| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Houston Lamar (4-2) 1731 |
59% (+3) | W 41-27 | 2120 | +20.7 | −4.1 | +0.38 | — |
| 3 | Katy Paetow (2-4) 1511 |
84% (+16) | W 34-7 | 2143 | +8.0 | −17.8 | +0.18 | — |
| 4 | 6% (-26) | L 10-56 | 1422 | +2.6 | +5.8 | — | −0.05 | |
| 5 | Katy Taylor (5-2) 1540 |
93% (+25) | W 45-6 | 2416 | +19.4 | −17.2 | +0.09 | — |
| 6 | @Katy Mayde Creek (1-5) 1114 |
96% (+31) | W 44-8 | 2070 | +7.1 | −15.7 | +0.05 | — |
| 7 | Katy Tompkins (3-3) 1870 |
74% (+10) | L 28-52 | 1230 | +5.3 | +16.1 | — | −0.67 |
| 9 | @Katy Cinco Ranch (3-3) 1510 |
73% (+9) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | Katy Seven Lakes (0-6) 1008 |
96% (+29) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | @Katy Morton Ranch (2-4) 1216 |
90% (+21) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#73
was #49
Record
4-2
3-2 district
Elo
1745
#73 of 249
OVR Grade
80.3
#73 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
82.4
#60 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
79.7
#77 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1900
#60 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 22-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance


Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Katy Jordan’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2024
11-2
Rating 647 (87th)
#2 · 2025
9-4
Rating 600 (77th)
#3 · 2023
7-4
Rating 556 (64th)
#4 · 2022
5-5
Rating 543 (60th)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.







