| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin Anderson |
10% (-21) | L 6-34 | 1170 | −14.6 | −1.4 | — | −0.50 |
| 2 | @San Antonio Pieper (3-3) 1642 |
24% (-11) | L 13-56 | 619 | −19.3 | +15.9 | — | −0.76 |
| 3 | Round Rock Westwood (1-6) 1059 |
44% (-2) | W 29-26 | 1117 | −6.2 | +9.2 | +0.10 | — |
| 4 | @San Antonio Alamo Heights |
8% (-23) | L 9-58 | 675 | −11.0 | +22.0 | — | −0.47 |
| 5 | Buda Hays Consolidated (4-3) 1432 |
18% (-15) | L 28-41 | 1214 | −0.8 | +10.7 | — | −0.69 |
| 6 | 2% (-35) | L 21-49 | 1544 | +4.4 | +2.7 | — | −0.23 | |
| 7 | Austin Del Valle (1-5) 681 |
91% (+22) | W 63-7 | 1970 | +15.3 | −3.5 | +0.01 | — |
| 8 | @Austin Akins (1-5) 282 |
> 98% (+40) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | Austin High (1-5) 1184 |
60% (+4) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | @Austin Bowie (5-1) 1816 |
10% (-21) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#168
was #164
Record
2-5
1-2 district
Elo
1279
#168 of 249
OVR Grade
73.3
#168 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
71.8
#158 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
68.3
#187 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1187
#174 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 26-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance
Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Buda Johnson’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2024
8-5
Rating 549 (62nd)
#2 · 2022
4-6
Rating 508 (47th)
#3 · 2023
5-5
Rating 502 (45th)
#4 · 2025
3-7
Rating 482 (37th)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.