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CLASS 6A · District 12-6A

Killeen Harker Heights Knights

Enrollment: 2,259 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 5

Rank

#54

was #55

Record

4-2

2-0 district

Elo

1909

#54 of 249

OVR Grade

82.8

#54 of 249 in 6A

OFF Grade

83.2

#49 of 249 in 6A

DEF Grade

75.6

#112 of 249 in 6A

Perf

1810

#76 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk	Opponent (Rec) Elo	Proj WP%	Result	Perf	AOS	ADS	WQ	LQ
1	@Hutto (5-2) 1894	76% (+11)	W 53-50	2337	+29.4	−4.0	+0.34	—
2	#32Odessa Permian (7-0) 2062	64% (+5)	L 38-45	1975	+20.4	+1.4	—	−0.49
3	Buda Hays Consolidated (4-3) 1432	70% (+8)	W 42-35	1714	+13.2	+4.7	+0.34	—
4	@#26Dripping Springs (5-1) 2153	37% (-5)	L 28-62	1394	+11.4	+15.7	—	−0.30
6	Lake Belton (3-3) 1596	70% (+8)	W 20-10	1793	−12.2	−23.9	+0.29	—
7	@Temple (1-6) 1448	86% (+17)	W 42-35	1649	+8.0	+2.0	+0.17	—
8	Bryan (1-6) 760	> 98% (+46)	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	@Killeen Chaparral (2-4) 920	> 98% (+40)	—	—	—	—	—	—
10	Copperas Cove (5-2) 1566	81% (+14)	—	—	—	—	—	—
11	@#39Waco Midway (6-1) 2038	37% (-5)	—	—	—	—	—	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 12-6A

Rk			Team (Enroll Rk)	OVR/Elo	Overall	District	PPG	PAPG	ProjRec	PO%	Bracket
1		39	Waco Midway (1) Panthers	84.7 2038	6-1	3-0	36.4	15.6	5.5-0.5	> 98%	D1
2		54	Killeen Harker Heights (5) Knights	82.8 1909	4-2	2-0	37.2	39.5	5.2-0.8	> 98%	D2
3		106	Copperas Cove (3) Bulldawgs	77.6 1566	5-2	3-0	42.0	30.0	3.8-2.2	> 98%	D1
4		100	Lake Belton (6) Broncos	78.1 1596	3-3	0-2	33.5	35.2	3.1-2.9	78.3%	D2
5		134	Temple (2) Wildcats	75.8 1448	1-6	0-3	28.4	41.3	2.2-3.8	20.9%	—
6		213	Killeen Chaparral (7) Bobcats	67.9 920	2-4	1-1	21.8	31.2	1.2-4.8	< 2%	—
7		228	Bryan (4) Vikings	65.4 760	1-6	0-3	20.0	41.3	0.1-5.9	< 2%	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Killeen Harker Heights’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2022

12-2

Rating 681 (92nd)

#2 · 2025

9-3

Rating 649 (87th)

#3 · 2024

8-3

Rating 616 (82nd)

#4 · 2021

8-2

Rating 599 (77th)

#5 · 2023

7-4

Rating 566 (67th)

Team Performance History

Year	Record	Final Elo	PPG	PAPG	Margin	Elo SOS	AOS	ADS	DOM	Perf	RQ	WQ	LQ	All-Time Rating (%ile)
2025	9-3	2001	36.1	19.9	+16.2	1593	+9.1	−11.7	+20.8	2020	+1.31	+2.60	−1.29	649(87th)
2024	8-3	1862	42.3	25.8	+16.5	1516	+12.1	−5.9	+18.0	1950	−0.03	+1.61	−1.64	616(82nd)
2023	7-4	1733	32.3	28.9	+3.4	1539	+1.6	−3.6	+5.2	1630	−1.12	+0.71	−1.83	566(67th)
2022	12-2	2178	33.6	18.3	+15.3	1711	+8.9	−15.8	+24.6	2116	+3.62	+4.12	−0.50	681(92nd)
2021	8-2	1816	47.6	31.2	+16.4	1505	+17.9	+1.7	+16.2	1905	+0.38	+1.03	−0.64	599(77th)
2020	7-4	1683	35.4	32.1	+3.3	1637	+10.0	+0.2	+9.7	1744	−0.21	+1.40	−1.61	560(66th)
2019	4-7	1418	20.9	30.1	−9.2	1641	−7.1	−3.7	−3.4	1415	−2.68	+1.18	−3.86	499(44th)
2018	1-9	1179	12.5	38.9	−26.4	1691	−13.8	+4.6	−18.3	1042	−5.38	+0.14	−5.51	428(21st)
2017	5-5	1546	25.7	32.1	−6.4	1563	−0.9	+1.1	−1.9	1451	−2.08	+0.64	−2.72	516(50th)
2016	6-5	1659	26.5	21.5	+5.1	1582	+0.2	−8.0	+8.2	1705	−1.51	+1.67	−3.18	559(65th)
2015	2-8	1304	17.1	23.9	−6.8	1511	−10.8	−4.5	−6.3	1342	−5.48	+0.13	−5.60	479(36th)
2014	5-5	1387	28.7	33.5	−4.8	1549	+1.7	+4.1	−2.3	1441	−2.29	+0.56	−2.85	501(44th)
2013	2-8	1200	28.6	39.6	−11.0	1542	−2.9	+5.6	−8.5	1288	−5.44	+0.22	−5.66	465(32nd)
2012	4-7	1579	14.0	23.8	−9.8	1636	−12.0	−9.2	−2.8	1430	−2.48	+0.94	−3.42	518(51st)
2011	5-5	1418	27.2	25.1	+2.1	1451	−1.2	−1.5	+0.3	1508	−2.38	+0.73	−3.11	516(50th)
2010	3-7	1116	24.2	30.3	−6.1	1494	−4.8	+1.8	−6.6	1335	−4.58	+0.15	−4.73	467(32nd)
2009	2-8	1121	24.3	32.2	−7.9	1549	−0.5	+5.0	−5.6	1360	−5.47	+0.29	−5.77	469(33rd)
2008	1-9	951	19.9	37.2	−17.3	1557	−7.1	+8.2	−15.3	1118	−6.74	+0.03	−6.77	422(20th)
2007	1-8	1142	14.8	31.9	−17.1	1552	−10.1	+3.0	−13.1	1173	−5.64	+0.05	−5.69	448(27th)
2006	4-6	1411	12.9	22.7	−9.8	1563	−9.2	−2.8	−6.4	1340	−2.77	+0.63	−3.40	496(42nd)
2005	6-5	1481	20.2	24.1	−3.9	1623	−1.6	−2.3	+0.7	1518	−1.58	+0.79	−2.37	526(54th)
2004	6-4	1541	28.8	22.1	+6.7	1519	+6.2	−1.0	+7.3	1682	−1.74	+1.10	−2.85	555(64th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).

Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.

AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.

ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.

DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.

Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.

RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.

WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.

LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.

All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.