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CLASS 6A · District 22-6A

Katy Morton Ranch Mavericks

Enrollment: 2,934 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 8

Rank

#173

was #172

Record

2-4

1-3 district

Elo

1216

#173 of 249

OVR Grade

72.3

#173 of 249 in 6A

OFF Grade

68.6

#185 of 249 in 6A

DEF Grade

67

#194 of 249 in 6A

Perf

1040

#195 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk	Opponent (Rec) Elo	Proj WP%	Result	Perf	AOS	ADS	WQ	LQ
1	Cy Creek (0-6) 788	60% (+4)	W 22-0	1296	−19.2	−11.0	+0.04	—
2	@Conroe (3-3) 1530	29% (-9)	L 20-49	894	−10.4	+13.8	—	−0.82
3	@Katy Cinco Ranch (3-3) 1510	12% (-19)	L 7-49	518	−17.4	+21.8	—	−0.68
4	Katy Seven Lakes (0-6) 1008	52% (+1)	W 43-28	1364	+4.2	+9.6	+0.05	—
6	@Katy Paetow (2-4) 1511	31% (-8)	L 16-28	1168	−10.0	+3.2	—	−0.84
7	#5Katy (7-0) 2587	< 2% (-55)	L 6-69	997	−1.4	+18.8	—	−0.04
8	@Katy Taylor (5-2) 1540	20% (-13)	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	Katy Mayde Creek (1-5) 1114	61% (+4)	—	—	—	—	—	—
10	@Katy Tompkins (3-3) 1870	6% (-26)	—	—	—	—	—	—
11	Katy Jordan (4-2) 1745	10% (-21)	—	—	—	—	—	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 22-6A

Rk			Team (Enroll Rk)	OVR/Elo	Overall	District	PPG	PAPG	ProjRec	PO%	Bracket
1		5	Katy (4) Tigers	93 2587	7-0	5-0	46.4	11.6	8-0	> 98%	D1
2		57	Katy Tompkins (6) Falcons	82.2 1870	3-3	3-1	29.0	30.3	6.6-1.4	> 98%	D2
3		73	Katy Jordan (3) Warriors	80.3 1745	4-2	3-2	33.7	26.0	5.6-2.4	97.7%	D1
4		112	Katy Taylor (5) Mustangs	77.2 1540	5-2	3-2	25.6	21.4	4.3-3.7	66.1%	D2
5		123	Katy Cinco Ranch (2) Cougars	76.8 1510	3-3	3-2	23.5	27.0	4.3-3.7	28.8%	—
6		121	Katy Paetow (7) Panthers	76.8 1511	2-4	2-2	21.8	27.7	3.5-4.5	8%	—
7		173	Katy Morton Ranch (8) Mavericks	72.3 1216	2-4	1-3	19.0	37.2	2-6	< 2%	—
8		190	Katy Mayde Creek (9) Rams	70.8 1114	1-5	0-4	21.8	40.0	1.2-6.8	< 2%	—
9		205	Katy Seven Lakes (1) Spartans	69.2 1008	0-6	0-4	15.0	42.5	0.6-7.4	< 2%	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Katy Morton Ranch’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2013

7-4

Rating 576 (71st)

#2 · 2022

7-4

Rating 566 (67th)

#3 · 2012

7-3

Rating 554 (63rd)

#4 · 2011

6-5

Rating 526 (54th)

#5 · 2019

5-5

Rating 523 (53rd)

Team Performance History

Year	Record	Final Elo	PPG	PAPG	Margin	Elo SOS	AOS	ADS	DOM	Perf	RQ	WQ	LQ	All-Time Rating (%ile)
2025	3-7	1163	18.7	41.5	−22.8	1533	−9.1	+11.7	−20.8	981	−3.98	+0.22	−4.20	423(20th)
2024	0-10	976	16.4	35.3	−18.9	1553	−9.5	+7.0	−16.4	1089	−7.12	0.00	−7.12	421(20th)
2023	2-8	1214	26.5	31.6	−5.1	1407	−1.5	+7.4	−8.9	1278	−5.84	+0.17	−6.01	472(34th)
2022	7-4	1670	37.0	33.7	+3.3	1611	+10.8	+1.8	+9.0	1725	−0.06	+1.33	−1.39	566(67th)
2021	4-6	1494	24.6	30.3	−5.7	1616	−2.1	+1.7	−3.8	1406	−2.63	+0.44	−3.07	503(45th)
2020	3-6	1512	21.1	31.8	−10.7	1692	−2.1	+0.8	−2.8	1429	−2.63	+0.33	−2.96	504(46th)
2019	5-5	1482	22.8	22.2	+0.6	1550	−5.3	−7.5	+2.2	1554	−2.00	+0.40	−2.40	523(53rd)
2018	5-5	1476	23.4	23.9	−0.5	1467	−4.0	−4.5	+0.5	1513	−2.34	+0.47	−2.81	517(51st)
2017	3-6	1193	23.4	29.9	−6.4	1503	−2.0	+4.2	−6.2	1344	−3.44	+0.10	−3.54	470(33rd)
2016	5-6	1451	27.7	32.7	−5.0	1543	+3.0	+5.3	−2.4	1441	−2.84	+0.47	−3.31	506(46th)
2015	5-6	1568	22.7	30.5	−7.7	1614	−1.4	−0.2	−1.2	1470	−2.17	+0.79	−2.97	519(52nd)
2014	4-5	1521	23.1	25.0	−1.9	1523	−2.6	−2.0	−0.6	1484	−2.29	+0.33	−2.62	518(51st)
2013	7-4	1703	30.5	22.6	+7.9	1564	+6.9	−4.5	+11.5	1787	−0.53	+0.63	−1.16	576(71st)
2012	7-3	1640	36.5	31.9	+4.6	1498	+9.0	+2.4	+6.6	1665	−0.28	+0.99	−1.27	554(63rd)
2011	6-5	1445	20.5	23.9	−3.4	1648	−2.3	−5.1	+2.9	1571	−0.93	+1.06	−1.99	526(54th)
2010	1-9	833	15.2	45.5	−30.3	1644	−10.1	+13.4	−23.6	911	−5.90	+0.35	−6.25	384(12th)
2009	1-9	1029	10.2	35.7	−25.5	1518	−15.1	+8.4	−23.5	911	−6.25	+0.05	−6.30	401(15th)
2008	6-4	1401	28.2	30.3	−2.1	1558	+3.7	+1.9	+1.8	1546	−1.64	+0.84	−2.48	520(52nd)
2007	1-9	943	15.3	33.0	−17.7	1541	−8.0	+7.3	−15.3	1117	−6.74	+0.08	−6.82	423(20th)
2006	0-10	851	7.1	35.3	−28.2	1485	−16.2	+10.9	−27.0	825	−7.63	0.00	−7.63	376(11th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).

Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.

AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.

ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.

DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.

Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.

RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.

WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.

LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.

All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.