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CLASS 6A · District 24-6A

Cedar Park Timberwolves

Enrollment: 2,304 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 6
Rank
#29
was #33
Record
7-0
3-0 district
Elo
2096
#29 of 249
OVR Grade
85.6
#29 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
89.4
#15 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
84.8
#38 of 249 in 6A
Perf
2302
#26 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
A&M Consolidated
62% (+5) W 40-35 1860 +16.7 +2.3 +0.43 —
2 93% (+25) W 68-7 2747 +36.6 −13.3 +0.09 —
3
@#39Waco Midway (6-1) 2038
42% (-3) W 39-34 2165 +23.4 −3.2 +0.68 —
4
New Braunfels
93% (+24) W 51-0 2685 +21.2 −26.2 +0.15 —
5
Leander (1-5) 798
> 98% (+50) W 56-0 2259 +17.9 −12.4 +0.01 —
6
@Leander Rouse (4-3) 1600
86% (+17) W 37-23 2086 +14.5 −8.9 +0.27 —
7
Hutto (5-2) 1894
65% (+6) W 37-35 2312 +13.4 −19.0 +0.57 —
8
@#34Austin Vandegrift (4-2) 2056
54% (+2) — — — — — —
9 98% (+35) — — — — — —
10 96% (+29) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 24-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 29
Timberwolves
85.6
2096
7-0 3-0 46.9 19.1 5.5-0.5 > 98% D2
2 34
Vipers
85
2056
4-2 2-0 32.5 24.7 5-1 > 98% D2
3 55
Hippos
82.5
1894
5-2 2-1 56.9 26.1 4.1-1.9 > 98% D1
4 99
Raiders
78.1
1600
4-3 2-1 31.6 22.4 3.2-2.8 94.6% D1
5 175
Patriots
72.2
1209
2-4 0-2 22.2 34.7 1.4-4.6 5.2% —
6 150
Rangers
74.5
1360
2-5 0-3 29.1 51.6 1.6-4.4 < 2% —
7 223
Lions
66
798
1-5 0-2 17.8 31.3 0.3-5.7 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Cedar Park’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2004
11-3
Rating 653 (88th)
#2 · 2009
7-4
Rating 613 (81st)
#3 · 2007
6-4
Rating 608 (80th)
#4 · 2008
6-5
Rating 608 (80th)
#5 · 2006
9-3
Rating 574 (70th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo
PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS
AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 0-2 1833 24.5 43.5 −19.0 2140 +9.4 +5.6 +3.9 1596 −0.63 0.00 −0.63 —
2024 1-1 1793 46.0 45.5 +0.5 2197 +28.3 +2.3 +26.1 2152 +0.16 +0.81 −0.65 —
2023 2-1 1740 24.7 24.0 +0.7 1671 +5.0 −4.6 +9.6 1739 +0.43 +0.50 −0.07 —
2022 0-3 1681 7.0 34.3 −27.3 2080 −7.1 −3.6 −3.4 1414 −1.14 0.00 −1.14 —
2021 1-2 2055 17.7 23.3 −5.7 2129 +5.3 −16.0 +21.3 2033 −0.04 +0.50 −0.53 —
2020 2-0 2272 24.5 10.5 +14.0 1956 +9.4 −24.3 +33.7 2342 +1.23 +1.23 0.00 —
2019 3-1 2167 29.5 17.2 +12.2 1706 +1.6 −13.2 +14.8 1869 +1.02 +1.19 −0.17 —
2018 2-2 2120 23.0 24.5 −1.5 1957 +1.1 −11.5 +12.6 1816 +0.44 +1.21 −0.77 —
2017 1-0 2202 38.0 7.0 +31.0 1874 +20.0 −32.0 +52.0 2800 +0.34 +0.34 0.00 —
2016 2-0 2215 28.0 6.5 +21.5 1905 +9.0 −27.6 +36.7 2416 +1.08 +1.08 0.00 —
2015 2-0 2087 49.0 11.5 +37.5 1189 +16.0 −10.8 +26.8 2169 +0.44 +0.44 0.00 —
2014 2-0 2067 33.5 12.0 +21.5 1510 +7.6 −13.5 +21.1 2027 +0.36 +0.36 0.00 —
2013 3-1 2064 37.2 22.2 +15.0 1684 +8.9 −13.7 +22.7 2066 +0.86 +1.40 −0.54 —
2012 2-2 1916 10.8 11.8 −1.0 1962 −5.7 −19.1 +13.4 1835 +0.06 +0.80 −0.74 —
2011 3-1 1967 38.0 9.2 +28.8 1584 +11.5 −16.3 +27.8 2196 +0.01 +0.67 −0.66 —
2010 4-0 2082 42.5 5.5 +37.0 1621 +18.6 −24.6 +43.2 2580 +1.06 +1.06 0.00 —
2009 7-4 1958 31.5 25.5 +6.0 1728 +7.8 −6.9 +14.7 1868 +0.40 +2.34 −1.95 613(81st)
2008 6-5 1842 26.4 21.6 +4.7 1752 +5.3 −10.2 +15.5 1886 −0.69 +2.01 −2.70 608(80th)
2007 6-4 1737 28.3 18.2 +10.1 1693 +6.5 −11.4 +18.0 1949 −0.75 +1.80 −2.55 608(80th)
2006 9-3 1719 23.8 20.2 +3.5 1628 +1.7 −7.3 +9.0 1724 +0.67 +2.32 −1.65 574(70th)
2005 5-5 1634 20.6 18.4 +2.2 1506 −4.5 −7.9 +3.5 1587 −2.56 +1.34 −3.90 551(62nd)
2004 11-3 2049 24.6 14.9 +9.6 1597 +2.3 −12.6 +14.9 1873 +1.34 +3.02 −1.68 653(88th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.