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CLASS 6A · District 17-6A

Humble Summer Creek Bulldogs

Enrollment: 4,110 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 2
Rank
#13
was #13
Record
4-3
3-1 district
Elo
2373
#13 of 249
OVR Grade
89.8
#13 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
87.3
#24 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
91.6
#15 of 249 in 6A
Perf
2423
#16 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
@#23Alvin Shadow Creek (5-1) 2203
89% (+20) L 14-24 2211 +7.2 −21.3 — −0.26
2
Strake Jesuit (2-5) 1493
97% (+33) W 36-6 2229 +11.6 −17.5 +0.25 —
3
@#1North Crowley (6-0) 2885
22% (-12) L 20-41 2284 +19.1 −12.2 — −0.03
4
Channelview (0-7) 780
> 98% (+63) W 77-0 2461 +24.4 −14.1 +0.01 —
5
Humble (1-6) 1472
98% (+35) W 35-12 2083 +6.0 −17.4 +0.17 —
6
@Humble Kingwood (3-4) 1639
93% (+25) W 57-2 2986 +27.1 −32.4 +0.38 —
7 14% (-17) L 27-28 2706 +26.7 −21.6 — −0.02
9
@Crosby (4-3) 1793
92% (+23) — — — — — —
10
#6Sheldon CE King (6-1) 2580
30% (-8) — — — — — —
11
@#16Humble Atascocita (4-3) 2319
56% (+2) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 17-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 3
Mustangs
96.5
2816
7-0 4-0 35.3 9.3 6.7-0.3 > 98% D1
2 6
Panthers
92.9
2580
6-1 4-0 53.7 14.1 6-1 > 98% D2
3 13
Bulldogs
89.8
2373
4-3 3-1 38.0 16.1 4.8-2.2 96.3% D1
4 16
Eagles
89
2319
4-3 2-2 29.0 20.3 4.3-2.7 93.2% D2
5 68
Cougars
81
1793
4-3 2-2 29.1 29.9 3-4 10% —
6 95
Mustangs
78.7
1639
3-4 1-3 29.9 36.6 1.7-5.3 < 2% —
7 126
Wildcats
76.2
1472
1-6 0-4 15.9 43.1 1.5-5.5 < 2% —
8 227
Falcons
65.7
780
0-7 0-4 12.0 57.4 0-7 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Humble Summer Creek’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2024
12-3
Rating 817 (99th)
#2 · 2023
14-2
Rating 791 (99th)
#3 · 2025
12-2
Rating 780 (98th)
#4 · 2022
8-5
Rating 754 (98th)
#5 · 2021
10-4
Rating 712 (95th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo
PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS
AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 12-2 2486 50.0 19.8 +30.2 1840 +26.2 −18.8 +44.9 2623 +4.99 +5.25 −0.26 780(98th)
2024 12-3 2394 49.3 13.1 +36.2 1857 +26.7 −22.1 +48.8 2721 +4.71 +4.87 −0.16 817(99th)
2023 14-2 2541 37.1 16.5 +20.6 1880 +15.6 −20.4 +36.0 2400 +6.12 +6.16 −0.03 791(99th)
2022 8-5 2264 38.6 18.1 +20.5 1946 +19.7 −19.3 +39.0 2476 +1.92 +2.83 −0.91 754(98th)
2021 10-4 2152 45.6 19.7 +25.9 1795 +22.7 −14.6 +37.3 2432 +2.30 +2.71 −0.40 712(95th)
2020 3-6 1449 25.7 38.1 −12.4 1772 +2.0 +2.1 −0.1 1497 −1.78 +0.89 −2.68 512(49th)
2019 4-6 1320 32.4 28.0 +4.4 1401 +0.9 +1.6 −0.7 1482 −4.01 +0.05 −4.06 499(44th)
2018 9-4 1706 33.7 21.5 +12.2 1398 +2.3 −5.6 +7.9 1697 −0.83 +1.46 −2.29 562(66th)
2017 7-4 1759 30.3 24.4 +5.9 1608 +4.7 −5.9 +10.6 1765 −0.30 +1.10 −1.41 587(74th)
2016 5-4 1532 30.6 23.9 +6.7 1568 +2.9 −5.1 +8.0 1699 −0.98 +0.90 −1.88 547(61st)
2015 4-6 1440 22.2 30.5 −8.3 1589 −1.5 +2.0 −3.5 1413 −2.67 +0.34 −3.01 501(44th)
2014 3-7 1331 27.8 31.3 −3.5 1603 +2.9 +2.3 +0.7 1517 −3.78 +0.40 −4.18 505(46th)
2013 1-0 1364 78.0 13.0 +65.0 1034 +36.6 −5.3 +41.9 2548 +0.02 +0.02 0.00 —
2012 1-0 1308 69.0 28.0 +41.0 932 +20.3 +5.4 +14.9 1874 +0.05 +0.05 0.00 —
2011 2-0 1176 38.5 16.5 +22.0 1060 +2.1 −0.9 +3.0 1576 +0.07 +0.07 0.00 —
2010 0-2 893 11.5 17.0 −5.5 1098 −23.3 +0.4 −23.7 907 −1.91 0.00 −1.91 —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.