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CLASS 6A · District 20-6A

Houston Memorial Mustangs

Enrollment: 2,670 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 6
Rank
#51
was #48
Record
6-0
4-0 district
Elo
1946
#51 of 249
OVR Grade
83.3
#51 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
78.9
#85 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
79.8
#75 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1778
#79 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
Katy Seven Lakes (0-6) 1008
 93% (+25) W 50-21 1714 +11.2 +2.6 +0.08 —
2
Clear Creek (1-5) 1150
 97% (+32) W 41-6 2041 +7.3 −14.3 +0.05 —
3
@Houston Bellaire (1-6) 735
 > 98% (+50) W 59-0 2089 +12.6 −10.9 +0.01 —
4
Alief Hastings (3-4) 1088
 > 98% (+40) W 34-17 1551 +0.9 −1.2 +0.02 —
5
@Houston Stratford (2-4) 1345
 91% (+22) W 41-14 1983 +11.6 −7.7 +0.12 —
7
Houston Westside (0-7) 464
 > 98% (+59) W 42-0 1292 −10.6 −2.3 +0.00 —
8
@Alief Taylor (6-1) 1457
 89% (+20) — — — — — —
9
Houston Lamar (4-2) 1731
 71% (+9) — — — — — —
10
@Houston Heights (2-4) 1367
 92% (+23) — — — — — —
11
Alief Elsik (1-5) 920
 > 98% (+41) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 20-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 51
Mustangs
83.3
1946
 6-0 4-0 44.5 9.7 7.5-0.5 > 98% D2
2 76
Texans
80.1
1731
 4-2 4-0 31.8 18.4 6.9-1.1 > 98% D1
3 132
Lions
76
1457
 6-1 4-1 39.0 16.7 5.3-2.7 > 98% D1
4 156
Spartans
74.3
1345
 2-4 2-2 21.7 28.2 4.4-3.6 46.4% D2
5 148
Bulldogs
74.6
1367
 2-4 2-2 24.3 23.2 4.3-3.7 45.8% —
6 195
Bears
70.4
1088
 3-4 2-3 22.4 27.7 3.7-4.3 8.3% —
7 214
Rams
67.8
920
 1-5 1-3 10.7 30.7 2.2-5.8 < 2% —
8 231
Cardinals
65.1
735
 1-6 1-4 12.8 44.8 1.6-6.4 < 2% —
9 243
Wolves
61
464
 0-7 0-5 7.1 47.4 0-8 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Houston Memorial’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2004
9-4
Rating 656 (88th)
#2 · 2010
9-6
Rating 636 (85th)
#3 · 2012
8-4
Rating 620 (82nd)
#4 · 2011
9-4
Rating 614 (81st)
#5 · 2013
8-5
Rating 607 (79th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 10-2 1770 38.9 18.3 +20.6 1370 +7.0 −7.2 +14.2 1855 +1.10 +1.41 −0.31 596(76th)
2024 4-7 1295 17.5 21.0 −3.5 1375 −12.1 −3.2 −8.9 1279 −4.81 +0.10 −4.91 476(35th)
2023 5-6 1351 29.7 25.2 +4.5 1216 −4.1 +2.7 −6.8 1330 −3.84 +0.30 −4.14 491(41st)
2022 8-4 1868 31.8 21.3 +10.5 1382 +0.2 −5.2 +5.4 1634 −0.14 +1.59 −1.73 581(72nd)
2021 7-5 1548 23.8 18.1 +5.8 1419 −6.0 −9.7 +3.6 1591 −2.20 +1.16 −3.36 546(61st)
2020 7-3 1577 21.7 15.6 +6.1 1363 −9.3 −8.5 −0.9 1478 −0.58 +0.54 −1.12 524(53rd)
2019 7-5 1580 21.7 18.2 +3.4 1500 −5.8 −8.3 +2.6 1564 −1.04 +0.92 −1.96 535(57th)
2018 4-6 1263 19.8 26.1 −6.3 1547 −5.9 −1.3 −4.6 1385 −3.25 +0.35 −3.59 481(37th)
2017 3-6 1213 19.7 26.7 −7.0 1550 −5.1 +1.6 −6.6 1335 −2.73 +0.05 −2.78 470(33rd)
2016 2-8 1226 13.4 31.0 −17.6 1576 −11.7 +4.8 −16.5 1087 −4.45 +0.03 −4.47 438(24th)
2015 5-6 1485 22.7 18.5 +4.3 1424 −6.6 −6.2 −0.5 1488 −3.13 +0.20 −3.33 516(50th)
2014 8-4 1853 22.9 20.8 +2.1 1462 −4.9 −5.3 +0.4 1509 −0.45 +1.03 −1.48 562(66th)
2013 8-5 1905 25.8 23.8 +2.0 1720 +4.1 −7.9 +12.0 1799 +0.28 +1.57 −1.29 607(79th)
2012 8-4 1884 29.7 21.5 +8.2 1679 +3.9 −12.4 +16.3 1908 +0.49 +1.87 −1.38 620(82nd)
2011 9-4 1903 23.1 18.0 +5.1 1676 +0.7 −11.9 +12.6 1815 +0.82 +2.29 −1.46 614(81st)
2010 9-6 1957 31.7 24.7 +6.9 1719 +6.8 −8.1 +14.9 1872 +0.31 +2.52 −2.22 636(85th)
2009 9-4 1680 24.8 17.7 +7.2 1430 −1.7 −6.5 +4.8 1620 −0.65 +1.37 −2.02 560(65th)
2008 7-2 1638 25.2 10.2 +15.0 1284 −2.0 −7.3 +5.3 1632 −0.63 +0.96 −1.59 574(70th)
2007 6-4 1588 14.6 13.4 +1.2 1514 −9.5 −11.2 +1.7 1543 −1.32 +1.53 −2.85 552(63rd)
2006 5-7 1615 15.8 19.2 −3.5 1569 −7.0 −6.0 −1.0 1476 −2.98 +0.69 −3.67 543(60th)
2005 7-4 1768 19.2 10.7 +8.5 1454 −6.2 −12.4 +6.2 1654 −1.07 +0.78 −1.85 591(75th)
2004 9-4 1933 28.5 11.1 +17.4 1536 +4.5 −13.1 +17.6 1939 −0.13 +2.00 −2.13 656(88th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.