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CLASS 6A · District 32-6A

Harlingen Cardinals

Enrollment: 2,545 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 3
Rank
#138
was #143
Record
4-2
1-0 district
Elo
1428
#138 of 249
OVR Grade
75.5
#138 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
74
#134 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
75.3
#116 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1472
#132 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
McAllen Rowe
85% (+16) W 42-13 1685 +3.2 −4.2 +0.03 —
2
@Harlingen South
59% (+3) W 49-3 2292 +13.8 −17.8 +0.11 —
3
@Eagle Pass (2-4) 1033
85% (+17) W 38-28 1146 −2.5 +11.7 +0.05 —
4
@Corpus Christi Miller
62% (+5) L 28-29 1457 −0.4 +1.4 — −0.84
5
Midland (4-3) 1670
50% (0) L 7-44 837 −14.6 +12.0 — −0.79
7
PSJA (2-4) 934
87% (+18) W 24-7 1413 −8.5 −5.0 +0.02 —
8
@PSJA North (5-1) 1798
18% (-15) — — — — — —
9 50% (0) — — — — — —
10
@San Benito (4-2) 1282
65% (+6) — — — — — —
11
Los Fresnos (3-3) 1360
57% (+3) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 32-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 67
Raiders
81.1
1798
5-1 1-0 45.5 19.7 4.5-0.5 > 98% D2
2 138
Cardinals
75.5
1428
4-2 1-0 31.3 20.7 2.9-2.1 85.9% D2
3 167
Greyhounds
73.3
1282
4-2 1-0 20.3 25.7 2.7-2.3 76.9% D1
4 150
Falcons
74.5
1360
3-3 0-1 34.0 34.7 2.3-2.7 67.2% D1
5 136
Chargers
75.6
1432
4-2 0-1 28.3 29.3 2.1-2.9 66.3% —
6 211
Bears
68.1
934
2-4 0-1 18.2 23.5 0.5-4.5 3.7% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Harlingen’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2011
13-1
Rating 673 (91st)
#2 · 2009
12-1
Rating 647 (87th)
#3 · 2022
12-1
Rating 642 (86th)
#4 · 2013
10-2
Rating 633 (85th)
#5 · 2010
12-1
Rating 631 (84th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo
PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS
AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 5-7 1288 26.5 31.0 −4.5 1292 −5.5 +7.6 −13.0 1174 −5.00 +0.57 −5.58 472(34th)
2024 5-6 1133 20.0 25.6 −5.6 1314 −10.1 +2.7 −12.8 1179 −4.41 +0.27 −4.68 448(27th)
2023 8-4 1529 27.6 18.6 +9.0 1235 −4.8 −2.9 −1.9 1453 −2.47 +0.43 −2.90 536(57th)
2022 12-1 1937 39.8 16.3 +23.5 1387 +11.4 −8.8 +20.2 2004 +1.50 +1.62 −0.13 642(86th)
2021 8-4 1648 29.2 15.4 +13.8 1428 +2.8 −7.7 +10.5 1762 −1.37 +1.25 −2.62 573(70th)
2020 6-1 1817 30.9 11.4 +19.4 1333 +0.3 −12.2 +12.5 1813 +0.60 +1.22 −0.62 —
2019 9-2 1769 35.9 24.3 +11.6 1486 +7.2 −3.6 +10.8 1770 +0.42 +1.16 −0.74 578(71st)
2018 5-5 1418 27.9 22.3 +5.6 1364 −1.0 −1.6 +0.5 1513 −3.36 +0.30 −3.67 512(49th)
2017 5-5 1422 21.7 22.3 −0.6 1458 −6.3 −3.8 −2.5 1437 −2.40 +1.17 −3.57 503(45th)
2016 8-3 1791 29.7 21.0 +8.7 1466 +3.4 −2.6 +6.0 1649 −0.35 +1.37 −1.72 569(68th)
2015 10-3 1844 35.6 18.6 +17.0 1370 +5.0 −7.5 +12.5 1812 +0.21 +1.42 −1.21 602(78th)
2014 6-5 1429 20.4 19.2 +1.2 1278 −10.1 −2.2 −7.9 1302 −3.59 +0.22 −3.81 485(39th)
2013 10-2 1766 43.4 11.6 +31.8 1166 +8.3 −9.5 +17.8 1945 −0.40 +0.77 −1.17 633(85th)
2012 8-4 1589 33.5 17.2 +16.3 1111 +1.4 −0.2 +1.6 1539 −2.52 +0.36 −2.88 549(62nd)
2011 13-1 2028 50.9 17.4 +33.5 1338 +19.9 −7.1 +27.0 2175 +1.99 +2.36 −0.37 673(91st)
2010 12-1 1993 46.2 16.9 +29.2 1169 +12.5 −3.7 +16.2 1904 +0.55 +1.12 −0.56 631(84th)
2009 12-1 1914 43.8 13.6 +30.2 1333 +12.9 −9.6 +22.5 2062 +1.36 +1.60 −0.24 647(87th)
2008 10-3 1650 36.1 16.9 +19.2 1250 +5.2 −3.7 +8.8 1721 −1.27 +0.81 −2.08 582(72nd)
2007 7-4 1383 19.1 13.6 +5.5 1257 −10.0 −5.2 −4.8 1381 −2.77 +0.53 −3.30 511(48th)
2006 6-5 1271 20.7 18.8 +1.9 1143 −9.5 +1.7 −11.2 1219 −4.30 +0.12 −4.42 467(32nd)
2005 10-3 1681 33.3 22.3 +11.0 1272 +5.6 +2.9 +2.8 1569 −1.25 +1.03 −2.28 556(64th)
2004 9-3 1390 34.8 19.2 +15.7 1105 +0.2 +0.7 −0.5 1488 −2.16 +0.34 −2.50 516(51st)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.