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CLASS 6A · District 13-6A

Conroe Oak Ridge War Eagles

Enrollment: 2,760 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 8
Rank
#198
was #198
Record
1-5
1-2 district
Elo
1070
#198 of 249
OVR Grade
70.1
#198 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
71.1
#167 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
74.3
#129 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1340
#153 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
Katy Taylor (5-2) 1540
 70% (+8) L 14-21 1266 −11.6 −2.2 — −0.97
2
@Klein Cain (4-2) 1818
 5% (-28) L 20-45 1238 −6.4 +4.1 — −0.56
3
@Montgomery
 3% (-35) L 35-42 1793 +16.4 +4.6 — −0.38
5
@Cleveland (2-4) 465
 91% (+23) W 37-6 1312 −7.9 −0.4 +0.00 —
6
Conroe (3-3) 1530
 17% (-15) L 10-42 819 −20.4 +6.8 — −0.82
7
@Conroe Grand Oaks (4-2) 1841
 4% (-31) L 22-26 1610 −3.6 −8.0 — −0.51
8
@#40Willis (4-2) 2033
 < 2% (-39) — — — — — —
9
Conroe Caney Creek (2-4) 744
 80% (+13) — — — — — —
10
@#36The Woodlands College Park (3-3) 2049
 < 2% (-39) — — — — — —
11
#17The Woodlands (5-1) 2314
 < 2% (-50) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 13-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 17
Highlanders
88.9
2314
 5-1 3-0 47.3 17.2 6.8-0.2 > 98% D1
2 36
Cavaliers
84.9
2049
 3-3 2-1 36.0 30.2 5.6-1.4 97.5% D2
3 40
Wildkats
84.6
2033
 4-2 1-2 29.0 28.8 4.9-2.1 96.1% D2
4 62
Grizzlies
81.8
1841
 4-2 2-1 30.2 30.3 4.4-2.6 > 98% D1
5 116
Tigers
77.1
1530
 3-3 2-1 35.5 32.5 3.2-3.8 7.9% —
6 230
Panthers
65.2
744
 2-4 1-2 20.8 33.5 1.2-5.8 < 2% —
7 198
War Eagles
70.1
1070
 1-5 1-2 23.0 30.3 1.8-5.2 < 2% —
8 242
Indians
61
465
 2-4 0-3 16.5 33.7 0-7 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Conroe Oak Ridge’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2023
8-4
Rating 605 (79th)
#2 · 2022
7-4
Rating 582 (72nd)
#3 · 2014
7-4
Rating 572 (70th)
#4 · 2018
5-5
Rating 571 (69th)
#5 · 2010
6-5
Rating 546 (61st)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 4-6 1386 25.3 36.8 −11.5 1508 −3.3 +6.7 −10.0 1251 −2.26 +0.28 −2.54 480(37th)
2024 3-7 1363 35.4 47.7 −12.3 1519 +4.2 +15.5 −11.3 1217 −3.79 +0.14 −3.93 474(34th)
2023 8-4 1865 36.1 24.2 +11.8 1551 +7.2 −6.0 +13.3 1832 −0.21 +1.71 −1.92 605(79th)
2022 7-4 1677 37.5 23.9 +13.5 1513 +8.6 −5.3 +13.9 1848 −0.60 +1.09 −1.69 582(72nd)
2021 2-8 1369 23.8 34.4 −10.6 1709 −0.2 +0.8 −1.0 1475 −4.89 +0.38 −5.26 501(45th)
2020 6-5 1435 24.1 27.2 −3.1 1504 −3.6 −1.8 −1.9 1454 −2.20 +0.94 −3.13 500(44th)
2019 3-7 1360 23.6 32.8 −9.2 1633 −0.3 +2.9 −3.2 1421 −3.61 +0.25 −3.86 494(42nd)
2018 5-5 1724 35.0 26.4 +8.6 1515 +7.4 −2.4 +9.8 1744 −1.75 +0.65 −2.40 571(69th)
2017 5-4 1585 26.6 27.8 −1.2 1661 +1.8 −4.3 +6.1 1654 −0.36 +0.60 −0.96 546(61st)
2016 4-6 1486 21.5 23.8 −2.3 1678 −5.8 −10.2 +4.4 1611 −2.21 +0.88 −3.09 532(56th)
2015 4-6 1399 31.8 27.3 +4.5 1533 +5.0 −0.3 +5.3 1632 −3.23 +0.65 −3.87 525(54th)
2014 7-4 1710 33.6 27.2 +6.5 1570 +9.0 −1.4 +10.4 1760 −0.07 +1.14 −1.21 572(70th)
2013 7-4 1514 31.4 30.5 +0.9 1574 +3.7 +1.4 +2.3 1558 −0.17 +1.09 −1.26 528(55th)
2012 1-9 1012 13.4 31.7 −18.3 1590 −14.0 +0.5 −14.5 1137 −5.57 +0.21 −5.77 428(21st)
2011 1-9 1107 20.8 40.9 −20.1 1570 −4.5 +11.2 −15.7 1108 −6.08 +0.02 −6.10 435(23rd)
2010 6-5 1617 32.3 29.1 +3.2 1528 +4.7 +1.0 +3.7 1593 −1.59 +0.76 −2.34 546(61st)
2009 5-6 1568 28.9 28.5 +0.4 1567 +4.6 +0.7 +3.9 1597 −2.17 +0.47 −2.64 541(59th)
2008 4-6 1367 24.9 31.8 −6.9 1638 +2.5 +3.3 −0.8 1479 −2.33 +0.37 −2.70 508(47th)
2007 4-6 1152 23.0 32.4 −9.4 1429 −4.3 +8.4 −12.7 1184 −3.55 +0.27 −3.81 451(28th)
2006 7-4 1448 24.2 19.7 +4.5 1453 −2.8 −5.6 +2.8 1570 −1.37 +0.95 −2.32 530(55th)
2005 1-9 959 12.3 34.7 −22.4 1569 −10.3 +9.7 −20.0 1001 −6.19 +0.04 −6.23 410(17th)
2004 2-8 1093 11.7 27.4 −15.7 1513 −13.5 +0.8 −14.3 1143 −5.54 +0.08 −5.62 443(26th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.