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CLASS 6A · District 26-6A

Austin Bowie Bulldogs

Enrollment: 2,869 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 3
Rank
#65
was #68
Record
5-1
2-0 district
Elo
1816
#65 of 249
OVR Grade
81.4
#65 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
79.7
#78 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
83.9
#41 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1927
#57 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
Round Rock McNeil (0-7) 1099
 68% (+7) W 62-14 2025 +12.1 −8.9 +0.20 —
2
@Cedar Park Vista Ridge (2-5) 1360
 78% (+12) L 37-40 1110 −7.2 +8.4 — −0.83
3
Converse Judson (2-3) 1513
 76% (+11) W 58-27 2263 +15.9 −14.6 +0.14 —
4
@Round Rock Stony Point (3-4) 1335
 91% (+23) W 47-21 2000 +12.2 −7.8 +0.06 —
5
@Austin High (1-5) 1184
 96% (+31) W 31-3 1874 −0.3 −15.3 +0.03 —
7
Buda Hays Consolidated (4-3) 1432
 77% (+11) W 36-6 2289 +7.2 −24.3 +0.18 —
8
@#26Dripping Springs (5-1) 2153
 20% (-13) — — — — — —
9
Austin Del Valle (1-5) 681
 > 98% (+45) — — — — — —
10
@Austin Akins (1-5) 282
 > 98% (+61) — — — — — —
11
Buda Johnson (2-5) 1279
 90% (+21) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 26-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 26
Tigers
86.5
2153
 5-1 3-0 49.0 15.7 5.8-0.2 > 98% D2
2 65
Bulldogs
81.4
1816
 5-1 2-0 45.2 18.5 5.1-0.9 > 98% D1
3 137
Hawks
75.6
1432
 4-3 1-2 34.0 25.9 3-3 92.8% D2
4 168
Jaguars
73.3
1279
 2-5 1-2 24.1 38.7 2.7-3.3 58.5% D1
5 180
Maroons
71.8
1184
 1-5 1-2 16.3 31.7 3.3-2.7 48.1% —
6 234
Cardinals
64.2
681
 1-5 1-1 19.7 39.0 1.2-4.8 < 2% —
7 248
Eagles
58.2
282
 1-5 0-2 13.7 52.3 0-6 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Austin Bowie’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2021
10-3
Rating 655 (88th)
#2 · 2016
11-2
Rating 641 (86th)
#3 · 2022
7-3
Rating 622 (83rd)
#4 · 2007
8-3
Rating 615 (81st)
#5 · 2010
8-5
Rating 615 (81st)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 6-5 1614 31.9 23.8 +8.1 1512 +3.3 −4.1 +7.4 1686 −1.22 +0.28 −1.50 558(65th)
2024 6-4 1548 32.9 27.2 +5.7 1525 +5.1 −1.6 +6.8 1669 −0.90 +0.54 −1.44 550(62nd)
2023 4-7 1341 22.0 29.4 −7.4 1454 −4.1 +4.8 −8.9 1278 −3.88 +0.17 −4.05 483(38th)
2022 7-3 1903 34.3 19.3 +15.0 1640 +8.5 −11.3 +19.9 1997 +0.67 +1.07 −0.40 622(83rd)
2021 10-3 2086 33.2 19.7 +13.5 1725 +6.7 −15.9 +22.6 2065 +2.61 +2.89 −0.28 655(88th)
2020 3-5 1586 28.1 31.9 −3.8 1706 +3.3 −3.0 +6.3 1657 −2.02 +0.22 −2.24 541(59th)
2019 5-6 1623 26.5 32.5 −6.0 1691 −0.3 −1.6 +1.3 1532 −1.82 +0.42 −2.24 533(56th)
2018 7-4 1792 35.5 22.5 +12.9 1629 +8.6 −9.3 +17.9 1948 −0.39 +0.53 −0.92 604(79th)
2017 8-3 1815 33.2 27.6 +5.5 1513 +4.3 −2.5 +6.8 1671 −0.15 +1.11 −1.26 570(68th)
2016 11-2 2116 35.6 20.5 +15.1 1536 +8.2 −8.6 +16.7 1918 +1.98 +2.06 −0.08 641(86th)
2015 8-3 1888 34.2 20.9 +13.3 1553 +8.1 −7.6 +15.7 1893 +0.55 +1.12 −0.57 605(79th)
2014 9-3 1956 31.8 20.9 +10.9 1492 +2.9 −8.2 +11.1 1777 +0.64 +1.95 −1.31 601(78th)
2013 9-2 1818 35.8 21.2 +14.6 1450 +6.6 −6.0 +12.6 1816 +1.50 +2.50 −1.00 590(75th)
2012 7-5 1679 22.2 21.9 +0.2 1617 −1.1 −6.0 +4.9 1622 −0.96 +0.96 −1.93 564(67th)
2011 6-5 1654 22.7 21.8 +0.9 1594 −2.8 −5.8 +2.9 1574 −1.68 +0.56 −2.24 546(61st)
2010 8-5 2033 27.5 24.2 +3.4 1625 +1.8 −8.3 +10.1 1752 −0.14 +2.69 −2.82 615(81st)
2009 8-4 1863 27.1 19.3 +7.8 1551 +2.7 −7.7 +10.3 1758 −0.19 +2.27 −2.46 600(77th)
2008 8-3 1838 38.8 21.1 +17.7 1478 +11.3 −6.2 +17.4 1936 +0.11 +2.20 −2.09 611(80th)
2007 8-3 1755 31.3 13.5 +17.7 1478 +3.9 −12.4 +16.3 1908 −0.16 +1.56 −1.72 615(81st)
2006 4-6 1430 18.5 25.7 −7.2 1554 −6.8 −2.0 −4.8 1381 −3.55 +0.47 −4.02 503(45th)
2005 4-6 1423 27.8 26.9 +0.9 1397 −2.9 0.0 −2.9 1427 −4.10 +0.24 −4.34 509(48th)
2004 5-6 1451 21.5 14.7 +6.7 1385 −6.3 −7.2 +0.9 1524 −4.29 +0.46 −4.74 537(58th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.