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CLASS 6A · District 12-6A

Bryan Vikings

Enrollment: 2,267 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 4

Rank

#228

was #228

Record

1-6

0-3 district

Elo

760

#228 of 249

OVR Grade

65.4

#228 of 249 in 6A

OFF Grade

63.9

#224 of 249 in 6A

DEF Grade

58.6

#229 of 249 in 6A

Perf

622

#230 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk	Opponent (Rec) Elo	Proj WP%	Result	Perf	AOS	ADS	WQ	LQ
1	Magnolia West (2-4) 1221	40% (-4)	L 24-56	268	−15.4	+33.9	—	−0.95
2	Belton	32% (-7)	L 23-48	535	−11.8	+26.8	—	−0.95
3	@Waco	66% (+6)	W 14-0	959	−31.8	−10.2	+0.01	—
4	@Bryan Rudder	82% (+15)	L 34-40	584	−9.3	+27.3	—	−0.99
5	Killeen Chaparral (2-4) 920	46% (-2)	L 21-27	717	−18.5	+12.9	—	−0.98
6	@Copperas Cove (5-2) 1566	4% (-31)	L 14-56	550	−18.4	+19.6	—	−0.78
7	#39Waco Midway (6-1) 2038	< 2% (-51)	L 10-62	740	−5.6	+24.8	—	−0.31
8	@Killeen Harker Heights (4-2) 1909	< 2% (-46)	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	Lake Belton (3-3) 1596	3% (-33)	—	—	—	—	—	—
10	@Temple (1-6) 1448	5% (-28)	—	—	—	—	—	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 12-6A

Rk			Team (Enroll Rk)	OVR/Elo	Overall	District	PPG	PAPG	ProjRec	PO%	Bracket
1		39	Waco Midway (1) Panthers	84.7 2038	6-1	3-0	36.4	15.6	5.5-0.5	> 98%	D1
2		54	Killeen Harker Heights (5) Knights	82.8 1909	4-2	2-0	37.2	39.5	5.2-0.8	> 98%	D2
3		106	Copperas Cove (3) Bulldawgs	77.6 1566	5-2	3-0	42.0	30.0	3.8-2.2	> 98%	D1
4		100	Lake Belton (6) Broncos	78.1 1596	3-3	0-2	33.5	35.2	3.1-2.9	78.3%	D2
5		134	Temple (2) Wildcats	75.8 1448	1-6	0-3	28.4	41.3	2.2-3.8	20.9%	—
6		213	Killeen Chaparral (7) Bobcats	67.9 920	2-4	1-1	21.8	31.2	1.2-4.8	< 2%	—
7		228	Bryan (4) Vikings	65.4 760	1-6	0-3	20.0	41.3	0.1-5.9	< 2%	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Bryan’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2006

7-4

Rating 606 (79th)

#2 · 2007

6-5

Rating 559 (65th)

#3 · 2022

6-5

Rating 549 (62nd)

#4 · 2005

4-6

Rating 539 (58th)

#5 · 2009

5-6

Rating 534 (57th)

Team Performance History

Year	Record	Final Elo	PPG	PAPG	Margin	Elo SOS	AOS	ADS	DOM	Perf	RQ	WQ	LQ	All-Time Rating (%ile)
2025	0-10	852	13.0	40.5	−27.5	1559	−14.1	+9.5	−23.7	908	−7.09	0.00	−7.09	386(12th)
2024	4-6	1344	37.1	44.5	−7.4	1435	+5.3	+15.1	−9.8	1256	−3.85	+0.54	−4.38	477(35th)
2023	3-7	1220	33.2	43.6	−10.4	1419	+1.1	+13.8	−12.7	1183	−4.99	+0.25	−5.24	459(30th)
2022	6-5	1661	34.5	34.8	−0.4	1632	+8.0	+3.5	+4.5	1613	−1.27	+0.89	−2.16	549(62nd)
2021	4-7	1581	20.9	22.5	−1.5	1579	−7.1	−8.8	+1.7	1542	−3.82	+0.66	−4.49	528(55th)
2020	5-3	1491	24.9	29.5	−4.6	1621	−1.7	−3.3	+1.6	1541	−0.18	+0.67	−0.84	516(51st)
2019	2-8	1085	17.8	38.0	−20.2	1530	−9.7	+8.3	−18.0	1050	−5.28	+0.08	−5.36	420(19th)
2018	4-6	1439	18.7	15.7	+3.0	1489	−10.4	−12.7	+2.3	1557	−3.31	+0.23	−3.54	528(55th)
2015	1-1	1371	29.0	14.0	+15.0	1422	+3.0	−9.7	+12.7	1816	−0.69	+0.07	−0.76	—
2014	1-1	1267	29.5	40.5	−11.0	1364	+1.3	+7.8	−6.5	1337	−0.77	+0.12	−0.89	—
2013	2-8	1237	22.6	32.8	−10.2	1675	−3.7	0.0	−3.7	1407	−4.11	+0.25	−4.36	483(38th)
2012	3-7	1312	16.0	33.7	−17.7	1631	−10.7	+2.1	−12.8	1180	−3.79	+0.22	−4.01	460(30th)
2011	4-6	1296	22.6	29.7	−7.1	1484	−4.8	+1.8	−6.6	1336	−3.52	+0.57	−4.08	482(37th)
2010	6-5	1536	24.7	27.0	−2.3	1530	−3.5	−3.6	+0.1	1503	−1.58	+0.40	−1.98	526(54th)
2009	5-6	1582	29.2	31.1	−1.9	1556	+3.3	+1.9	+1.4	1535	−2.48	+1.18	−3.67	534(57th)
2008	4-5	1288	24.7	30.8	−6.1	1521	−3.0	+2.8	−5.8	1356	−2.14	+1.38	−3.52	484(38th)
2007	6-5	1624	24.1	23.5	+0.5	1663	−0.8	−8.0	+7.1	1679	−1.15	+1.84	−2.99	559(65th)
2006	7-4	1704	24.7	14.4	+10.4	1629	+2.7	−12.6	+15.3	1882	−0.33	+1.78	−2.11	606(79th)
2005	4-6	1470	20.3	20.1	+0.2	1618	−1.5	−6.2	+4.7	1617	−3.42	+0.41	−3.84	539(58th)
2004	6-5	1490	18.2	28.8	−10.6	1571	−2.7	+2.3	−5.1	1374	−1.98	+1.18	−3.16	510(48th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).

Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.

AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.

ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.

DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.

Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.

RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.

WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.

LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.

All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.