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CLASS 6A · District 26-6A

Buda Hays Consolidated Hawks

Enrollment: 2,334 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 5
Rank
#137
was #124
Record
4-3
1-2 district
Elo
1432
#137 of 249
OVR Grade
75.6
#137 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
75.9
#111 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
74.8
#121 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1527
#118 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
@San Marcos (0-6) 1254
 51% (+0) W 29-27 1100 −7.8 +8.2 +0.25 —
2
Seguin
 76% (+11) W 54-0 2641 +21.8 −23.8 +0.11 —
3
@Killeen Harker Heights (4-2) 1909
 30% (-8) L 35-42 1571 +3.7 +0.8 — −0.45
4
Leander (1-5) 798
 97% (+34) W 45-13 1659 +6.9 +0.6 +0.01 —
5
@Buda Johnson (2-5) 1279
 82% (+15) W 41-28 1516 +4.1 +3.4 +0.09 —
6
Austin High (1-5) 1184
 95% (+28) L 28-35 999 −3.3 +16.7 — −0.97
7
@Austin Bowie (5-1) 1816
 23% (-11) L 6-36 1203 −16.0 −4.1 — −0.59
9
#26Dripping Springs (5-1) 2153
 5% (-29) — — — — — —
10
@Austin Del Valle (1-5) 681
 96% (+30) — — — — — —
11
Austin Akins (1-5) 282
 > 98% (+46) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 26-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 26
Tigers
86.5
2153
 5-1 3-0 49.0 15.7 5.8-0.2 > 98% D2
2 65
Bulldogs
81.4
1816
 5-1 2-0 45.2 18.5 5.1-0.9 > 98% D1
3 137
Hawks
75.6
1432
 4-3 1-2 34.0 25.9 3-3 92.8% D2
4 168
Jaguars
73.3
1279
 2-5 1-2 24.1 38.7 2.7-3.3 58.5% D1
5 180
Maroons
71.8
1184
 1-5 1-2 16.3 31.7 3.3-2.7 48.1% —
6 234
Cardinals
64.2
681
 1-5 1-1 19.7 39.0 1.2-4.8 < 2% —
7 248
Eagles
58.2
282
 1-5 0-2 13.7 52.3 0-6 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Buda Hays Consolidated’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2020
10-4
Rating 659 (89th)
#2 · 2005
10-2
Rating 616 (81st)
#3 · 2019
8-3
Rating 591 (75th)
#4 · 2018
8-3
Rating 581 (72nd)
#5 · 2004
8-3
Rating 558 (65th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2023 1-1 1311 21.5 17.5 +4.0 863 −14.6 +6.1 −20.7 983 −0.94 +0.00 −0.95 —
2022 2-0 1566 45.5 10.5 +35.0 998 +7.5 −4.0 +11.4 1786 +0.08 +0.08 0.00 —
2021 3-7 1483 35.3 49.2 −13.9 1755 +11.0 +14.8 −3.8 1405 −3.47 +0.34 −3.81 505(46th)
2020 10-4 2208 33.1 32.5 +0.6 1809 +11.9 −4.1 +16.0 1899 +2.71 +3.49 −0.78 659(89th)
2019 8-3 1862 38.2 32.1 +6.1 1636 +10.6 −1.9 +12.5 1813 +0.93 +1.18 −0.26 591(75th)
2018 8-3 1806 35.5 31.0 +4.5 1617 +8.7 −2.0 +10.7 1767 +1.39 +1.54 −0.15 581(72nd)
2017 4-7 1453 32.7 30.1 +2.6 1726 +7.2 −2.8 +10.1 1752 −2.17 +0.20 −2.37 548(61st)
2016 3-7 1359 23.6 31.6 −8.0 1723 +1.1 +0.4 +0.7 1517 −3.15 +0.15 −3.31 508(47th)
2015 5-5 1524 27.0 26.9 +0.1 1599 +1.3 −2.8 +4.2 1604 −1.49 +0.55 −2.03 534(57th)
2014 4-6 1417 27.5 35.4 −7.9 1492 −2.3 +5.1 −7.4 1315 −2.98 +0.14 −3.12 486(39th)
2013 1-0 1451 21.0 7.0 +14.0 874 −13.9 −3.3 −10.7 1233 +0.02 +0.02 0.00 —
2012 1-0 1431 35.0 7.0 +28.0 925 −2.2 −6.1 +3.8 1596 +0.06 +0.06 0.00 —
2011 2-1 1351 37.3 20.7 +16.7 940 −1.8 +5.8 −7.7 1308 −0.61 +0.04 −0.65 —
2010 2-1 1297 34.3 26.0 +8.3 1141 −3.4 +4.9 −8.3 1292 −0.72 +0.10 −0.82 —
2009 0-3 1134 10.3 31.7 −21.3 1643 −12.1 +4.9 −17.0 1075 −2.33 0.00 −2.33 —
2008 1-2 1476 25.0 34.7 −9.7 1326 −5.3 +6.7 −12.0 1200 −1.39 +0.10 −1.49 —
2007 1-1 1653 17.5 24.5 −7.0 1353 −9.5 +1.5 −11.0 1226 −0.56 +0.04 −0.59 —
2006 1-1 1770 19.0 19.0 0.0 1478 −5.0 −5.1 +0.1 1502 −0.51 +0.14 −0.65 —
2005 10-2 1907 44.3 24.8 +19.6 1419 +14.7 −1.3 +16.0 1901 +1.01 +1.55 −0.54 616(81st)
2004 8-3 1611 28.9 18.2 +10.7 1405 +1.6 −3.9 +5.5 1637 −1.08 +0.90 −1.98 558(65th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.