| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cedar Park Vista Ridge (2-5) 1360 |
48% (-1) | W 58-27 | 1960 | +13.8 | −4.6 | +0.26 | — |
| 2 | @Round Rock McNeil (0-7) 1099 |
75% (+11) | W 30-24 | 975 | −19.9 | +1.1 | +0.15 | — |
| 3 | Huntsville |
49% (-1) | L 27-30 | 1722 | +4.9 | −3.9 | — | −0.60 |
| 4 | @Killeen Ellison |
87% (+18) | W 54-52 | 1275 | +20.5 | +29.5 | +0.07 | — |
| 5 | #39Waco Midway (6-1) 2038 |
25% (-11) | L 22-58 | 1140 | +6.4 | +20.8 | — | −0.38 |
| 6 | @Killeen Harker Heights (4-2) 1909 |
30% (-8) | L 10-20 | 1496 | −21.3 | −21.2 | — | −0.50 |
| 8 | Temple (1-6) 1448 |
65% (+6) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | @Bryan (1-6) 760 |
97% (+33) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | Killeen Chaparral (2-4) 920 |
94% (+27) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | @Copperas Cove (5-2) 1566 |
53% (+1) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#100
was #102
Record
3-3
0-2 district
Elo
1596
#100 of 249
OVR Grade
78.1
#100 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
75.5
#117 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
71.9
#157 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1428
#135 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 12-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance
Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Lake Belton’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.