| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Klein Oak (2-4) 1730 |
37% (-5) | W 38-35 | 2057 | +19.1 | −3.2 | +0.61 | — |
| 2 | @Montgomery |
55% (+2) | L 17-35 | 1518 | −1.6 | −2.4 | — | −0.50 |
| 3 | Langham Creek (5-1) 1754 |
52% (+1) | W 38-14 | 2391 | +20.1 | −15.5 | +0.41 | — |
| 5 | @Conroe (3-3) 1530 |
83% (+15) | W 41-25 | 2019 | +10.6 | −10.2 | +0.20 | — |
| 6 | 35% (-6) | L 21-51 | 1253 | +2.3 | +12.2 | — | −0.29 | |
| 7 | Conroe Oak Ridge (1-5) 1070 |
96% (+31) | W 26-22 | 1389 | −5.2 | −0.7 | +0.04 | — |
| 8 | @Conroe Caney Creek (2-4) 744 |
> 98% (+44) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | #36The Woodlands College Park (3-3) 2049 |
30% (-8) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | 12% (-19) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 11 | Cleveland (2-4) 465 |
> 98% (+55) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#62
was #60
Record
4-2
2-1 district
Elo
1841
#62 of 249
OVR Grade
81.8
#62 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
80.3
#74 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
77.8
#96 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1771
#80 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 13-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance
Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Conroe Grand Oaks’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2025
8-4
Rating 588 (74th)
#2 · 2024
6-4
Rating 551 (62nd)
#3 · 2021
5-4
Rating 521 (53rd)
#4 · 2020
7-3
Rating 518 (52nd)
#5 · 2023
3-7
Rating 472 (34th)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.