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CLASS 6A · District 19-6A

Alvin Yellowjackets

Enrollment: 2,749 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 4
Rank
#235
was #236
Record
0-6
0-4 district
Elo
678
#235 of 249
OVR Grade
64.2
#235 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
67.6
#201 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
59.5
#226 of 249 in 6A
Perf
782
#223 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
Fort Bend Clements (3-4) 1095
 75% (+10) L 30-48 749 −5.8 +24.2 — −0.99
2
@Baytown Sterling
 45% (-2) L 10-41 182 −28.9 +23.9 — −0.99
3
@Pearland Dawson (3-4) 1551
 4% (-30) L 17-44 707 −13.8 +18.0 — −0.84
4
Pasadena Memorial (3-4) 1123
 16% (-16) L 41-43 1001 +0.9 +20.8 — −0.96
5
@#28Manvel (5-1) 2101
 < 2% (-60) L 0-53 995 −11.0 +9.2 — −0.21
7
#12Pearland (7-0) 2385
 < 2% (-68) L 7-59 1057 −4.4 +13.3 — −0.10
8
@Pasadena Sam Rayburn (1-6) 637
 54% (+2) — — — — — —
9
#23Alvin Shadow Creek (5-1) 2203
 < 2% (-61) — — — — — —
10
@Brazoswood (3-3) 1292
 7% (-25) — — — — — —
11
Pasadena Dobie (2-4) 1248
 8% (-23) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 19-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 12
Oilers
90
2385
 7-0 5-0 47.6 9.9 7.7-0.3 > 98% D1
2 23
Sharks
87.2
2203
 5-1 4-0 42.7 8.5 6.9-1.1 > 98% D2
3 28
Mavericks
85.7
2101
 5-1 3-1 46.5 8.0 6.2-1.8 > 98% D2
4 109
Eagles
77.4
1551
 3-4 3-2 24.6 32.4 4.7-3.3 89% D1
5 170
Longhorns
72.8
1248
 2-4 1-3 17.3 33.0 2.8-5.2 4.7% —
6 187
Mavericks
70.9
1123
 3-4 2-3 22.7 41.1 2.8-5.2 3.8% —
7 165
Buccaneers
73.5
1292
 3-3 2-2 25.5 34.3 3.6-4.3 2.8% —
8 235
Yellowjackets
64.2
678
 0-6 0-4 17.5 48.0 0.7-7.3 < 2% —
9 237
Texans
63.6
637
 1-6 0-5 15.0 38.0 0.4-7.6 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Alvin’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2004
6-4
Rating 531 (55th)
#2 · 2016
4-6
Rating 499 (44th)
#3 · 2015
6-4
Rating 493 (42nd)
#4 · 2005
5-6
Rating 490 (40th)
#5 · 2009
3-7
Rating 479 (36th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 3-7 1025 14.5 36.2 −21.7 1381 −16.4 +9.8 −26.2 845 −4.29 +0.07 −4.37 394(13th)
2024 3-7 958 21.7 36.9 −15.2 1331 −11.9 +11.0 −22.9 928 −5.05 +0.06 −5.11 399(15th)
2023 2-8 648 17.1 38.0 −20.9 1155 −16.4 +18.1 −34.5 637 −6.11 +0.01 −6.12 336(6th)
2022 4-6 1126 26.7 32.2 −5.5 1242 −7.0 +10.7 −17.7 1057 −3.79 +0.07 −3.85 428(21st)
2021 4-6 1200 23.0 33.2 −10.2 1470 −4.6 +7.2 −11.8 1204 −3.15 +0.20 −3.36 449(28th)
2020 1-8 844 10.1 33.8 −23.7 1551 −14.0 +7.0 −20.9 977 −5.29 +0.05 −5.35 383(12th)
2019 0-10 663 3.6 40.5 −36.9 1561 −23.1 +10.9 −34.0 651 −7.37 0.00 −7.37 329(5th)
2018 0-10 815 11.8 54.2 −42.4 1483 −18.6 +22.6 −41.2 471 −7.43 0.00 −7.43 319(4th)
2017 3-6 1221 24.9 32.3 −7.4 1488 −6.7 +2.3 −9.0 1275 −3.30 +0.09 −3.39 463(31st)
2016 4-6 1366 25.4 29.2 −3.8 1541 −1.0 +1.3 −2.3 1442 −2.86 +0.45 −3.31 499(44th)
2015 6-4 1357 29.9 25.2 +4.7 1289 −3.4 +0.1 −3.5 1414 −1.68 +0.16 −1.84 493(42nd)
2014 5-5 1289 31.7 31.5 +0.2 1298 −2.1 +5.2 −7.4 1316 −2.35 +0.17 −2.52 475(35th)
2013 2-8 982 19.8 27.7 −7.9 1324 −11.7 +4.1 −15.8 1106 −6.17 +0.03 −6.19 420(19th)
2012 4-6 1249 27.4 26.2 +1.2 1326 −5.9 +0.7 −6.6 1334 −4.17 +0.35 −4.52 475(35th)
2011 4-6 1176 23.6 31.1 −7.5 1438 −5.6 +5.2 −10.8 1230 −3.51 +0.27 −3.79 457(30th)
2010 1-9 1015 14.0 36.9 −22.9 1616 −11.7 +6.4 −18.1 1047 −6.25 +0.03 −6.28 419(19th)
2009 3-7 1368 19.9 27.3 −7.4 1442 −7.3 +2.1 −9.4 1266 −5.42 +0.35 −5.78 479(36th)
2008 2-7 1163 16.8 28.0 −11.2 1474 −7.6 +4.3 −11.9 1202 −4.98 +0.44 −5.42 452(28th)
2007 0-10 919 11.8 32.0 −20.2 1561 −10.9 +5.9 −16.9 1079 −7.25 0.00 −7.25 416(18th)
2006 2-8 1107 15.4 28.5 −13.1 1524 −9.3 +3.8 −13.0 1174 −5.88 +0.43 −6.31 446(26th)
2005 5-6 1397 14.2 20.5 −6.4 1444 −9.1 −1.2 −7.9 1302 −3.97 +0.62 −4.59 490(40th)
2004 6-4 1552 21.1 20.0 +1.1 1450 −3.4 −2.7 −0.6 1484 −1.85 +1.16 −3.02 531(55th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.