010 6-5 1052 21.2 24.8 −3.6 1016 −14.4 +8.3 −22.6 934 −4.46 +0.19 −4.65 407(16th)
2009 7-4 1221 44.5 34.3 +10.3 1069 +7.3 +14.8 −7.5 1312 −3.25 +0.25 −3.50 472(34th)
2008 12-1 1838 43.8 14.2 +29.6 1131 +9.3 −5.8 +15.2 1879 +0.81 +1.05 −0.24 626(84th)
2007 10-3 1597 34.3 20.2 +14.1 1073 −0.5 +3.0 −3.5 1413 −1.53 +0.64 −2.16 523(53rd)
2006 12-1 1679 40.7 22.3 +18.4 1071 +4.4 +5.0 −0.6 1486 +0.66 +1.05 −0.39 539(58th)
2005 9-3 1317 33.9 21.5 +12.4 1162 +2.4 +3.4 −1.1 1474 −2.09 +0.52 −2.61 506(46th)
2004 4-6 883 28.5 28.5 0.0 1098 −6.2 +9.1 −15.4 1116 −5.38 +0.17 −5.54 421(20th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.