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CLASS 6A · District 22-6A

Katy Tigers

Enrollment: 3,401 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 4
Rank
#5
was #5
Record
7-0
5-0 district
Elo
2587
#5 of 249
OVR Grade
93
#5 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
91.1
#9 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
92.6
#11 of 249 in 6A
Perf
2589
#6 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
#16Humble Atascocita (4-3) 2319
53% (+1) W 28-17 2589 +19.0 −24.6 +0.91 —
2
@#22Dickinson (3-3) 2210
70% (+8) W 42-24 2817 +30.9 −21.7 +0.87 —
3
@Katy Tompkins (3-3) 1870
> 98% (+38) W 45-21 2430 +22.3 −14.9 +0.28 —
4
Katy Jordan (4-2) 1745
94% (+26) W 56-10 3033 +34.2 −27.1 +0.58 —
5
@Katy Cinco Ranch (3-3) 1510
97% (+34) W 30-3 2243 +5.6 −24.2 +0.38 —
6
Katy Seven Lakes (0-6) 1008
> 98% (+62) W 55-0 2364 +16.2 −18.4 +0.03 —
7
@Katy Morton Ranch (2-4) 1216
> 98% (+55) W 69-6 2646 +32.4 −13.5 +0.07 —
8
Katy Paetow (2-4) 1511
> 98% (+43) — — — — — —
10
@Katy Taylor (5-2) 1540
> 98% (+42) — — — — — —
11
Katy Mayde Creek (1-5) 1114
> 98% (+59) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 22-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 5
Tigers
93
2587
7-0 5-0 46.4 11.6 8-0 > 98% D1
2 57
Falcons
82.2
1870
3-3 3-1 29.0 30.3 6.6-1.4 > 98% D2
3 73
Warriors
80.3
1745
4-2 3-2 33.7 26.0 5.6-2.4 97.7% D1
4 112
Mustangs
77.2
1540
5-2 3-2 25.6 21.4 4.3-3.7 66.1% D2
5 123
Cougars
76.8
1510
3-3 3-2 23.5 27.0 4.3-3.7 28.8% —
6 121
Panthers
76.8
1511
2-4 2-2 21.8 27.7 3.5-4.5 8% —
7 173
Mavericks
72.3
1216
2-4 1-3 19.0 37.2 2-6 < 2% —
8 190
Rams
70.8
1114
1-5 0-4 21.8 40.0 1.2-6.8 < 2% —
9 205
Spartans
69.2
1008
0-6 0-4 15.0 42.5 0.6-7.4 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Katy’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2015
16-0
Rating 942 (100th)
#2 · 2012
16-0
Rating 898 (100th)
#3 · 2020
13-1
Rating 872 (100th)
#4 · 2007
16-0
Rating 861 (100th)
#5 · 2013
15-1
Rating 834 (99th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo
PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS
AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 10-3 2289 45.5 18.9 +26.6 1655 +19.2 −14.9 +34.1 2352 +1.62 +2.02 −0.40 716(95th)
2024 11-2 2418 40.4 14.8 +25.6 1673 +16.1 −17.0 +33.1 2327 +3.11 +3.19 −0.08 736(96th)
2023 10-2 2232 43.5 15.9 +27.6 1577 +17.3 −12.1 +29.4 2235 +1.85 +2.17 −0.33 710(95th)
2022 14-1 2641 48.9 15.7 +33.1 1793 +26.2 −19.1 +45.3 2633 +5.79 +5.86 −0.08 808(99th)
2021 14-1 2706 45.5 15.3 +30.3 1904 +24.7 −21.9 +46.7 2667 +6.14 +6.15 −0.01 823(99th)
2020 13-1 2733 49.1 11.9 +37.3 1885 +28.8 −23.4 +52.2 2804 +6.45 +6.63 −0.18 872(100th)
2019 12-1 2616 43.4 13.3 +30.1 2019 +23.0 −24.6 +47.6 2691 +5.86 +5.87 −0.02 813(99th)
2018 11-2 2476 49.9 14.8 +35.1 1881 +27.4 −22.6 +50.1 2752 +3.73 +3.88 −0.15 805(99th)
2017 12-1 2641 43.0 7.7 +35.3 1792 +21.8 −25.2 +47.0 2675 +5.29 +5.31 −0.03 828(99th)
2016 10-3 2533 42.2 15.5 +26.6 1830 +20.6 −18.8 +39.3 2483 +3.11 +3.36 −0.26 761(98th)
2015 16-0 2915 48.6 3.9 +44.8 1748 +26.1 −29.1 +55.2 2880 +7.31 +7.31 0.00 942(100th)
2014 14-2 2637 48.0 9.7 +38.3 1724 +24.0 −21.7 +45.7 2643 +4.92 +5.20 −0.29 826(99th)
2013 15-1 2659 43.2 7.9 +35.2 1778 +21.9 −23.7 +45.6 2640 +6.61 +6.66 −0.05 834(99th)
2012 16-0 2752 51.8 12.9 +38.9 1758 +26.6 −21.5 +48.1 2704 +7.12 +7.12 0.00 898(100th)
2011 12-1 2512 42.6 7.5 +35.2 1607 +20.1 −19.9 +40.0 2500 +4.15 +4.36 −0.21 777(98th)
2010 13-1 2502 49.2 17.0 +32.2 1722 +25.0 −15.2 +40.1 2503 +4.58 +4.71 −0.13 757(98th)
2009 14-2 2390 32.1 12.6 +19.5 1757 +11.5 −18.4 +30.0 2249 +5.04 +5.36 −0.32 747(97th)
2008 13-3 2491 32.3 12.3 +20.0 1776 +13.1 −18.5 +31.7 2291 +3.66 +4.79 −1.13 781(98th)
2007 16-0 2558 43.8 8.2 +35.6 1613 +21.0 −19.0 +39.9 2498 +5.75 +5.75 0.00 861(100th)
2006 13-1 2286 33.2 8.1 +25.1 1596 +11.6 −16.7 +28.3 2207 +3.11 +3.46 −0.36 728(96th)
2005 14-1 2365 38.1 12.2 +25.9 1682 +17.1 −14.0 +31.1 2278 +4.31 +4.33 −0.02 748(97th)
2004 12-2 2233 31.7 13.3 +18.4 1646 +12.6 −12.4 +25.0 2125 +2.75 +3.90 −1.15 708(95th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.