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CLASS 6A · District 18-6A

Deer Park Deer

Enrollment: 4,104 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 1
Rank
#30
was #32
Record
6-0
3-0 district
Elo
2095
#30 of 249
OVR Grade
85.6
#30 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
83.1
#50 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
87.9
#27 of 249 in 6A
Perf
2166
#34 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
@Pearland Dawson (3-4) 1551
 46% (-2) W 35-0 2257 +4.2 −26.0 +0.49 —
2
La Porte
 69% (+8) W 41-17 2285 +16.7 −14.7 +0.40 —
3
@Humble Kingwood (3-4) 1639
 70% (+8) W 45-7 2561 +15.1 −27.4 +0.45 —
4
@Clear Brook (1-5) 686
 > 98% (+55) W 54-7 1854 +4.2 −10.0 +0.01 —
5
Clear Lake (2-4) 1116
 98% (+37) W 62-7 2273 +18.6 −12.4 +0.05 —
6
Clear Springs (2-4) 1518
 91% (+22) W 38-21 1762 +10.1 −0.3 +0.21 —
8
Clear Creek (1-5) 1150
 > 98% (+38) — — — — — —
9
@#22Dickinson (3-3) 2210
 38% (-5) — — — — — —
10
@#43Barbers Hill (6-0) 2004
 59% (+4) — — — — — —
11
Clear Falls (3-3) 1637
 87% (+18) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 18-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 22
Gators
87.3
2210
 3-3 3-0 39.5 17.5 6.2-0.8 > 98% D1
2 30
Deer
85.6
2095
 6-0 3-0 45.8 9.8 5.8-1.2 > 98% D1
3 43
Eagles
84.2
2004
 6-0 3-0 50.7 15.2 5.6-1.4 > 98% D2
4 96
Knights
78.7
1637
 3-3 2-1 31.2 31.8 3.7-3.3 65.3% D2
5 118
Chargers
76.9
1518
 2-4 1-2 18.2 29.3 3.3-3.7 34.9% —
6 183
Wildcats
71.3
1150
 1-5 0-3 16.5 37.0 1.6-5.4 < 2% —
7 188
Falcons
70.8
1116
 2-4 0-3 18.5 46.0 1.5-5.5 < 2% —
8 233
Wolverines
64.3
686
 1-5 0-3 17.8 51.7 0.3-6.7 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Deer Park’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2023
9-2
Rating 617 (82nd)
#2 · 2008
8-2
Rating 599 (77th)
#3 · 2007
8-3
Rating 585 (73rd)
#4 · 2021
8-3
Rating 585 (73rd)
#5 · 2024
8-3
Rating 585 (74th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 6-5 1734 34.3 27.9 +6.4 1684 +6.7 −5.1 +11.8 1795 −0.62 +1.29 −1.91 584(73rd)
2024 8-3 1871 32.3 30.0 +2.3 1663 +5.5 −2.9 +8.5 1712 +1.37 +2.02 −0.65 585(74th)
2023 9-2 1813 45.5 18.3 +27.2 1320 +11.8 −6.1 +17.9 1947 −0.35 +0.52 −0.87 617(82nd)
2022 9-2 1752 37.9 17.3 +20.6 1270 +5.3 −5.9 +11.2 1779 −0.17 +0.72 −0.90 584(73rd)
2021 8-3 1780 42.2 23.5 +18.6 1335 +10.6 −2.6 +13.2 1830 +0.05 +0.99 −0.93 585(73rd)
2020 5-6 1428 31.5 28.4 +3.2 1438 +0.7 +1.3 −0.5 1486 −3.22 +0.21 −3.43 504(46th)
2019 7-4 1791 30.3 35.5 −5.2 1737 +6.2 +1.1 +5.0 1625 +0.38 +2.14 −1.76 561(66th)
2018 4-6 1457 36.9 39.9 −3.0 1606 +9.2 +7.9 +1.3 1533 −3.21 +0.29 −3.51 518(52nd)
2017 6-4 1644 28.0 16.7 +11.3 1236 −3.7 −4.2 +0.6 1514 −2.02 +0.52 −2.54 539(58th)
2016 7-4 1580 33.0 23.2 +9.8 1334 +2.4 −1.2 +3.6 1591 −1.61 +0.59 −2.20 538(58th)
2015 4-6 1592 34.3 31.0 +3.3 1660 +8.9 −1.9 +10.8 1769 −2.72 +0.63 −3.35 561(66th)
2014 8-3 1777 27.2 23.5 +3.7 1647 +0.8 −10.6 +11.4 1784 +0.43 +1.56 −1.13 581(72nd)
2013 4-6 1602 27.8 28.7 −0.9 1641 +2.9 −2.8 +5.7 1642 −2.67 +0.72 −3.39 548(61st)
2012 6-6 1685 31.5 22.4 +9.1 1534 +3.3 −7.7 +11.1 1777 −2.18 +0.88 −3.06 584(73rd)
2011 10-2 1812 33.3 22.0 +11.3 1460 +5.9 −3.7 +9.6 1741 +1.09 +1.82 −0.73 582(73rd)
2010 7-4 1539 23.7 20.0 +3.7 1468 −4.0 −5.6 +1.6 1541 −1.22 +1.37 −2.59 532(56th)
2009 7-4 1688 20.0 13.9 +6.1 1359 −6.3 −7.1 +0.8 1519 −1.67 +0.73 −2.40 553(63rd)
2008 8-2 1804 30.3 14.9 +15.4 1410 +4.5 −7.0 +11.5 1788 +0.41 +0.75 −0.35 599(77th)
2007 8-3 1697 31.5 16.5 +14.9 1406 +5.5 −5.6 +11.1 1778 −0.90 +0.83 −1.74 585(73rd)
2006 7-4 1657 25.9 18.7 +7.2 1369 −0.5 −4.0 +3.4 1585 −1.71 +0.93 −2.65 551(62nd)
2005 7-4 1685 25.4 18.3 +7.1 1434 −1.2 −5.2 +4.0 1600 −1.39 +0.83 −2.23 557(64th)
2004 6-4 1520 32.2 21.0 +11.2 1345 +3.7 −0.3 +4.0 1600 −2.15 +0.35 −2.51 543(60th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.