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CLASS 6A · District 21-6A

Fort Bend Elkins Knights

Enrollment: 2,869 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 3
Rank
#127
was #129
Record
2-5
1-3 district
Elo
1464
#127 of 249
OVR Grade
76.1
#127 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
72.4
#152 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
74.1
#134 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1381
#144 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
@Katy Mayde Creek (1-5) 1114
 43% (-3) L 35-38 1095 −1.9 +14.3 — −0.88
2
Pearland Dawson (3-4) 1551
 13% (-18) W 37-13 1982 +6.2 −13.0 +0.35 —
3
@Clear Falls (3-3) 1637
 40% (-4) L 35-42 1378 +5.3 +10.1 — −0.74
4
@Fort Bend Hightower (5-2) 1828
 25% (-11) L 0-40 991 −15.7 +4.7 — −0.64
5
Fort Bend Bush (1-6) 1215
 54% (+2) W 24-6 1550 −8.7 −10.7 +0.11 —
6
@Fort Bend Travis (6-1) 1770
 25% (-11) L 16-17 1634 −7.9 −13.3 — −0.61
7
#10Fort Bend Ridge Point (7-0) 2445
 < 2% (-39) L 7-61 1037 −2.7 +15.8 — −0.08
9
@Strake Jesuit (2-5) 1493
 47% (-1) — — — — — —
10
Fort Bend Clements (3-4) 1095
 82% (+15) — — — — — —
11
@Fort Bend Austin (1-6) 869
 92% (+24) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 21-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 10
Panthers
90.9
2445
 7-0 4-0 41.9 12.9 6.9-0.1 > 98% D2
2 63
Hurricanes
81.6
1828
 5-2 4-0 36.3 13.4 5.6-1.4 > 98% D2
3 71
Tigers
80.7
1770
 6-1 4-0 32.7 21.0 5.3-1.7 > 98% D1
4 124
Crusaders
76.5
1493
 2-5 2-2 18.4 27.4 3.5-3.5 59.2% D1
5 127
Knights
76.1
1464
 2-5 1-3 22.0 31.0 3.2-3.8 38.9% —
6 174
Broncos
72.3
1215
 1-6 1-3 12.4 35.4 1.9-5.1 < 2% —
7 193
Rangers
70.5
1095
 3-4 0-4 26.7 33.9 1.3-5.7 < 2% —
8 217
Bulldogs
67.1
869
 1-6 0-4 19.3 30.3 0.4-6.6 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Fort Bend Elkins’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2013
10-3
Rating 637 (85th)
#2 · 2019
8-3
Rating 570 (69th)
#3 · 2011
8-3
Rating 568 (68th)
#4 · 2010
7-4
Rating 553 (63rd)
#5 · 2024
7-5
Rating 523 (53rd)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 5-5 1213 31.5 31.2 +0.3 1267 −3.6 +5.6 −9.1 1272 −3.00 +0.23 −3.23 467(32nd)
2024 7-5 1408 30.2 26.0 +4.2 1402 −0.7 +0.3 −0.9 1476 −1.31 +1.25 −2.57 523(53rd)
2023 2-8 889 16.3 36.6 −20.3 1391 −13.9 +12.2 −26.1 846 −5.67 +0.04 −5.70 385(12th)
2022 2-8 937 16.0 25.2 −9.2 1352 −14.7 +4.0 −18.7 1032 −6.18 +0.04 −6.22 407(16th)
2021 2-7 1214 16.0 25.7 −9.7 1436 −11.0 +1.3 −12.3 1193 −4.52 +0.03 −4.55 449(27th)
2020 2-5 1434 16.9 23.0 −6.1 1650 −5.6 −5.6 0.0 1499 −2.88 +0.09 −2.97 —
2019 8-3 1616 42.3 21.5 +20.7 1325 +11.6 −1.1 +12.7 1817 −0.96 +0.51 −1.47 570(69th)
2018 7-4 1550 30.1 24.7 +5.4 1311 −2.8 −1.5 −1.3 1467 −1.75 +0.64 −2.40 518(51st)
2017 0-1 1622 23.0 34.0 −11.0 1521 −4.4 +0.1 −4.5 1387 −0.69 0.00 −0.69 —
2016 0-3 1736 13.7 29.7 −16.0 1788 −6.6 −4.3 −2.3 1443 −1.94 0.00 −1.94 —
2015 2-0 2225 25.0 13.5 +11.5 1858 +5.5 −22.2 +27.7 2191 +1.11 +1.11 0.00 —
2014 2-0 2153 36.5 20.0 +16.5 1913 +14.0 −22.4 +36.4 2411 +1.23 +1.23 0.00 —
2013 10-3 2008 40.6 24.4 +16.2 1583 +13.0 −6.2 +19.2 1979 +1.56 +2.48 −0.92 637(85th)
2012 4-6 1407 25.3 29.4 −4.1 1562 +0.4 +2.5 −2.1 1447 −3.67 +0.59 −4.26 505(46th)
2011 8-3 1762 27.5 20.0 +7.5 1510 +1.2 −5.4 +6.6 1665 −0.30 +1.22 −1.52 568(68th)
2010 7-4 1586 30.6 21.7 +8.9 1447 +2.8 −4.0 +6.8 1670 −1.47 +1.39 −2.85 553(63rd)
2009 8-3 1526 24.1 21.3 +2.8 1400 −1.7 −0.8 −0.9 1478 −0.64 +0.82 −1.46 521(52nd)
2008 6-2 1436 40.0 29.8 +10.2 1226 +10.8 +10.9 −0.1 1496 −1.09 +0.58 −1.68 516(51st)
2007 4-6 1219 27.4 26.2 +1.2 1332 +2.0 +7.1 −5.2 1371 −4.61 +0.13 −4.74 482(37th)
2006 4-6 1312 25.9 30.8 −4.9 1345 +0.6 +10.7 −10.1 1247 −4.59 +0.25 −4.84 474(34th)
2005 3-7 1258 25.7 26.5 −0.8 1438 +1.5 +5.5 −4.0 1399 −4.93 +0.33 −5.26 490(40th)
2004 3-7 1029 14.3 24.7 −10.4 1370 −10.5 +5.5 −16.0 1099 −5.46 +0.17 −5.63 432(23rd)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.