| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Kyle Lehman |
49% (0) | L 0-41 | -230 | −42.1 | +27.1 | — | −0.98 |
| 2 | Austin LASA |
94% (+27) | W 55-12 | 1168 | −1.2 | +12.0 | +0.00 | — |
| 3 | @Leander (1-5) 798 |
67% (+7) | L 0-56 | -541 | −38.1 | +43.6 | — | −0.99 |
| 4 | @Austin Crockett |
79% (+13) | L 27-61 | -369 | −21.4 | +53.4 | — | −1.00 |
| 5 | #26Dripping Springs (5-1) 2153 |
< 2% (-72) | L 0-75 | 369 | −16.6 | +28.7 | — | −0.23 |
| 6 | @Austin Del Valle (1-5) 681 |
22% (-12) | L 0-69 | -1155 | −47.7 | +58.5 | — | −0.99 |
| 8 | Buda Johnson (2-5) 1279 |
< 2% (-40) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | @Austin High (1-5) 1184 |
2% (-36) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | Austin Bowie (5-1) 1816 |
< 2% (-61) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | @Buda Hays Consolidated (4-3) 1432 |
< 2% (-46) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#248
was #248
Record
1-5
0-2 district
Elo
282
#248 of 249
OVR Grade
58.2
#248 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
55.4
#248 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
43.4
#249 of 249 in 6A
Perf
-126
#248 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 26-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance


Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Austin Akins’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2015
4-6
Rating 446 (27th)
#2 · 2021
4-6
Rating 442 (25th)
#3 · 2004
3-7
Rating 437 (24th)
#4 · 2006
2-8
Rating 429 (22nd)
#5 · 2018
4-6
Rating 428 (21st)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.





