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CLASS 6A · District 8-6A

Fort Worth Haltom Buffaloes

Enrollment: 2,524 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 5
Rank
#144
was #161
Record
3-3
3-0 district
Elo
1404
#144 of 249
OVR Grade
75.2
#144 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
74.9
#125 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
75.5
#115 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1510
#124 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
@Fort Worth Brewer
 54% (+1) L 14-31 1036 −14.8 +3.8 — −0.89
2
Richland
 14% (-18) L 21-49 1045 −2.1 +16.1 — −0.63
3
@Arlington Bowie (3-3) 1586
 23% (-12) L 12-21 1192 −16.1 −3.7 — −0.78
5
Grand Prairie (3-3) 962
 62% (+5) W 61-0 2293 +23.9 −7.8 +0.04 —
6
@Irving Nimitz (1-5) 325
 > 98% (+39) W 56-0 1829 +7.4 −5.8 +0.00 —
7
Hurst Bell (3-3) 1286
 45% (-2) W 24-17 1662 +0.7 −5.7 +0.12 —
8
South Grand Prairie (4-2) 1730
 20% (-13) — — — — — —
9
@Irving (0-6) 436
 > 98% (+39) — — — — — —
10
Euless Trinity (4-2) 1869
 13% (-19) — — — — — —
11
@Irving MacArthur (3-3) 1027
 83% (+15) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 8-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 58
Trojans
82.2
1869
 4-2 3-0 30.5 19.3 6.8-0.2 > 98% D1
2 79
Warriors
80.1
1730
 4-2 2-1 30.2 20.2 5.6-1.4 > 98% D1
3 144
Buffaloes
75.2
1404
 3-3 3-0 31.3 19.7 5.2-1.9 > 98% D2
4 166
Blue Raiders
73.4
1286
 3-3 2-1 28.5 15.0 3.9-3.1 84% D2
5 204
Cardinals
69.5
1027
 3-3 1-2 28.2 29.3 2.9-4.1 16.7% —
6 209
Gophers
68.5
962
 3-3 1-2 14.8 27.3 2.4-4.6 < 2% —
7 246
Tigers
60.5
436
 0-6 0-3 8.2 54.7 0.8-6.2 < 2% —
8 247
Vikings
58.9
325
 1-5 0-3 21.0 33.0 0.4-6.6 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Fort Worth Haltom’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2018
13-1
Rating 658 (89th)
#2 · 2005
5-5
Rating 545 (60th)
#3 · 2019
4-6
Rating 507 (47th)
#4 · 2004
3-7
Rating 500 (44th)
#5 · 2017
6-5
Rating 488 (39th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 4-7 1218 30.5 31.3 −0.7 1383 −2.4 +2.5 −4.9 1377 −4.71 +0.36 −5.07 481(37th)
2024 6-5 1299 27.4 29.8 −2.5 1219 −9.5 +3.7 −13.2 1170 −3.45 +0.70 −4.15 462(31st)
2023 2-8 1008 23.7 34.3 −10.6 1630 −3.5 +1.9 −5.5 1363 −4.63 +0.19 −4.82 465(32nd)
2022 0-10 967 14.7 46.0 −31.3 1709 −10.9 +12.1 −23.1 923 −6.36 0.00 −6.36 395(14th)
2021 3-7 1136 24.6 34.9 −10.3 1436 −6.1 +7.7 −13.8 1155 −4.91 +0.07 −4.99 437(24th)
2020 5-5 1416 23.8 27.1 −3.3 1516 −3.6 +1.5 −5.1 1372 −2.48 +0.29 −2.77 487(39th)
2019 4-6 1453 30.7 30.1 +0.6 1479 +0.6 +2.4 −1.8 1454 −3.94 +1.15 −5.10 507(47th)
2018 13-1 2115 45.9 25.4 +20.5 1572 +18.9 −3.9 +22.9 2071 +4.05 +4.28 −0.23 658(89th)
2017 6-5 1369 30.9 30.8 +0.1 1341 +2.0 +7.5 −5.5 1363 −2.59 +0.73 −3.32 488(39th)
2016 4-6 1028 29.9 29.8 +0.1 1344 −2.4 +3.2 −5.6 1360 −4.17 +0.20 −4.38 456(29th)
2015 1-9 852 9.5 38.4 −28.9 1635 −15.6 +7.4 −23.0 926 −5.43 +0.23 −5.66 382(12th)
2014 0-10 803 7.8 41.5 −33.7 1705 −16.9 +9.3 −26.2 845 −6.46 0.00 −6.46 368(9th)
2013 3-7 1121 17.7 30.0 −12.3 1520 −8.6 +1.8 −10.4 1240 −4.32 +0.26 −4.58 451(28th)
2012 2-8 1131 23.5 29.6 −6.1 1492 −3.0 +4.0 −7.0 1325 −5.85 +0.24 −6.09 464(31st)
2011 4-6 1299 25.2 28.8 −3.6 1445 −2.5 +4.2 −6.7 1332 −3.25 +0.50 −3.75 482(37th)
2010 2-8 967 14.5 37.6 −23.1 1528 −11.8 +10.4 −22.2 946 −5.42 +0.15 −5.57 401(15th)
2009 5-6 1308 16.9 26.4 −9.5 1492 −11.3 −2.0 −9.4 1266 −3.26 +1.00 −4.26 473(34th)
2008 2-8 1100 19.9 33.7 −13.8 1389 −8.1 +8.3 −16.5 1088 −5.71 +0.06 −5.76 432(22nd)
2007 2-8 1159 14.6 32.3 −17.7 1565 −10.8 +4.1 −14.8 1129 −5.23 +0.21 −5.45 444(26th)
2006 3-7 1190 27.2 35.9 −8.7 1618 +1.7 +6.3 −4.6 1385 −4.24 +0.65 −4.89 481(37th)
2005 5-5 1531 28.3 27.8 +0.5 1632 +2.4 −2.5 +4.9 1622 −1.95 +0.68 −2.62 545(60th)
2004 3-7 1291 26.2 34.9 −8.7 1641 +1.2 +3.9 −2.7 1433 −3.75 +0.43 −4.17 500(44th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.