| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16% (-16) | L 10-16 | 1893 | +2.9 | −12.9 | — | −0.43 | |
| 2 | @Clear Springs (2-4) 1518 |
46% (-1) | L 27-30 | 1262 | −0.9 | +8.7 | — | −0.79 |
| 3 | Alief Taylor (6-1) 1457 |
49% (0) | L 24-38 | 1252 | −1.8 | +8.1 | — | −0.83 |
| 4 | @Houston Lamar (4-2) 1731 |
23% (-12) | L 7-42 | 895 | −13.3 | +10.9 | — | −0.69 |
| 6 | Alief Elsik (1-5) 920 |
82% (+14) | W 33-6 | 1454 | −3.5 | −1.7 | +0.02 | — |
| 7 | @Houston Bellaire (1-6) 735 |
93% (+24) | W 45-7 | 1564 | −1.4 | −3.9 | +0.01 | — |
| 8 | Alief Hastings (3-4) 1088 |
76% (+11) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | @Houston Stratford (2-4) 1345 |
52% (+1) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | Houston Memorial (6-0) 1946 |
8% (-23) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | @Houston Westside (0-7) 464 |
98% (+36) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#148
was #159
Record
2-4
2-2 district
Elo
1367
#148 of 249
OVR Grade
74.6
#148 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
72.9
#146 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
73.7
#137 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1387
#142 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 20-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance
Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Houston Heights’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2023
8-4
Rating 582 (73rd)
#2 · 2020
7-2
Rating 562 (66th)
#3 · 2022
8-4
Rating 562 (66th)
#4 · 2015
8-2
Rating 559 (65th)
#5 · 2024
8-4
Rating 559 (65th)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.