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CLASS 6A · District 3-6A

Arlington Bowie Volunteers

Enrollment: 2,300 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 7
Rank
#101
was #92
Record
3-3
2-1 district
Elo
1586
#101 of 249
OVR Grade
77.9
#101 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
72.4
#151 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
74.4
#128 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1391
#140 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
@Prosper Rock Hill (3-3) 1541
 73% (+10) L 13-19 1334 −13.2 −6.5 — −0.84
2
South Grand Prairie (4-2) 1730
 34% (-6) L 31-36 1502 +7.8 +7.7 — −0.61
3
Fort Worth Haltom (3-3) 1404
 77% (+12) W 21-12 1721 −5.1 −13.9 +0.07 —
4
@Arlington Lamar (3-3) 1461
 55% (+2) W 29-23 1575 −0.9 −3.9 +0.21 —
5
Granbury (2-4) 838
 96% (+31) W 41-35 1002 −5.8 +14.1 +0.02 —
7
@#45Aledo (3-3) 1975
 24% (-11) L 7-45 1215 −4.6 +6.8 — −0.43
8
@#48Arlington Martin (6-0) 1961
 17% (-15) — — — — — —
9
Arlington (4-2) 1558
 53% (+1) — — — — — —
10
@Weatherford (4-2) 1393
 69% (+8) — — — — — —
11
Arlington Sam Houston (3-3) 813
 96% (+31) — — — — — —
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District Standings Projection - District 3-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 48
Warriors
83.6
1961
 6-0 3-0 42.7 20.8 6.6-0.4 > 98% D1
2 45
Bearcats
83.8
1975
 3-3 2-1 31.2 17.2 5.7-1.3 > 98% D2
3 101
Volunteers
77.9
1586
 3-3 2-1 23.7 28.3 4.3-2.6 87.3% D2
4 108
Colts
77.5
1558
 4-2 2-1 37.7 26.3 3.5-3.5 56.6% D1
5 145
Kangaroos
75
1393
 4-2 2-1 31.8 26.8 3.6-3.4 48.1% —
6 129
Vikings
76
1461
 3-3 1-2 28.3 28.7 3.1-3.9 9.4% —
7 219
Pirates
66.6
838
 2-4 0-3 30.2 40.5 0.7-6.3 < 2% —
8 221
Texans
66.2
813
 3-3 0-3 25.7 32.2 0.6-6.4 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Arlington Bowie’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2007
12-2
Rating 726 (96th)
#2 · 2012
11-2
Rating 697 (94th)
#3 · 2008
11-2
Rating 677 (91st)
#4 · 2009
11-3
Rating 667 (90th)
#5 · 2011
9-4
Rating 658 (89th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 8-3 1753 37.3 26.6 +10.6 1364 +4.9 −1.1 +6.1 1652 −0.50 +1.56 −2.06 567(68th)
2024 8-4 1807 44.1 32.4 +11.7 1455 +12.4 +2.5 +9.9 1748 −0.65 +1.44 −2.08 586(74th)
2023 7-4 1586 29.7 23.5 +6.2 1316 −3.2 −0.9 −2.3 1442 −1.88 +0.62 −2.51 527(54th)
2022 5-6 1523 34.5 33.2 +1.4 1574 +7.3 +3.2 +4.1 1603 −2.79 +0.58 −3.37 536(57th)
2021 2-8 1445 25.1 45.3 −20.2 1859 +1.3 +8.3 −6.9 1327 −3.24 +0.23 −3.48 502(45th)
2020 7-2 1928 27.9 22.2 +5.7 1734 +5.1 −10.7 +15.8 1895 +1.52 +1.89 −0.36 615(81st)
2019 8-4 1799 36.2 24.8 +11.4 1715 +10.0 −9.4 +19.3 1984 +0.88 +1.87 −0.99 609(80th)
2018 6-5 1681 31.7 25.7 +6.0 1636 +4.1 −7.1 +11.2 1779 −0.34 +1.27 −1.61 572(69th)
2017 3-7 1528 26.4 30.8 −4.4 1638 +1.9 0.0 +1.9 1548 −3.27 +0.26 −3.54 526(54th)
2016 10-3 1934 29.5 24.0 +5.5 1655 +2.5 −9.8 +12.3 1807 +2.49 +3.37 −0.88 604(78th)
2015 6-5 1731 32.7 30.7 +2.0 1682 +6.9 −4.7 +11.5 1789 −0.77 +0.84 −1.61 577(71st)
2014 7-4 1920 45.0 32.7 +12.3 1630 +14.2 −2.8 +17.1 1926 +0.19 +1.34 −1.14 613(81st)
2013 7-4 1959 43.0 23.8 +19.2 1605 +13.6 −9.0 +22.6 2065 +0.67 +1.94 −1.27 637(85th)
2012 11-2 2265 43.3 18.6 +24.7 1681 +17.4 −14.1 +31.4 2286 +3.50 +3.98 −0.48 697(94th)
2011 9-4 2025 37.6 17.0 +20.6 1578 +10.2 −11.6 +21.9 2047 +0.61 +1.89 −1.28 658(89th)
2010 7-4 1869 35.4 25.5 +9.8 1604 +7.0 −5.6 +12.6 1815 +0.03 +1.23 −1.20 599(77th)
2009 11-3 2137 37.8 23.4 +14.4 1649 +12.3 −9.0 +21.3 2033 +1.54 +2.52 −0.97 667(90th)
2008 11-2 2087 42.0 16.2 +25.8 1597 +14.4 −13.2 +27.6 2191 +1.86 +2.41 −0.55 677(91st)
2007 12-2 2210 37.9 13.1 +24.9 1699 +15.0 −17.6 +32.7 2316 +3.58 +3.93 −0.35 726(96th)
2006 7-4 1681 30.1 28.9 +1.2 1602 +5.6 −1.3 +6.9 1674 −0.42 +1.43 −1.85 565(67th)
2005 1-8 1100 20.9 41.6 −20.7 1547 −4.3 +14.0 −18.3 1042 −5.54 +0.06 −5.60 429(22nd)
2004 1-9 1038 12.9 38.5 −25.6 1556 −11.3 +10.9 −22.1 946 −5.85 +0.13 −5.98 412(18th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.