| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #39Waco Midway (6-1) 2038 |
6% (-26) | L 0-19 | 1565 | −15.6 | −18.2 | — | −0.44 |
| 2 | @Georgetown |
10% (-21) | W 45-33 | 1844 | +17.9 | +4.1 | +0.40 | — |
| 3 | Round Rock McNeil (0-7) 1099 |
54% (+2) | W 55-3 | 2125 | +5.1 | −19.9 | +0.14 | — |
| 4 | @Round Rock Cedar Ridge (7-0) 1852 |
37% (-5) | L 16-34 | 1570 | −5.8 | −8.6 | — | −0.65 |
| 5 | @Cedar Park Vista Ridge (2-5) 1360 |
50% (0) | W 51-28 | 1760 | +6.8 | −3.6 | +0.19 | — |
| 6 | #29Cedar Park (7-0) 2096 |
14% (-17) | L 23-37 | 1843 | +4.9 | −8.9 | — | −0.30 |
| 7 | @Leander (1-5) 798 |
96% (+32) | W 31-3 | 1559 | −7.1 | −9.4 | +0.01 | — |
| 9 | Hutto (5-2) 1894 |
23% (-12) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | 13% (-18) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 11 | Georgetown East View (2-4) 1209 |
84% (+16) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#99
was #103
Record
4-3
2-1 district
Elo
1600
#99 of 249
OVR Grade
78.1
#99 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
75.6
#115 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
82.8
#53 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1752
#84 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 24-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance


Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Leander Rouse’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2014
5-6
Rating 585 (73rd)
#2 · 2015
2-8
Rating 490 (40th)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.





