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CLASS 6A · District 5-6A

Little Elm Lobos

Enrollment: 2,441 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 7
Rank
#190
was #190
Record
0-0
0-0 district
Elo
1150
#190 of 249
OVR Grade
71.3
#190 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
DEF Grade
Perf

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf WQ LQ
1
@Arlington Lamar (0-0) 1658
11% (-20)
2
Mansfield Legacy
45% (-2)
3
McKinney (0-0) 1488
20% (-14)
5
@Lewisville Hebron (0-0) 1750
7% (-24)
6
Flower Mound (0-0) 1430
24% (-11)
7
@Denton Braswell (0-0) 1358
29% (-8)
8
@#11Denton Guyer (0-0) 2421
< 2% (-51)
9 10% (-21)
10
@Frisco Wakeland (0-0) 1507
18% (-14)
11
#29Lewisville (0-0) 2080
< 2% (-37)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 5-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 11
Wildcats
90.5
2421
0-0 0-0 6.6-0.4 > 98% D2
2 29
Fighting Farmers
85.4
2080
0-0 0-0 5.6-1.4 > 98% D1
3 67
Hawks
80.4
1750
0-0 0-0 4.1-2.9 81.8% D1
4 81
Marauders
79.3
1680
0-0 0-0 3.7-3.3 69.9% D2
5 113
Wolverines
76.7
1507
0-0 0-0 2.7-4.3 25.4%
6 140
Jaguars
75.6
1430
0-0 0-0 2.3-4.7 14.6%
7 155
Bengals
74.5
1358
0-0 0-0 1.9-5.1 8.3%
8 190
Lobos
71.3
1150
0-0 0-0 0.9-6.1 < 2%
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Little Elm’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2021
5-5
Rating 570 (69th)
#2 · 2022
2-8
Rating 488 (39th)
#3 · 2020
2-8
Rating 468 (32nd)
#4 · 2025
0-10
Rating 452 (28th)
#5 · 2023
2-8
Rating 443 (26th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo
PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS
AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 0-10 917 16.3 32.8 −16.5 1761 −5.7 +1.0 −6.8 1331 −5.87 0.00 −5.87 452(28th)
2024 0-10 894 9.7 45.8 −36.1 1723 −14.6 +11.7 −26.3 843 −5.84 0.00 −5.84 381(12th)
2023 2-8 1221 17.4 42.3 −24.9 1660 −7.8 +10.1 −17.9 1053 −4.09 +0.17 −4.27 443(26th)
2022 2-8 1227 24.6 42.7 −18.1 1828 +0.7 +6.1 −5.3 1366 −3.94 +0.41 −4.35 488(39th)
2021 5-5 1489 42.7 40.0 +2.7 1791 +19.1 +4.8 +14.3 1857 −0.62 +1.40 −2.02 570(69th)
2020 2-8 1153 23.0 35.5 −12.5 1740 −1.1 +3.4 −4.5 1388 −4.34 +0.16 −4.50 468(32nd)
2019 0-1 1415 16.0 33.0 −17.0 1632 −2.7 +9.1 −11.8 1205 −0.82 0.00 −0.82
2018 1-0 1525 31.0 13.0 +18.0 1309 +2.0 −8.3 +10.4 1759 +0.11 +0.11 0.00
2017 2-0 1444 52.0 15.5 +36.5 898 +11.6 0.0 +11.6 1789 +0.08 +0.08 0.00
2016 1-0 1320 35.0 31.0 +4.0 1178 −8.5 +3.7 −12.2 1195 +0.04 +0.04 0.00
2013 1-0 1256 66.0 12.0 +54.0 532 +16.8 +0.7 +16.1 1902 +0.01 +0.01 0.00
2012 1-0 1227 41.0 23.0 +18.0 599 −10.7 +16.0 −26.7 833 +0.01 +0.01 0.00
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.