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CLASS 6A · District 22-6A

Katy Tompkins Falcons

Enrollment: 3,187 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 6
Rank
#57
was #87
Record
3-3
3-1 district
Elo
1870
#57 of 249
OVR Grade
82.2
#57 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
80.7
#71 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
80.7
#67 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1872
#66 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
@Klein Collins (5-2) 1934
28% (-9) L 21-42 1567 +1.4 −1.3 — −0.41
2
#24Bridgeland (5-1) 2199
17% (-15) L 7-35 1574 −6.7 −9.7 — −0.31
3
#5Katy (7-0) 2587
< 2% (-38) L 21-45 1972 +13.6 −5.2 — −0.05
4
@Katy Taylor (5-2) 1540
77% (+11) W 29-12 1866 +3.4 −11.2 +0.10 —
5
Katy Mayde Creek (1-5) 1114
89% (+20) W 44-20 1770 +7.1 −3.7 +0.05 —
7
@Katy Jordan (4-2) 1745
26% (-10) W 52-28 2483 +30.2 −9.1 +0.59 —
8
Katy Cinco Ranch (3-3) 1510
82% (+14) — — — — — —
9
@Katy Seven Lakes (0-6) 1008
97% (+35) — — — — — —
10 94% (+26) — — — — — —
11
@Katy Paetow (2-4) 1511
82% (+14) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 22-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 5
Tigers
93
2587
7-0 5-0 46.4 11.6 8-0 > 98% D1
2 57
Falcons
82.2
1870
3-3 3-1 29.0 30.3 6.6-1.4 > 98% D2
3 73
Warriors
80.3
1745
4-2 3-2 33.7 26.0 5.6-2.4 97.7% D1
4 112
Mustangs
77.2
1540
5-2 3-2 25.6 21.4 4.3-3.7 66.1% D2
5 123
Cougars
76.8
1510
3-3 3-2 23.5 27.0 4.3-3.7 28.8% —
6 121
Panthers
76.8
1511
2-4 2-2 21.8 27.7 3.5-4.5 8% —
7 173
Mavericks
72.3
1216
2-4 1-3 19.0 37.2 2-6 < 2% —
8 190
Rams
70.8
1114
1-5 0-4 21.8 40.0 1.2-6.8 < 2% —
9 205
Spartans
69.2
1008
0-6 0-4 15.0 42.5 0.6-7.4 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Katy Tompkins’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2020
10-1
Rating 755 (98th)
#2 · 2021
11-2
Rating 735 (96th)
#3 · 2019
11-2
Rating 675 (91st)
#4 · 2022
8-3
Rating 665 (90th)
#5 · 2023
7-4
Rating 603 (78th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo
PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS
AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 5-5 1637 33.0 27.4 +5.6 1616 +6.3 −3.6 +9.9 1748 −1.55 +0.86 −2.41 569(68th)
2024 6-5 1538 30.5 30.5 0.0 1648 +6.4 +1.8 +4.6 1614 −1.62 +0.86 −2.48 542(59th)
2023 7-4 1823 35.2 22.6 +12.5 1526 +8.1 −5.8 +13.9 1849 −1.04 +0.88 −1.92 603(78th)
2022 8-3 2087 40.4 21.2 +19.2 1668 +15.4 −12.4 +27.9 2197 +1.36 +2.18 −0.81 665(90th)
2021 11-2 2400 41.2 17.5 +23.6 1811 +18.5 −16.4 +34.8 2371 +3.08 +3.13 −0.05 735(96th)
2020 10-1 2429 37.5 13.9 +23.5 1866 +17.1 −20.8 +37.8 2445 +4.13 +4.14 −0.01 755(98th)
2019 11-2 2077 44.3 18.9 +25.4 1665 +19.1 −12.6 +31.6 2291 +2.50 +2.63 −0.13 675(91st)
2018 10-3 1755 34.5 24.1 +10.4 1501 +5.9 −5.6 +11.5 1788 +0.81 +1.82 −1.01 587(74th)
2017 0-9 814 13.7 34.7 −21.0 1604 −11.0 +5.5 −16.5 1087 −6.14 0.00 −6.14 401(15th)
2016 2-8 1045 18.9 31.8 −12.9 1505 −7.9 +5.0 −12.9 1178 −5.45 +0.12 −5.57 434(23rd)
2015 3-7 903 11.7 32.2 −20.5 1582 −14.1 +3.2 −17.4 1066 −4.12 +0.68 −4.79 406(16th)
2014 0-10 787 4.4 43.0 −38.6 1595 −20.0 +13.9 −33.9 653 −6.98 0.00 −6.98 341(6th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.