| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richardson Lake Highlands (4-2) 1695 |
63% (+5) | L 23-30 | 1482 | −2.3 | −1.5 | — | −0.67 |
| 2 | @McKinney (1-5) 1457 |
80% (+13) | L 14-23 | 1202 | −20.5 | −8.5 | — | −0.88 |
| 3 | @Dallas Jesuit (4-2) 1660 |
68% (+7) | L 14-31 | 1280 | −14.6 | −5.8 | — | −0.88 |
| 4 | Royse City (1-5) 1569 |
23% (-12) | W 30-27 | 1686 | +2.7 | −4.8 | +0.35 | — |
| 5 | 14% (-17) | L 28-35 | 1737 | −0.5 | −10.0 | — | −0.42 | |
| 7 | Mesquite Horn (0-6) 1116 |
78% (+12) | W 70-14 | 2325 | +15.8 | −17.2 | +0.05 | — |
| 8 | 11% (-20) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 9 | #38Rockwall (4-2) 2040 |
11% (-20) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | @Tyler Legacy (2-4) 1413 |
62% (+5) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | #8Longview (5-1) 2462 |
< 2% (-37) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#115
was #126
Record
2-4
2-1 district
Elo
1531
#115 of 249
OVR Grade
77.1
#115 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
72.7
#147 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
81.8
#63 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1619
#103 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 10-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance
Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Forney’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2025
10-3
Rating 670 (90th)
#2 · 2024
5-6
Rating 602 (78th)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.