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CLASS 6A · District 22-6A

Katy Jordan Warriors

Enrollment: 3,452 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 3
Rank
#73
was #49
Record
4-2
3-2 district
Elo
1745
#73 of 249
OVR Grade
80.3
#73 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
82.4
#60 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
79.7
#77 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1900
#60 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
2
Houston Lamar (4-2) 1731
59% (+3) W 41-27 2120 +20.7 −4.1 +0.38 —
3
Katy Paetow (2-4) 1511
84% (+16) W 34-7 2143 +8.0 −17.8 +0.18 —
4
@#5Katy (7-0) 2587
6% (-26) L 10-56 1422 +2.6 +5.8 — −0.05
5
Katy Taylor (5-2) 1540
93% (+25) W 45-6 2416 +19.4 −17.2 +0.09 —
6
@Katy Mayde Creek (1-5) 1114
96% (+31) W 44-8 2070 +7.1 −15.7 +0.05 —
7
Katy Tompkins (3-3) 1870
74% (+10) L 28-52 1230 +5.3 +16.1 — −0.67
9
@Katy Cinco Ranch (3-3) 1510
73% (+9) — — — — — —
10
Katy Seven Lakes (0-6) 1008
96% (+29) — — — — — —
11
@Katy Morton Ranch (2-4) 1216
90% (+21) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 22-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 5
Tigers
93
2587
7-0 5-0 46.4 11.6 8-0 > 98% D1
2 57
Falcons
82.2
1870
3-3 3-1 29.0 30.3 6.6-1.4 > 98% D2
3 73
Warriors
80.3
1745
4-2 3-2 33.7 26.0 5.6-2.4 97.7% D1
4 112
Mustangs
77.2
1540
5-2 3-2 25.6 21.4 4.3-3.7 66.1% D2
5 123
Cougars
76.8
1510
3-3 3-2 23.5 27.0 4.3-3.7 28.8% —
6 121
Panthers
76.8
1511
2-4 2-2 21.8 27.7 3.5-4.5 8% —
7 173
Mavericks
72.3
1216
2-4 1-3 19.0 37.2 2-6 < 2% —
8 190
Rams
70.8
1114
1-5 0-4 21.8 40.0 1.2-6.8 < 2% —
9 205
Spartans
69.2
1008
0-6 0-4 15.0 42.5 0.6-7.4 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Katy Jordan’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2024
11-2
Rating 647 (87th)
#2 · 2025
9-4
Rating 600 (77th)
#3 · 2023
7-4
Rating 556 (64th)
#4 · 2022
5-5
Rating 543 (60th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo
PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS
AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 9-4 1841 33.3 21.4 +11.9 1527 +3.9 −8.9 +12.8 1821 −0.62 +1.27 −1.89 600(77th)
2024 11-2 2027 34.3 15.2 +19.1 1511 +7.3 −12.7 +20.0 2000 +1.74 +1.94 −0.19 647(87th)
2023 7-4 1550 35.1 25.9 +9.2 1462 +7.2 −0.1 +7.3 1683 −1.31 +0.52 −1.83 556(64th)
2022 5-5 1520 33.1 31.8 +1.3 1588 +6.5 +0.3 +6.2 1656 −1.57 +0.80 −2.38 543(60th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.